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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:08 pm 
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He did not pitch very well today. But he still got the win.

If Joe Orr is going to say "Sale has not had a very good year" by looking only at his W-L record to date, then he can't look at Sale's entire line from today's game to say if he pitched poorly or not.

Sale gets the Win, thats all that matters in the book of Joe Orr.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:35 pm 
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You're not really that obtuse, are you, Frank? Sometimes your ancillary numbers are good and you lose, sometimes they're bad and you win. What's so hard to understand about that? Over a large enough sample that's going to smooth out. I don't hear you deriding batting average just because a guy hit four "hangwoof'ems".

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:40 pm 
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I don't think Frank is obtuse. He said he was just a few pounds over for his height in the other thread.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 4:59 pm 
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jimmypasta wrote:
I don't think Frank is obtuse. He said he was just a few pounds over for his height in the other thread.

:lol: :lol: :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 5:29 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You're not really that obtuse, are you, Frank? Sometimes your ancillary numbers are good and you lose, sometimes they're bad and you win. What's so hard to understand about that? Over a large enough sample that's going to smooth out. I don't hear you deriding batting average just because a guy hit four "hangwoof'ems".


It's not a given that it will even out in a season... Certainly not in half a season and yet you are making conclusions about how he pitched so far anyway.

17 games, 3 that were no decisions, and 1 admitted win when he didn't pitch well... Yet, here we are on page whatever debating something that you all of a sudden are changing your tone on.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 6:00 pm 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You're not really that obtuse, are you, Frank? Sometimes your ancillary numbers are good and you lose, sometimes they're bad and you win. What's so hard to understand about that? Over a large enough sample that's going to smooth out. I don't hear you deriding batting average just because a guy hit four "hangwoof'ems".


It's not a given that it will even out in a season... Certainly not in half a season and yet you are making conclusions about how he pitched so far anyway.

17 games, 3 that were no decisions, and 1 admitted win when he didn't pitch well... Yet, here we are on page whatever debating something that you all of a sudden are changing your tone on.


Actually, I'm the only one that's been consistent throughout the thread. I've said over and over again that Sale isn't the test case for a guy who pitches well enough to lose. His career percentage is close to .600 for God's sake! But one need not "make conclusions" about the results of his pitching this year. He's 6-8. Not good.

I understand what you're saying. We just have a different philosophy. I consider a 5.08 ERA and 19-5 record better than a 2.78 ERA and a 10-15 record. I've explained time and time again why I feel that way. ERA is subject to conditions. You are treating Mike Hampton in Colorado the same as Orel Hershiser in LA. Not scientific. Not scientific at all. But when they go against each other in the same park with the same plate umpire and two teams that likely have offenses that are really not much different within the tiny space of a single game, there is a winner and a loser or a no decision or two.

I realize why you disagree. That's fine. But let's not pretend that it's science and when I point out the '95 Cubs have a more powerful offense than the '95 Braves, thus Maddux should have been expected to win more as a Cub, try to change the argument and steer it away from a "run support" issue.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 6:10 pm 
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I realize you may have misunderstood my post about Sale's game today. What I meant was he wasn't good at all the things you value today. And yet, he found a way to outpitch Anibal Sanchez, a guy who had a lower ERA entering the game and was also supported by a far superior offense.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 6:15 pm 
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W/L is a useful evaluation stat over a career, but not indicative of performance over an individual season.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 6:20 pm 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
W/L is a useful evaluation stat over a career, but not indicative of performance over an individual season.


Just like every other stat. Baseball is a game of time and repetition. Anyone can have bad luck. But sometimes you have good luck. If Viciedo doesn't nail that guy at the plate, the whole game may be different. I understand the desire to boil the game down to separate components and examine what each man can "control". I wouldn't use the word "control" myself. I prefer to use the word "affect". Because whatever you're trying to do, there's a guy on the other side trying to stop you from doing it or trying to do something else. Neither one has "control" but they each have an "effect".

