Thanks for this thread. Doing the Mets bet for sure. Will look for one or two more.

_________________
You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

and remember, they are all stepping up in competition. Lucas Harrell, while serviceable in the NL, was not even long relief level in the AL. They have a less than 50% shot at winning basically every night against average pitchers and it goes down from there.

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

Mets are that bad, huh?

Yeah. With how bad attendance should be, I don't see them being buyers either.

I wanted to do Cubs and Sox over and Mets and Yankees under but that seems dumb.

_________________
You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

I just cant see how the Reds are going to be 8 games worse.

They were 10-5 against the Astros last year.

They still play the Astros 3 times too.

So the new 15 games on the schedule: If they win 2 out of those 15 they are still at 89

I just like the Reds a lot this year

RPBNSJ

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

They won 97 games without Votto for half the season.
They are adding Billy Hamilton
Homer Bailey found it at the end of last year.

I hear ya, and the division is not very good either, just had to give you some shit.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

They have 105 wins and a dramatic playoff exit written all over them

In Dusty, they trusty.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

Cubs - hard to play the over when they are going to sell what they can in July. Rizzo, Castro, and a lot of suck. The top prospects aren't gonna play this year. I made a small play on the under. Are they 12 wins better than last year? I don't think so.

Sox- You never know with this team. 81 seems to be a pretty sharp number. There are better options, IMO.

Mets - I like the under, obviously

Yankees - I could only play the under, as that team is getting old, and I just don't trust their pitching beyond CC. Who knows what Rivera has left? Toronto is better, Rays are still strong. Boston has to win more than 69 games this year. Baltimore should regress, but they are not doormats.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

The Yankees under bet is a very solid. The Yankees are depending on some very old players and plugs to be key contributors. Even once/if everyone is healthy they don't look like a 87 win team:

Starting Pitching:
Sabathia
Kuroda
Pettitte
Nova
Hughes

Lineup:
Ichiro OF
Jeter SS (Eduardo Nunez DL replacement)
Cano 2B
Tex 1B (Juan Rivera DL replacement)
A-Rod 3B (Youk DL replacement)
Hafner DH
Gardner OF
Granderson OF (Vernon Wells DL replacement)
Chris Stewart C

That's a lot of age, injury history, injury recoveries and average plugs.

But its the Yankees and sometimes they just do crazy shit and end up with A Rod (when he was good)

I agree, I just wouldnt bet on it on principle.

Yankees have to be a "no play". They had a lot of these issues last year, and still won 95.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Season win totals
Atlanta over 87.5 (+100)
Cubs under 72.5 (-105)
Cleveland under 77.5 (+140)
Houston under 59.5 (-115)
Minnesota under 67.5 (+130)
NY Mets under 75 (-105) 3*
Oakland over 84.5 (-115)
San Diego over 74.5 (-105)

Season win matchups
Cincinnati -6 over Boston (-115)
Detroit -1.5 over LA Dodgers (-115)
Oakland +7.5 over LA Dodgers (-115)

Homerun matchups
Adrian Gonzalez +1 over Paul Konerko (-115)
Chase Headley -1 over Hanley Ramirez (-115)

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

No Hamilton this year. He'll be at AAA. The CF and new leadoff hitter is Shin-Soo Choo. Leadoff (Stubbs) was Reds weak spot last year.

No Hamilton all year or just not opening day?

Gotta believe he ends up contributing

Season win totals
Atlanta over 87.5 (+100)
Cubs under 72.5 (-105)
Cleveland under 77.5 (+140)
Houston under 59.5 (-115)
Minnesota under 67.5 (+130)
NY Mets under 75 (-105) 3*
Oakland over 84.5 (-115)
San Diego over 74.5 (-105)

Season win matchups
Cincinnati -6 over Boston (-115)
Detroit -1.5 over LA Dodgers (-115)
Oakland +7.5 over LA Dodgers (-115)

Homerun matchups
Adrian Gonzalez +1 over Paul Konerko (-115)
Chase Headley -1 over Hanley Ramirez (-115)

RBI matchups
Ben Zobrist +3.5 over Neil Walker (-115)
Wil Middlebrooks +6.5 over Pablo Sandoval (-115)
Yoenis Cespedes +9.5 over Jay Bruce (-125)

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

10-6 +10.05

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way