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 Post subject: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 11:44 am 
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RG3 is coming back 7 months after tearing his ACL (another sign Rose is a mental midget) and they will have to adjust the offense so he won't reinjure himself. With no games reps and limited practice reps there will be a lot of rust and the timing of the offense will be off. Washington will try to lean on Morris but that won't be enough to match the more talented and explosive Eagles offense. I'm taking the Eagles and the line.

Eagles win 31-13
+155
5 units


Giants and the line.
+150
2 units

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Last edited by Nas on Sat Sep 07, 2013 9:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 1:04 pm 
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I'm not drinking the Redskins koolaid like many experts. I think they lose 10 games this year. I also think the Seahawks & Broncos regress.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 3:56 pm 
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One small upset this week I like is the FALCONS +150 . The come into NO as an obligatory +3. I think this is only due to the uncertainty with Payton back. I don't think he is such a miracle worker that he is going to make that team play defense. The Saints offense will be playing catch up all day as their D gives up score after score. Falcons are more than up to the task of stopping the Saints every second series or so.

Falcons 42 Saints 28

0-1 -100

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Last edited by good dolphin on Mon Sep 09, 2013 8:47 am, edited 2 times in total.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 4:15 pm 
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I think this is the season that the bottom drops out on the Falcons. I'm thinking 7-9 or 8-8. Feel free to bump this when the are in the NFC Championship game against the Bears.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Tue Sep 03, 2013 4:24 pm 
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I like the Falcons this week too. I picked against them all last year.

I was 41-36 picking upsets last year.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:10 am 
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Nas wrote:
I like the Falcons this week too. I picked against them all last year.

I was 41-36 picking upsets last year.


You are defining upset as a dog winning outright, correct? If so, that has to be the type of success people pay to hear.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 10:22 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
Nas wrote:
I like the Falcons this week too. I picked against them all last year.

I was 41-36 picking upsets last year.


You are defining upset as a dog winning outright, correct? If so, that has to be the type of success people pay to hear.


Yes. I believe all of my weekly threads are all in this section. I don't actually gamble (no one has introduced me to their bookie) so my picks are just for fun. Not having any pressure probably makes it easier to do.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 12:08 pm 
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Nas wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
Nas wrote:
I like the Falcons this week too. I picked against them all last year.

I was 41-36 picking upsets last year.


You are defining upset as a dog winning outright, correct? If so, that has to be the type of success people pay to hear.


Yes. I believe all of my weekly threads are all in this section. I don't actually gamble (no one has introduced me to their bookie) so my picks are just for fun. Not having any pressure probably makes it easier to do.


Keep them coming. Think of how profitable that number would be putting 1 unit taking the points and .5 on the money line.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 12:30 pm 
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Let's keep a running record of the money lines on these things to see what we would be up with straight 1 unit plays.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 12:58 pm 
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What's my bankroll? Or are we just following the line and keeping track of it based on 1 unit being bet on the game?

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:20 pm 
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[quote="Nas"]What's my bankroll?[\quote]
I dunno let's see that W2 again.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:21 pm 
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Carolina (+160)
Cincinnati (+135)

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 1:34 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Nas wrote:
What's my bankroll?[\quote]
I dunno let's see that W2 again.


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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Wed Sep 04, 2013 2:55 pm 
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Nas wrote:
What's my bankroll? Or are we just following the line and keeping track of it based on 1 unit being bet on the game?


post the money line with your pick. You can attribute any amount of units to it that you want. It's your own record.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Sat Sep 07, 2013 9:52 pm 
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This is a late addition but I think it's a great one. The Patriots will be without Amendola and Gronkowski and I doubt Ridley and Thompkins will be enough. The Bills will control the clock with Spiller and their underrated defense will do enough to keep the game close. Taking the points is the safe bet but I'm not playing it safe. I got the Bills and the line in a major upset at home.

