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 Post subject: Humber
PostPosted: Sun Jul 03, 2011 1:05 pm 
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Guy has been great this year.

So great that his value will never be this high again. Trade him before he comes back down to earth.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Sun Jul 03, 2011 1:36 pm 
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$500K and no option, OOPS!

Guessing Jerry offers $5 Mill per for 3 years, this year. Soon

Do you sign if you are Humber???

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Sun Jul 03, 2011 3:57 pm 
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I was thinking about this earlier. Pitchers do have incredible, miracle years. Has Humber turned the corner? Obviously he is not this good, but he would still be very good even with a decline.

Sox cannot afford to trade starting pitching, pitching and being in a bad division are the only reason they are still in the race.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Sun Jul 03, 2011 3:59 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
Guy has been great this year.

So great that his value will never be this high again. Trade him before he comes back down to earth.

I'll take him for Marmol - now.


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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Sun Jul 03, 2011 4:41 pm 
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If you're talking as a Cubs fan please lay off the crystal meth. Humber looks like a classic Cardinals reclamation project which I mean as a great compliment to him and the entire WSOX org. BUT for Marmol.....please. I'm willing to trade Marmol or Marshall but u better get some young studs.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Sun Jul 03, 2011 5:17 pm 
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HossasSlavicRage wrote:
Sox cannot afford to trade starting pitching,


They can if they think this is as good as he will ever be. And I think there is a case to be made for that. The guy has been great, but do you really think he is going to continue this for the long haul? Personally, I don't and I think it would be better for them to sell high on him now and get something in return.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 11:44 am 
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I love Humber...another Danks and Floyd...a young pitcher who comes up in a messy situation and just quietly solidifies things and has lots of poise

the Sox have a way of having good pitchers without having too much spotlight on 'em...even Buerhle after 10 years flies under the radar

I fucking love it

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:07 pm 
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So JORR, what are your thoughts here?

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:10 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
So JORR, what are your thoughts here?


I'd try to lock him up cheap for three years if you could. To me he looks like a guy that is going to give you quality innings for a relatively low price. I don't think you could get enough for him to make it worth trading him.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:21 pm 
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He is 8-4 right now with a 2.69 ERA.

I think Kenny could convince a team like the Cardinals or Rangers to overpay for him.

Otherwise I think he is a guy who returns to being a really average guy who ultimately ends up in the bullpen with not much value.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:31 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
He is 8-4 right now with a 2.69 ERA.

I think Kenny could convince a team like the Cardinals or Rangers to overpay for him.

Otherwise I think he is a guy who returns to being a really average guy who ultimately ends up in the bullpen with not much value.


I think Cooper got him to add a pitch and that has made a difference for him. I think you could probably get a team desperate for pitching to take Jackson, eat the balance of his salary, and give you at least one decent prospect. I'd certainly try doing that before I moved out a cheap guy like Humber.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:37 pm 
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I would be open to trading Jackson as well. But I think there is a difference here that plays a part in all of this. I think all the teams know Jackson. He is not going to be anything more than he currently is. That is going to limit what you can get for him. With Humber a pretty wise GM like Kenny can snooker a team into giving up more than what he is really worth because of his great ERA and solid record for a team that has underachieved this year.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 12:54 pm 
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I think the Sox need more guys they have financial control over. While they have 30 million coming off the books in Beuhrle, Pierre, and Jackson I don't think unless the season goes a lot better they'll be anywhere near $130 Million in payroll again and they'll be down 2 starters and counting on a healthy Peavy next year. Obviously if trading Humber gets you to the WS you do it, but I don't think that's happening.


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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Mon Jul 04, 2011 2:19 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
I think the Sox need more guys they have financial control over. While they have 30 million coming off the books in Beuhrle, Pierre, and Jackson I don't think unless the season goes a lot better they'll be anywhere near $130 Million in payroll again and they'll be down 2 starters and counting on a healthy Peavy next year. Obviously if trading Humber gets you to the WS you do it, but I don't think that's happening.


I'm guessing next year's rotation looks like this:

Peavy
Humber
Sale
Floyd

I think Danks will be gone for sure. He's the most valuable commodity you have to deal and he's on the cusp of getting very expensive. I think there's an outside chance Buehrle comes back if he's willing to take well below market value in order to try to be a one team guy for his career.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 9:20 am 
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Ummm, Humber will not be arbitration eligible for two years or free agency eligible for five. His option is to sign the contract the Sox offer him or sit out of baseball. You cannot ask for a better situation than to have a guy performing at the top of his game in his prime for the miniumum and holding his rights until after his prime.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:36 pm 
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In the notes following last night's unusual walk-off balk White Sox winner over the Royals, Ozzie believes that Philip Humber will still make the AL All-Star team. How? Ozzie says that Humber starts the Twins' series Thursday night which would make him available for Tuesday's All-Star Game in Phoenix and that some of the pitchers already penciled in for the "Midsummer Classic" won't be eligible because they're scheduled to start Sunday afternoon.

I'm not surprised that Humber wasn't selected on TBS Sports' "All-Star Selection Show" Sunday, only because there are so many others having All-Star caliber seasons in the AL. It's just that I forgot about the rule enacted when the ASG was in Anaheim last year in which guys not necessarily picked the first time still have a chance to go. Hopefully AL manager Ron Washington pays attention, something he clearly failed to do with Paul Konerko, who should've been selected the first time to represent the Sox in the ASG, not Carlos Quentin.


