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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 8:43 am 
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I am just glad to see JORR has all those guys as MLB talents.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 8:44 am 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Dunston was ahead of his time back when strikeouts were considered a bad thing.


He'd be considered a contact hitter in today's game. :lol:

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 8:46 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
I will restrict this to only his guys. Hendry guys that he inherited are not included. I want to keep it to only prospects so, while Ian Stewart has played more minor league than MLB games in the organization, he doesn't make the list. Also, bad free agent signings like Edwin Jackson are not on the list. I have a feeling we will have more than enough of those to start its own thread once Ricketts opens the pocket book. Obviously the prospect thing is fluid. Maybe Rizzo will be different than the player he has shown himself to be in 2 of the 3 seasons he has seen MLB time. So far:

0-1 .000

Rizzo- as bigfan noted when he was acquired, this was Theo's guy. He drafted him and traded for him. This was the guy he knew as well as anyone. He is giving off a Hee Sop Choi vibe.


Rizzo is on pace for 28 HR's and 100 RBI in his first full season and that's a miss?

Think you missed on this one. He needs to keep improving, but I think most franchises would be happy to have him.

http://www.obstructedview.net/getting-t ... tment.html

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 8:46 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
I would make Reed a starter, but I'm crazy like that. If he blows out his arm, who cares, he's just a reliever right now anyway.


He barely has enough pitches to get three outs and you want to ask him to get 18?

This is something no one considers.

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Addison Reed has thrown 1,754 pitches that have been tracked by the PITCHf/x system between 2011 and 2013, including pitches thrown in the MLB Regular Season and Spring Training. In 2013, he has relied primarily on his Fourseam Fastball (94mph) and Slider (85mph)


He has to develop the change and be able to be effective with it to even consider this. There is no way you roll him out there with only a fastball and slider. Lay off the slider and smoke the fastball.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 8:51 am 
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Of course it would be a gamble, but when you are in the hole, that's the only way out....

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 8:55 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
I think highly of Castro as a hitter. As a player, I think he is a selfish guy focused on offensive stats. I do think he is a .300 hitter.

Jeff Francouer was a .300 hitter


He's going to be selling insurance pretty soon


Again, Castro is not a Theo guy and I get a feeling he is REALLLY not a Theo guy behind the scenes.

Let's focus on Rizzo, a 1B who is going to get you low 20 HRs, a .250 average and below average OBP before he is not offered a contract after his arbitration years are up. That is 0-1.

You think he's peaking right now then?


BTW, not that WAR is a perfect stat but just to let you know, he's 12th among 1B in MLB.

Also, Joey Votto had 24 HR and 84 RBI in his first full season (albeit with a higher average)


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 Post subject: Re: The Prospect-O-Meter
PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:00 am 
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good dolphin wrote:

I agree, but he isn't a Theo guy so stop mucking up my thread. It isn't even worth discussion as Castro will not be the shortstop when they win the world series. If he reverts back to his mean, they will move his ass out of town as quickly as possible.


Hah, nice response. Then you go on to comment on Castro in subsequent posts. So stop mucking up your own thread and WYC?

:)

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:08 am 
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bigfan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
I will restrict this to only his guys. Hendry guys that he inherited are not included. I want to keep it to only prospects so, while Ian Stewart has played more minor league than MLB games in the organization, he doesn't make the list. Also, bad free agent signings like Edwin Jackson are not on the list. I have a feeling we will have more than enough of those to start its own thread once Ricketts opens the pocket book. Obviously the prospect thing is fluid. Maybe Rizzo will be different than the player he has shown himself to be in 2 of the 3 seasons he has seen MLB time. So far:

0-1 .000

Rizzo- as bigfan noted when he was acquired, this was Theo's guy. He drafted him and traded for him. This was the guy he knew as well as anyone. He is giving off a Hee Sop Choi vibe.


Rizzo is on pace for 28 HR's and 100 RBI in his first full season and that's a miss?

Think you missed on this one. He needs to keep improving, but I think most franchises would be happy to have him.

http://www.obstructedview.net/getting-t ... tment.html


I don't think your pace numbers are correct.

This is the second article in half of a season telling me how great the theoretical Rizzo is. The first one was when he was in his early season slump. He's great when he's great and he's great when he isn't great, I guess.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:13 am 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Cashner is a walking arm injury. I'm happy with where Rizzo is right now. At the least it is still a toss-up if not 1 for 1.


Chris Davis was traded for nothing by Texas 6 months earlier than the Rizzo trade. Do you think Theo missed a golden opportunity because he was too focused on getting "his guy"?


