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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:10 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Another yes or no question you haven't answered yet. Did Sale pitch a good game yesterday?


Are you experiencing difficulty reading?

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:12 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Ok, Joe Orr Wind Sock. Which one is it? Did he pitch good or not?
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
but anyone following this game today in the here and now knows Sale wasn't very good.


Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
No, Frank. Sale pitched a good game yesterday. Apparently not according to you.


:lol:


See above. I expect such nonsense from Frank. Not from you.


Just being honest... when I read it, it made me chuckle.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:12 am 
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Its a simple question Orr, even a baby could answer it.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:17 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
Just being honest... when I read it, it made me chuckle.


Yeah, if you popped into the thread without following it, it makes me look ridiculous. And that was his intention. No problem.

The point is that you and Frank and apparently most fans these days would say that Sale wasn't too good yesterday. I think he pitched a hell of a game.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:19 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
Just being honest... when I read it, it made me chuckle.


Yeah, if you popped into the thread without following it, it makes me look ridiculous. And that was his intention. No problem.

The point is that you and Frank and apparently most fans these days would say that Sale wasn't too good yesterday. I think he pitched a hell of a game.


I think the point is he didn't pitch nearly as well as he has in many losses this season, and registered a win.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:21 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
Just being honest... when I read it, it made me chuckle.


Yeah, if you popped into the thread without following it, it makes me look ridiculous. And that was his intention. No problem.

The point is that you and Frank and apparently most fans these days would say that Sale wasn't too good yesterday. I think he pitched a hell of a game.


I think the point is he didn't pitch nearly as well as he has in many losses this season, and registered a win.


This is the thing we just aren't going to agree on. The value of his pitching only exists relative to what's happening within the games he pitches. I understand you don't see it that way.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:26 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
I think the point is he didn't pitch nearly as well as he has in many losses this season, and registered a win.
DING DING


And Joe Orr, don't worry. I didn't have to post that to make you look ridiculous in this thread.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 8:31 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
Just being honest... when I read it, it made me chuckle.


Yeah, if you popped into the thread without following it, it makes me look ridiculous. And that was his intention. No problem.

The point is that you and Frank and apparently most fans these days would say that Sale wasn't too good yesterday. I think he pitched a hell of a game.


I think the point is he didn't pitch nearly as well as he has in many losses this season, and registered a win.


This is the thing we just aren't going to agree on. The value of his pitching only exists relative to what's happening within the games he pitches. I understand you don't see it that way.


I know, I'm with you.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 9:31 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
This is the thing we just aren't going to agree on. The value of his pitching only exists relative to what's happening within the games he pitches. I understand you don't see it that way.


Well the Sox average 3.8 runs per game this season. Any Sox pitcher could go out there and hold the 28 other teams that average more runs to under their average for the game in which they started. If that pitcher loses despite holding a team to less runs than it averages, and especially under the runs the Sox offense averages, how can the loss he receives approximate the value of his pitching relative to that game?

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 9:56 am 
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Frank, as a Sox fan, do you want Sale to put up great individual SABR stats or to get wins for your team?

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:00 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank, as a Sox fan, do you want Sale to put up great individual SABR stats or to get wins for your team?


Terrible question, it's not an or. It's an and, obviously.

This question doesn't at all address the fact that Frank thinks Wins are a team stat, not an individual stat.



And I could even take the awkward route of saying right now, if I were a Sox fan, I would rather have Sale pitching exactly like he is, than pitching worse and getting more wins. It would signal he's becoming bad moving forward, and it would lower his value should they decide to trade him.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:01 am 
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veganfan21 wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
This is the thing we just aren't going to agree on. The value of his pitching only exists relative to what's happening within the games he pitches. I understand you don't see it that way.


Well the Sox average 3.8 runs per game this season. Any Sox pitcher could go out there and hold the 28 other teams that average more runs to under their average for the game in which they started. If that pitcher loses despite holding a team to less runs than it averages, and especially under the runs the Sox offense averages, how can the loss he receives approximate the value of his pitching relative to that game?


I completely understand your point and I'm not dismissing it. Again, 16 starts is a miniscule sample. In fact, Sale's whole career is a miniscule sample.

But we wouldn't normally be having this discussion about some marginal fifth starter. We're talking about a top pitcher here. I get that he has a slightly tougher task than the guy who is facing the Sox in the same game most of the time this season. Not only did he face a more powerful offense yesterday, he went against a pitcher with a lower ERA. But he won the way I would expect him to. He's better than Anibal Sanchez. Or he is supposed to be anyway.

Let me put it another way. I see a guy's W/L record as his result. The other stuff is just the things he used to arrive at the result. In other words, things like WHIP and ERA are a better measure of what we might call "stuff" than they are of pitching. Guys like Colon and Peavy don't have the stuff they once did, but they are as effective as ever as pitchers. WHIP and ERA and K/9 and K/BB, those things are just a toolbox. Of course, going forward you're probably going to want the guy with the larger toolbox.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:03 am 
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Here's another question I would ask and it's somewhat philosophical. Do you think pitchers pitch games or do they pitch a string of continuous innings with no regard to game context?

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:05 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:

This question doesn't at all address the fact that Frank thinks Wins are a team stat, not an individual stat.


They're both.

IS WHIP a team stat? It's tough to keep guys off base without fielders catching the ball.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:06 am 
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When I look at a guy with a great ERA & WHIP but a lousy record that usually tells me is that his team sucks.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:07 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank, as a Sox fan, do you want Sale to put up great individual SABR stats or to get wins for your team?


Terrible question, it's not an or. It's an and, obviously.

This question doesn't at all address the fact that Frank thinks Wins are a team stat, not an individual stat.