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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:40 pm 
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SHARK wrote:
I Hopefully AL manager Ron Washington pays attention, something he clearly failed to do with Paul Konerko, who should've been selected the first time to represent the Sox in the ASG, not Carlos Quentin.

Image


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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:41 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Ummm, Humber will not be arbitration eligible for two years or free agency eligible for five. His option is to sign the contract the Sox offer him or sit out of baseball. You cannot ask for a better situation than to have a guy performing at the top of his game in his prime for the miniumum and holding his rights until after his prime.


Really? It seemed like he has been around a lot longer than that. Anyway, Humber is probably the last guy you'd want to trade. Unless you really thought this season was a fluke. I don't.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:44 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Ummm, Humber will not be arbitration eligible for two years or free agency eligible for five. His option is to sign the contract the Sox offer him or sit out of baseball. You cannot ask for a better situation than to have a guy performing at the top of his game in his prime for the miniumum and holding his rights until after his prime.

Chicago White Sox
Philip Humber
Philip Humber Current Salary Information
Contract: 1 yr(s) / $500,000
End Year: 2011
Free Agent: 2012 / Unrestricted


http://www.prorumors.com/baseball/Humber/Philip/humbeph01


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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:49 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Ummm, Humber will not be arbitration eligible for two years or free agency eligible for five. His option is to sign the contract the Sox offer him or sit out of baseball. You cannot ask for a better situation than to have a guy performing at the top of his game in his prime for the miniumum and holding his rights until after his prime.

Chicago White Sox
Philip Humber
Philip Humber Current Salary Information
Contract: 1 yr(s) / $500,000
End Year: 2011
Free Agent: 2012 / Unrestricted


http://www.prorumors.com/baseball/Humber/Philip/humbeph01


I've seen the opposite in a couple of places but you are not going to get me to retrace my steps.

Keyser, do you have anything on this dispute?

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 12:54 pm 
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Im not sure. I googled it and it came up like that on the first two.

But with the time he spent with the Twins and Mets pitching in the majors, your scenario seems less likely.


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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 1:00 pm 
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He had only 1 year of major league service time coming into the season. A player becomes a free agent after 6 years of major league service time. I think because he's out of options that he could become a free agent if he's not on a 40 man roster. If he continues to pitch like this it's an obvious a no brainer that the Sox will keep him on the 40 man roster and thus control him for the next 4 years.

This is how I understand the rules but I will check to make sure it is correct.


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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 5:00 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
HossasSlavicRage wrote:
Sox cannot afford to trade starting pitching,


They can if they think this is as good as he will ever be. And I think there is a case to be made for that. The guy has been great, but do you really think he is going to continue this for the long haul? Personally, I don't and I think it would be better for them to sell high on him now and get something in return.


The question is how much of a regression will he have. I am not going to pretend I have any idea on how to determine/project this. If he is willing to sign for cheap and looks like he will be a good 3 or 4 than that would be something the Sox are interested in.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 5:19 pm 
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Why would there be any regression. Age, low mileage on the arm, complacency are unlikely to effect him. The ability was never in question. Why can't this just be who he is?

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Tue Jul 05, 2011 6:10 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Wed Jul 06, 2011 4:02 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
I think the Sox need more guys they have financial control over. While they have 30 million coming off the books in Beuhrle, Pierre, and Jackson I don't think unless the season goes a lot better they'll be anywhere near $130 Million in payroll again and they'll be down 2 starters and counting on a healthy Peavy next year. Obviously if trading Humber gets you to the WS you do it, but I don't think that's happening.


I'm guessing next year's rotation looks like this:

Peavy
Humber
Sale
Floyd

I think Danks will be gone for sure. He's the most valuable commodity you have to deal and he's on the cusp of getting very expensive. I think there's an outside chance Buehrle comes back if he's willing to take well below market value in order to try to be a one team guy for his career.


I agree about Danks but with his contract, I can't see the Sox being able to deal Jackson very easily. Humber looks like a guy I would want to keep. He is the most consistent pitcher on the staff. He goes deep into games consistently, which saves the bullpen. Plus he makes little money and can't even go to arbitration for 2 years. Thats the kind of guy you keep, not trade.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Wed Jul 06, 2011 3:03 pm 
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I could see the Sox keeping Danks, Jackson's exit cannot come soon enough.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Wed Jul 06, 2011 3:06 pm 
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HossasSlavicRage wrote:
I could see the Sox keeping Danks, Jackson's exit cannot come soon enough.



They could. But he's a logical guy to move for the reasons stated above.

I don't think Jackson will be difficult to move at all. There are all kinds of contending teams short on starting pitching who would have no problem taking on his salary for less than half a season. Three of them might be in the AL Central, but of course the Sox are not going to do that. At least I would hope not.

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Wed Jul 06, 2011 3:08 pm 
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Jackson is goner than gone. Someone will give him $10 million per year and he can underwhelm them. KW will have to live with it though as Hudson tears it up in the NL. This is like Garland for Karchner.

I think Buehrle will be one of those special exception players that JR finds extra money in petty cash to sign, like Konerko. I'd be fine with:

Buehrle
Floyd
Danks
Humber
Sale

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 Post subject: Re: Humber
PostPosted: Wed Jul 06, 2011 3:10 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Jackson is goner than gone. Someone will give him $10 million per year and he can underwhelm them. KW will have to live with it though as Hudson tears it up in the NL. This is like Garland for Karchner.

I think Buehrle will be one of those special exception players that JR finds extra money in petty cash to sign, like Konerko. I'd be fine with:

Buehrle
Floyd
Danks
Humber
Sale


I think we're stuck with Peavy.

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