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 Post subject: Baseball Week 2
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 10:08 am 
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It's a long season so I figured it would be better to break it up weekly.

Went 5-4 in my postings here.

Orioles -130 against Detroit

I am keying on Cabrera this year to have a very good year. He had a nice game last time, although walks were his undoing again. The Orioles get to face Chad Durbin, who is the replacement for Rogers in the rotation. I don't think the Tigers even have confidence in Durbin, and I certainly do not.

Mariners -140 against Cleveland

I especially like this if Cleveland wins Game 1 of this DH. Take Hernandez at this level while you can. Within the next few starts the hype will be sending this guy back to a -200 pitcher even on the road.

Pirates -120 against Cardinals

Cubs -150 against Astros

I wanted to take an early look at any AL pitcher switching leagues this year. So far the crossovers have been pretty good.

Yankees at Twins OVER 10.5

The Piranhas are especially dangerous at home and Pavano is like red meat in the Amazon for them. On the other side I have two words: Sidney Ponson. Yanks may put up double digits on their own.


Last edited by good dolphin on Mon Apr 09, 2007 12:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 11:59 am 
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1-0 on the season:

Cubs ML

Woody Williams is 1-6 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.48 career WHIP in 44.2ip at Wrigley..


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 12:15 pm 
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Mariners-Indians get cancelled again. I have liked both games in that DH for three days now and cannot play it. I was on Cleveland on Friday when the game was delayed one strike before it could become official. That is worse than losing because of a 9th inning home run.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 2:56 pm 
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NYY-Minnesota OVER 10-1/2, -120
I had a winner on saturday and then got off it before game time. Should have trusted my first instincts. I agree with Dolphin today. The Yankees look like a good over team because their pitching absolutely blows, but their bats are warm. Playing in the homer dome won't hurt.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 4:25 pm 
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4/7/07: 8-0 +15.95 units

YTD: 18-6 +20.9 units


Cincinnati (+100) 2*
Toronto -1.5 (-110) 3*
NY Yankees -130 2*
Yankees/Twins over 10.5 (-120)
Oakland/Chicago under 8 (-110)
Florida (-119) 2*
Florida -1.5 (+175)
San Diego (-120)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 6:28 pm 
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Coast2Coast wrote:
NYY-Minnesota OVER 10-1/2, -120
I had a winner on saturday and then got off it before game time. Should have trusted my first instincts. I agree with Dolphin today. The Yankees look like a good over team because their pitching absolutely blows, but their bats are warm. Playing in the homer dome won't hurt.


Played this as well. The Yankees have dominated vs. Ponson historically:
GIAMBI 17 FOR 41 .415 2HR
JETER 31 FOR 81 .383 5HR
DAMON 21 FOR 55 .382
MATSUI 12 FOR 32 .375 2HR
CANO 4 FOR 8 .500 2HR
ABREU 7 FOR 21 .333 2HR
PHELPS 5 FOR 14 .357 1HR

OVERALL YANKEES: 415 AB, 136 H, .328 AVE, 22HR, 76RBI, 53BB, 68K


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 11:23 pm 
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When we all like something, that might not be a good thing. :cry:


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Mon Apr 09, 2007 11:50 pm 
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4/8/07: 6-2 +7.55 units
YTD: 24-8 +28.45 units

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Apr 10, 2007 8:16 am 
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I am off to a funeral this morning, but I like one early game. Time permitting, I will take another look at the card later, and post what I like. I like the Cubs, but -155 is a lot to lay. Laying over -150 is a good way to lower your bankroll.

4/9/07

Boston -1.5 (+110) 2*

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Apr 10, 2007 9:30 am 
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6-7 after a bad day yesterday.

Royals +160 at Blue Jays

Greinke is an ace quality pitcher when he has his head on straight...and he seems to have it on straight right now.