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 6:47 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Just like every other stat. Baseball is a game of time and repetition. Anyone can have bad luck. But sometimes you have good luck. If Viciedo doesn't nail that guy at the plate, the whole game may be different. I understand the desire to boil the game down to separate components and examine what each man can "control". I wouldn't use the word "control" myself. I prefer to use the word "affect". Because whatever you're trying to do, there's a guy on the other side trying to stop you from doing it or trying to do something else. Neither one has "control" but they each have an "effect".

No.

WHIP. You can sort any regular season's WHIP leaders (and bottom feeders) and it makes complete sense. It is very closely related to a pitcher's overall skill....and can be used, in conjunction with a few other "sexy stats"...to determine pitcher skill rankings...who'd you want to give the ball to.


It's top heavy with guys who have pitcher-friendly home parks.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Thu Jul 11, 2013 7:34 pm 
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WHIP doesn't include HRs which are huge.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 12:03 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
WHIP. You can sort any regular season's WHIP leaders (and bottom feeders) and it makes complete sense. It is very closely related to a pitcher's overall skill....


Is that how you arrived at the idea that Nolan Ryan was one of the top ten pitchers of all time? Because he's 274th on the all-time list, a couple decimal points ahead of the great Javy Vazquez.

You're an idiot. I rest my case.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:15 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
You make so many outlandish statements that seem like 100% guesswork. I did the stat research to show you had no basis for your statement. What is your response?


I think JORR gave his response.

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You're an idiot. I rest my case.


:lol:


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:23 am 
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Yea JORR, to be fair he made a good point in whip, you came back with something that he showed certainly isn't anywhere close to true this year. Seems like he earned a real response there.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:30 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You're not really that obtuse, are you, Frank? Sometimes your ancillary numbers are good and you lose, sometimes they're bad and you win. What's so hard to understand about that?
Thats what people have been asking you for 25 pages now. You take a pitcher with a sub .500 record and say that he is "not having a very good year."

Not only is it factually in correct with regards to Chris Sale, who's ancillary numbers overall have been outstanding, its just flat out stupid to speak in such absolutes without taking a look at the rest of his stats to see exactly what kind of year the pitcher has had/is having.

Would you automatically assume that a guy who hit .204 had a bad year?

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:31 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
You make so many outlandish statements that seem like 100% guesswork. I did the stat research to show you had no basis for your statement. What is your response?


Yeah, I already gave my response. But don't kid yourself that you did some "stat research". You grabbed home and away splits for the top guys. So what? Citi, Detroit, Washington, LA, and Seattle are all parks that favor pitchers. Wrigley has largely played neutral for a long time. And don't rush off to the MLB site and come back here to bludgeon me with this year's runs. Those annual factors are subject to the teams playing there. That's why U.S. Cellular, which is known to be extremely hitter-friendly, is so far down the list.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:36 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
You're not really that obtuse, are you, Frank? Sometimes your ancillary numbers are good and you lose, sometimes they're bad and you win. What's so hard to understand about that?
Thats what people have been asking you for 25 pages now. You take a pitcher with a sub .500 record and say that he is "not having a very good year."

Not only is it factually in correct with regards to Chris Sale, who's ancillary numbers overall have been outstanding, its just flat out stupid to speak in such absolutes without taking a look at the rest of his stats to see exactly what kind of year the pitcher has had/is having.

Would you automatically assume that a guy who hit .204 had a bad year?


I don't give a fuck about his ancillary stats. I'm not trying to evaluate Chris Sale to sign him to a contract or make a trade involving him. He has a W/L record you have admitted isn't good. That means he isn't having a good year. His WHIP isn't helping me or his team. That's what's meaningless. But I'm glad he's helping you lead a roto category.

A guy who hit .204 would have to do a lot of other shit to overcome it. And frankly, I wouldn't want the best .204 hitter in the game on my team. In fact, I think he's there now and most fans would love for him to be gone.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:38 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
You're calling the Chicago Cubs offense high powered. The team would be surprised, but very thankful, to hear that.