And I could even take the awkward route of saying right now, if I were a Sox fan, I would rather have Sale pitching exactly like he is, than pitching worse and getting more wins. It would signal he's becoming bad moving forward, and it would lower his value should they decide to trade him.


I disagree. He seems fine with the fact that Sale is pitching 'great' and not getting wins. As a fan of the team he should want him to get wins in any way possible. Why does the individual stats of a Chris Sale make someone feel better about the team being one of the worst in baseball?

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:08 am 
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I once again go back to 1968. Fergie lost 5 1-0 games and a ND in a 6th one.
It's his fault? C'mon! (He still won 20-something that year)

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:09 am 
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jimmypasta wrote:
I once again go back to 1968. Fergie lost 5 1-0 games and a ND in a 6th one.
It's his fault? C'mon! (He still won 20-something that year)


Why are you dismissing the guys who threw shutouts against a team with an 89 win Pythagorean record???????

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:10 am 
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jimmypasta wrote:
I once again go back to 1968. Fergie lost 5 1-0 games and a ND in a 6th one.
It's his fault? C'mon! (He still won 20-something that year)


So he wasnt as good that day as the other pitcher.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:15 am 
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I also believe that some of the though process of the pitchers is generational. I have no doubt that most pitchers today that put up a .250 ERA and a losing record think they are doing great. I know Fergie was angry that he gave up those runs that caused him to go 0-5 in the games jimmy mentions.
Just like if you've watched enough baseball, you've seen these pitchers today who have been on pitch counts their entire lives, some of them start looking at the dugout when they hit 100 pitches.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:17 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank, as a Sox fan, do you want Sale to put up great individual SABR stats or to get wins for your team?


Terrible question, it's not an or. It's an and, obviously.

This question doesn't at all address the fact that Frank thinks Wins are a team stat, not an individual stat.



And I could even take the awkward route of saying right now, if I were a Sox fan, I would rather have Sale pitching exactly like he is, than pitching worse and getting more wins. It would signal he's becoming bad moving forward, and it would lower his value should they decide to trade him.


I disagree. He seems fine with the fact that Sale is pitching 'great' and not getting wins. As a fan of the team he should want him to get wins in any way possible. Why does the individual stats of a Chris Sale make someone feel better about the team being one of the worst in baseball?


Because if Sale was pitching bad and getting wins, you'd still have a really shitty team with a couple more wins, and literally not a single player that's worth holding on to.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:19 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I also believe that some of the though process of the pitchers is generational. I have no doubt that most pitchers today that put up a .250 ERA and a losing record think they are doing great. I know Fergie was angry that he gave up those runs that caused him to go 0-5 in the games jimmy mentions.
Just like if you've watched enough baseball, you've seen these pitchers today who have been on pitch counts their entire lives, some of them start looking at the dugout when they hit 100 pitches.


Of course he was angry, that's just internal competitive nature. I think a lot of pro athletes have that. But yea, at the same time, a 2.50 ERA with losses still means a fat paycheck, because he's pitching really well. And he knows the losses will have no basis on his evaluation, or his negotiation.


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:20 am 
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David Wells was just talking about that this morning on Mike and Mike. (M&H was busy discussing politics of Wrigley).

He said that pitch counts might be saving some of the starters but ruining the bullpens.

He also said that he has gout.


that's all I got out of the interview

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:23 am 
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JORR,
I do believe there is some merit in your argument. Sometimes you just have to pitch better than "very good". This might be comparable to a hitter with a .300 average and 20 HR's that disappears in the clutch.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:24 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:

Because if Sale was pitching bad and getting wins, you'd still have a really shitty team with a couple more wins, and literally not a single player that's worth holding on to.


Maybe not. Winning gets into teams heads. Pitchers start to try to one up each other, next thing you know you have an 8 game win streak because no one wants to be the guy that loses. It happened in the playoffs in 05. If you dont think that those guys were competing with each other for those complete games you are crazy.

I think the opposite is true as well. If you see a good pitcher like Sale keep getting losses what does that do to a Dylan Axelrod or Quintana... 'Shit if this guy cant even get a win what chance do I have...'

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:25 am 
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jimmypasta wrote:
JORR,
I do believe there is some merit in your argument. Sometimes you just have to pitch better than "very good". This might be comparable to a hitter with a .300 average and 20 HR's that disappears in the clutch.


Fergie disagrees


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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:26 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I also believe that some of the though process of the pitchers is generational. I have no doubt that most pitchers today that put up a .250 ERA and a losing record think they are doing great. I know Fergie was angry that he gave up those runs that caused him to go 0-5 in the games jimmy mentions.
Just like if you've watched enough baseball, you've seen these pitchers today who have been on pitch counts their entire lives, some of them start looking at the dugout when they hit 100 pitches.


Of course he was angry, that's just internal competitive nature. I think a lot of pro athletes have that. But yea, at the same time, a 2.50 ERA with losses still means a fat paycheck, because he's pitching really well. And he knows the losses will have no basis on his evaluation, or his negotiation.


Yeah, I don't want it to sound like I'm judging. I'm not the old guy shaking his fist. Not usually. :lol: It's just different times. Different expectations.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:37 am 
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I will take Chris Sale pitching like he is right now 100% and let the W-L chips fall where they may. He is still having an excellent season regardless of what his W-L looks like right now.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:38 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
I will take Chris Sale pitching like he is right now 100% and let the W-L chips fall where they may. He is still having an excellent season regardless of what his W-L looks like right now.


OK, fair enough.

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 Post subject: Re: Help!
PostPosted: Fri Jul 12, 2013 10:59 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
I will take Chris Sale pitching like he is right now 100% and let the W-L chips fall where they may. He is still having an excellent season regardless of what his W-L looks like right now.


OK, fair enough.


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