Atlanta -230 against Nationals

230 is a lot of wood but it's the Nationals. I also think Hudson is back

Boston -180 against Mariners

Angels +150 at Indians on neutral field

The 150 seems like an awfully big number to be giving for a team that has not played in a week and is not at home. I know it is Sabathia but I have a feeling he will be a little rusty. I normally don't like Santana on the road but this seems like a great value. Mariners showing signs of the rust in giving up 4 in the first inning.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Apr 10, 2007 3:48 pm 
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LA Angels (+125) 2*
LA Angels -1.5 (+175)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Apr 10, 2007 5:23 pm 
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Pittsburgh (-123) 2*
LA Dodgers (-130) 3*
LA Dodgers -1.5 (+170)
White Sox (+102) 2*
Arizona (-121)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Tue Apr 10, 2007 11:50 pm 
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Thanks Bobby Jenks. I had the Sox straight up tonight, and in a parlay. I knew it was over when the lead off man got on. Jenks has nothin right now, and that curve is just hanging there waiting to get blasted.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Apr 11, 2007 12:15 am 
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4/10/07 3-5 -2.26 units

YTD: 27-13 +26.19 units

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Apr 11, 2007 8:12 am 
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St. Louis -1.5 (+115) 2*
San Francisco vs. San Diego over 7.5 (-110)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Apr 11, 2007 10:05 am 
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9-8. A good 3-1 day posting here. I took a late flyer on the Sox yesterday that should have come in.

Cardinals-Pirates UNDER 8

Mets-Phillies OVER 9

Red Sox-Mariners UNDER 8.5

White Sox-A's UNDER 9

Ozzie has the B team out today and they are going up against a lefty. Runs should be scarce.

Giants +150 at Padres


Last edited by good dolphin on Wed Apr 11, 2007 4:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Apr 11, 2007 2:52 pm 
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Milwaukee (EVEN) 2*

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Apr 11, 2007 5:29 pm 
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Cincinnati (+117) 2*
San Diego (-139) 2*
San Diego -1.5 (+155)
Detroit (-125) 2*
Toronto -1.5 (+115) 2*
Texas (-150) 3*
Texas -1.5 (+130) 2*
LA Angels vs. Cleveland over 9.5 (EVEN)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Apr 12, 2007 6:23 am 
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nice rally late from a bad start

4/11/07: 6-5 +1.25 units
YTD: 33-18 +27.44 units

4/12/07

LA Angels (+117) 2*
Boston/Seattle under 10 (-105)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Apr 12, 2007 8:15 am 
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2-2-1 day and 11-10-1 on the season

Braves -300 against Nationals

The Nats will win another game sometime this year. It is not going to be against John Smoltz on a getaway day.

Cleveland -130 against Angels in Milwaukee

Royals +140 at Orioles


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Apr 12, 2007 11:41 am 
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Atlanta -2.5 (+120)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Apr 12, 2007 1:07 pm 
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chus wrote:
Atlanta -2.5 (+120)


That's pretty ballsy!


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Apr 12, 2007 5:13 pm 
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Atlanta (team total over 5) -130

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Thu Apr 12, 2007 5:25 pm 
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Detroit +120 money line
M. Maroth vs. Ohka


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Apr 13, 2007 11:24 am 
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Boston (-105)
Baltimore -1.5 (+125) 2*

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Apr 13, 2007 1:21 pm 
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12-12-1

Oakland +120 against the Yanks

Angels +110 at Red Sox

White Sox +110 at Cleveland


Last edited by good dolphin on Fri Apr 13, 2007 3:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Apr 13, 2007 1:56 pm 
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Toronto (-152) 2*
NY Yankees (-105) 3*
NY Yankees -1.5 (+145)
Philadelphia (-103) 2*
Florida (-105) 2*
St Louis (+108) 2*

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Apr 14, 2007 8:43 am 
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4/12/07 0-4 -4.3 units
4/13/07 4-3 +1.29 units
YTD 37-25 +24.43 units

4/14/07

Texas (-108) 2*
Baltimore -1.5 (+115)
Cincinnati (+119)
Arizona (-127) 2*
St Louis (-124) 2*
St Louis -1.5 (+170)
Atlanta (-123) 2*
Atlanta -1.5 (+160)
Dodgers (+105) 2*
Boston -1.5 (-110) 3*
White Sox (+119)
Tampa Bay (+130)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sat Apr 14, 2007 11:00 am 
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adding:

NY Mets -1.5 (-130)

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 1:58 pm 
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4/14/07 3-7 -4.79 units
YTD 40-32 +19.64 units


4/15/07

Oakland (-109) 2*
Texas (-104) 3*

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