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:16 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
I think highly of Castro as a hitter. As a player, I think he is a selfish guy focused on offensive stats. I do think he is a .300 hitter.

Jeff Francouer was a .300 hitter


He's going to be selling insurance pretty soon


Again, Castro is not a Theo guy and I get a feeling he is REALLLY not a Theo guy behind the scenes.

Let's focus on Rizzo, a 1B who is going to get you low 20 HRs, a .250 average and below average OBP before he is not offered a contract after his arbitration years are up. That is 0-1.

You think he's peaking right now then?


BTW, not that WAR is a perfect stat but just to let you know, he's 12th among 1B in MLB.

Also, Joey Votto had 24 HR and 84 RBI in his first full season (albeit with a higher average)


The guy is quickly approaching 1,000 MLB at bats. I think that gets you into "this is who he is" territory.

I think he is showing himself to be an extremely streaky hitter who will ultimately settle in as a league average 1B. He will be someone who you can live with, but who you would like to upgrade from if you can.

This was a guy Theo had to have. He was MLB ready when the acquired him so there was really no development on the Cubs end. I call that a miss for Theo and wholeheartedly stand by my 0-1 in the Theo Prospect-O-Meter

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:20 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
The guy is quickly approaching 1,000 MLB at bats. I think that gets you into "this is who he is" territory.


He's yet to play 100 games in a season.

I make a motion to dismiss on the basis of ridiculousness.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:21 am 
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I'd take Rizzo over Cashner. Cashner is 26 and has never put up eye-popping stats anywhere.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:26 am 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
The guy is quickly approaching 1,000 MLB at bats. I think that gets you into "this is who he is" territory.


He's yet to play 100 games in a season.

I make a motion to dismiss on the basis of ridiculousness.


Games played is far less relevant than plate appearances. Motion denied with a warning from the bench about filing frivolous motions.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 9:29 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
Games played is far less relevant than plate appearances. Motion denied with a warning from the bench about filing frivolous motions.


I strenuously motion.

PA that are spread over 3 seasons are different. A player needs to be able to play a season, make adjustments, and improve. I'd withhold judgement on him until next year after he's gone through an entire process, season, from beginning to end and knows what it takes for next year to prepare himself and the adjustments he'll need to make.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 10:22 am 
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Without looking up the particulars, I can't pile on the Cashner/Rizzo trade. It was a good deal. Cub got the best player in the deal, Padre thinking was clearing the way for their own 1B prospect. Alonso may not develop into Joey Votto (nor will Rizzo, most likely), but he's arguably a better fit for Petco with his line-drive swing, so you can understand the thinking. Yonder, despite his middling .270ish BA he's shown so far, did club 39 doubles last year. Conversely, even if Rizzo never fixes the holes in his swing, will be a league-average slugging first baseman with a chance to have an All-Star season or two.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 11:26 am 
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The jury is still out, but I wouldn't rule out the idea that TheoandJed had become emotionally attached to Rizzo or the idea of Rizzo. It happens to the best of us.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 11:38 am 
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And RPB, I want to point out that the way I'm reading this thread, Sarley is going to be disappointed if Bryant is Kelly Gruber. That's crazy. Kelly Gruber was a good player. Realistically, Bryant is more likely to be Brooks Kieschnick. Just getting that out there for the next time it comes and and someone says "Cub fans don't think that".

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2013 12:04 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
And RPB, I want to point out that the way I'm reading this thread, Sarley is going to be disappointed if Bryant is Kelly Gruber. That's crazy. Kelly Gruber was a good player. Realistically, Bryant is more likely to be Brooks Kieschnick. Just getting that out there for the next time it comes and and someone says "Cub fans don't think that".

Here's my issue with you're projections of Cubs fans. You gave a list of 6 players and your comp of them. If they all become solid major-leaguers that's a failure in my eyes. I look at those 6 as a basket of lottery tickets. I expect 1 perennial all-star and 1 above average starter. The rest can bust out. I don't care. The odds are against that but Jedstein were hired for their supposed expertise in drafting and developing. So my expectations are the ones Jedstein set themselves.


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 Post subject: Re: The Prospect-O-Meter
PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 2:25 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Rizzo is fine.

I was thinking about making a thread like this where people declare their guesses on all the prospects so we can bump it during the 2016 playoffs.


Rizzo = Adam LaRoche
Castro = Shawon Dunston
Bryant = Kelly Gruber
Baez = Ozzie Guillen
Almora = David DeJesus
Soler = Dayan Viciedo

.