There are more ways to calculate park factors than there are to calculate WAR. Whichever one you're looking at certainly has the opponents figured in somehow.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:51 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I don't give a fuck about his ancillary stats.
:lol: You sure as fuck did about Sale's game yesterday. So you only care about the numbers when they make your point of view look good.

Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
A guy who hit .204 would have to do a lot of other shit to overcome it. And frankly, I wouldn't want the best .204 hitter in the game on my team. In fact, I think he's there now and most fans would love for him to be gone.
That is a typical Joe Orr answer that does not actually answer the question at hand. I never said anything about the fans or how he was in comparison to the rest of the league. I asked you a simple yes or no question, and you dodged it. Again.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:51 am 
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Do we all agree that luck evens out over a career


There are no bad luck careers


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 7:51 am 
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I think I just read that the Cubs lead in extra base hits.


JORR, that's sort of a thought I had last night. If you're saying it's not relevant moving forward, it's not relevant to really nailing down his value and it's not relevant because you're not in charge of transactions... when is it relevant? It kind of isn't. I think the only answer may be arbitrary internet message board arguments about stuff that really doesn't matter. Which is ok, that's why we are here. But it also should be taken a lot less seriously than all of the other things listed.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:00 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
I think I just read that the Cubs lead in extra base hits.


JORR, that's sort of a thought I had last night. If you're saying it's not relevant moving forward, it's not relevant to really nailing down his value and it's not relevant because you're not in charge of transactions... when is it relevant? It kind of isn't. I think the only answer may be arbitrary internet message board arguments about stuff that really doesn't matter. Which is ok, that's why we are here. But it also should be taken a lot less seriously than all of the other things listed.


I don't look at the game that way. He could get hurt tomorrow. I'm only interested in what a guy might do going forward in that it may help the team I root for. I don't really take any of it seriously at all. It's just baseball.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:00 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Do we all agree that luck evens out over a career


There are no bad luck careers

Disagree. Nick Adenhart.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:02 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I don't give a fuck about his ancillary stats.
:lol: You sure as fuck did about Sale's game yesterday. So you only care about the numbers when they make your point of view look good.


No, Frank. Sale pitched a good game yesterday. Apparently not according to you.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:02 am 
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Kirkwood wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Do we all agree that luck evens out over a career


There are no bad luck careers

Disagree. Nick Adenhart.


Mean but funny.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:04 am 
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Ok, Joe Orr Wind Sock. Which one is it? Did he pitch good or not?
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
but anyone following this game today in the here and now knows Sale wasn't very good.


Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
No, Frank. Sale pitched a good game yesterday. Apparently not according to you.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:05 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Ok, Joe Orr Wind Sock. Which one is it? Did he pitch good or not?
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
but anyone following this game today in the here and now knows Sale wasn't very good.


Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
No, Frank. Sale pitched a good game yesterday. Apparently not according to you.


:lol:


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:07 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Ok, Joe Orr Wind Sock. Which one is it? Did he pitch good or not?
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
but anyone following this game today in the here and now knows Sale wasn't very good.


Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
No, Frank. Sale pitched a good game yesterday. Apparently not according to you.


Are you following the thread? Or are you getting yourself so worked up into a typical Frank-frenzy to make ad hominem attacks against me that you missed this?:

Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I realize you may have misunderstood my post about Sale's game today. What I meant was he wasn't good at all the things you value today. And yet, he found a way to outpitch Anibal Sanchez, a guy who had a lower ERA entering the game and was also supported by a far superior offense.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:08 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Ok, Joe Orr Wind Sock. Which one is it? Did he pitch good or not?
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
but anyone following this game today in the here and now knows Sale wasn't very good.


Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
No, Frank. Sale pitched a good game yesterday. Apparently not according to you.


:lol:


See above. I expect such nonsense from Frank. Not from you.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:10 am 
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Another yes or no question you haven't answered yet. Did Sale pitch a good game yesterday?

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