OK I would like to see your Comps for a similar group of White Sox players .. the first two are on the roster (both are older then Rizzo by a few months and Castro a full year) next four are Top 3 prospects from Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus (they agreed) starting this year and this years number one pick

Sale=
Viciedo=
Courtney Hawkins=
Trayce Thompson=
Carlos Sanchez=
Tim Anderson=

OK JORR let em fly....... and anyone else care to chime in feel free.......

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 2:46 pm 
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Sale= Kevin Brown
Viciedo= Minnie Minoso
Courtney Hawkins= Ozzie Canseco
Trayce Thompson= Dan Pasqua
Carlos Sanchez= John Valentin
Tim Anderson= Chet Lemon

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 3:02 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Games played is far less relevant than plate appearances. Motion denied with a warning from the bench about filing frivolous motions.


I strenuously motion.

PA that are spread over 3 seasons are different. A player needs to be able to play a season, make adjustments, and improve. I'd withhold judgement on him until next year after he's gone through an entire process, season, from beginning to end and knows what it takes for next year to prepare himself and the adjustments he'll need to make.


OK, but you're also the same guy who wanted to give Weber close to a decade to prove he could recruit in the Big 10. To say that the Dr. Ken evaluation schedule is a bit slow would be a massive understatement. Nothing makes Dr. Ken so happy as fantasies about the unblemished if poorly defined future.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 3:08 pm 
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Sale= Dave Dravecky
Viciedo= Kevin Roberson
Courtney Hawkins= Jarron Gilbert
Trayce Thompson= Mychal Thompson
Carlos Sanchez= Gordon Beckham
Tim Anderson= Luis Montanez

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 6:19 pm 
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Sale= Mark Langston
Viciedo= Pedro Cerrano
Courtney Hawkins= Ken Williams
Trayce Thompson= Ken Williams
Carlos Sanchez= Alex Gonzalez (any of them)
Tim Anderson= Tony Womack

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 6:32 pm 
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as a point of reference, here are my comps for Cardinal prospects:

Oscar Taveras: Vladimir Guerrero
Kolten Wong: Ray Durham
Shelby Miller: Roy Oswalt
Trevor Rosenthal: John Smoltz
Michael Wacha: AJ Burnett

No Homer

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 6:48 pm 
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Sale= Randy Johnson
Viciedo= Pedro Guerrero
Courtney Hawkins= Preston Wilson
Trayce Thompson= Raul Ibanez
Carlos Sanchez= Rey Ordonez
Tim Anderson= Brady Anderson


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 7:22 pm 
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Apologist wrote:
as a point of reference, here are my comps for Cardinal prospects:

Oscar Taveras: Vladimir Guerrero
Kolten Wong: Ray Durham
Shelby Miller: Roy Oswalt
Trevor Rosenthal: John Smoltz
Michael Wacha: AJ Burnett

No Homer

Oscar Tavaras: Car-Go
Kolten Wong: Lou Whitaker
Shelby Miller: Matt Cain
Travor Rosenthal: Matt Anderson
Michael Wacha: Jon Garland


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 8:48 pm 
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Tall Midget wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Games played is far less relevant than plate appearances. Motion denied with a warning from the bench about filing frivolous motions.


I strenuously motion.

PA that are spread over 3 seasons are different. A player needs to be able to play a season, make adjustments, and improve. I'd withhold judgement on him until next year after he's gone through an entire process, season, from beginning to end and knows what it takes for next year to prepare himself and the adjustments he'll need to make.


OK, but you're also the same guy who wanted to give Weber close to a decade to prove he could recruit in the Big 10. To say that the Dr. Ken evaluation schedule is a bit slow would be a massive understatement. Nothing makes Dr. Ken so happy as fantasies about the unblemished if poorly defined future.


I've been a Cub fan for 37 years.

In much the same way I've been reading your posts for 7 years, patience is necessary.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 8:51 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:

I've been a Cub fan for 37 years.

In much the same way I've been reading your posts for 7 years, patience is necessary.

What team did you root for the first 33 years of your life?


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 8:55 pm 
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Colonel Angus wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:

I've been a Cub fan for 37 years.

In much the same way I've been reading your posts for 7 years, patience is necessary.

What team did you root for the first 33 years of your life?


The Romans.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 21, 2013 9:05 pm 
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Apologist wrote:
Sale= Mark Langston
Viciedo= Pedro Cerrano
Courtney Hawkins= Ken Williams
Trayce Thompson= Ken Williams
Carlos Sanchez= Alex Gonzalez (any of them)
Tim Anderson= Tony Womack


Nice. Looks pretty spot on to me.

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