Bills win 16-13.
+375
1 unit

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Sun Sep 08, 2013 12:03 am 
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Scorehead wrote:
I'm not drinking the Redskins koolaid like many experts. I think they lose 10 games this year. I also think the Seahawks & Broncos regress.


wow.... you're putting yourself out there, eh?

i think your vaunted 49ers are due to regress a little bit.... kapernick is going to come back to earth somewhat, and once you get past him...... shit, no crabtree? the ghost of anquan boldin? kendall hunter / frank gore? how much lamichael james do we see this year?

with the seahawks, i think they're going to go as far as russell wilson takes them, which means they're due to regress a smidge cuz i dont think it'll come as easily to him in year 2 as it did last year, but then again i have them picking up a little slack against the 49ers and making a proper divisional race out there.

as for the broncos? sheeeeeeit. in theory on paper yes i hear where you're coming from.... but if peyton manning throws like he did on thursday, welp, that could be a problem for everyone involved. somebody's gonna get pressure on him somehow this year cuz like, quick, name that vaunted broncos offensive line.....ha.

so yeah, the broncos have a chance for peyton manning to take over the team and have a proper year, and i think he'll be a very solid threat for 40+ TDs this time around and i think they're gonna be one of those "big boy" 13-3 AFC teams this year..... very likely the class of the AFC coming out with the 1/2 seed/bye-week when it's all said and done.

as much as i'd love to root agianst them and say that i agree with you, man, it's peyton damn manning.... it's a shit division. the broncos will be in the picture unless they go out of their way to insist that they're not. this means peyton would have to get significantly injured in my eyes.... idk. he's a clever dude out there.... as much as i'd love to see him lose lose lose cuz he beat the bears in the superbowl, my heart says go with scorehead while my head says "fucking hell.... peyton will be there in the end"

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Sep 09, 2013 1:40 pm 
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I'll tail you on the Eaglos. Please be correct.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Sep 09, 2013 2:07 pm 
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Nas wrote:
I like the Falcons this week too. I picked against them all last year.


You and Dolphin, please keep it up. Keep picking against my Saints. :wink:

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Sep 09, 2013 2:23 pm 
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That is why I hate the Falcons.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Sep 09, 2013 8:15 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
I'll tail you on the Eaglos. Please be correct.


Don't doubt me.

I should have taken the points with the Patriots.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Tue Sep 10, 2013 8:15 am 
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Nas wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
I'll tail you on the Eaglos. Please be correct.


Don't doubt me.

I should have taken the points with the Patriots.


I didn't doubt. I backed you with my own money. Thanks.

Like I wrote earlier, if you are doing that well picking upsets, your record picking dogs would be even better. Put 1 on the spread just for some security and .5 on the money line and you would be up huge with last year's record.

You were +475 for this week even going 1-2. You would have been +505 with a little bit of a different look at how you play.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 3:29 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
I think this is the season that the bottom drops out on the Falcons. I'm thinking 7-9 or 8-8. Feel free to bump this when the are in the NFC Championship game against the Bears.


Bumpity bump bump.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 3:37 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
Nas wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
I'll tail you on the Eaglos. Please be correct.


Don't doubt me.

I should have taken the points with the Patriots.


I didn't doubt. I backed you with my own money. Thanks.

Like I wrote earlier, if you are doing that well picking upsets, your record picking dogs would be even better. Put 1 on the spread just for some security and .5 on the money line and you would be up huge with last year's record.

You were +475 for this week even going 1-2. You would have been +505 with a little bit of a different look at how you play.


"IF" Said the guy in the corner of the OTB wearing my shoes from 1997!

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Sep 30, 2013 4:21 pm 
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You can take a plus .500 record to the bank

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 9:43 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
I think this is the season that the bottom drops out on the Falcons. I'm thinking 7-9 or 8-8. Feel free to bump this when the are in the NFC Championship game against the Bears.


Bumpity bump bump.



8)

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 9:45 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
I think this is the season that the bottom drops out on the Falcons. I'm thinking 7-9 or 8-8. Feel free to bump this when the are in the NFC Championship game against the Bears.


Bumpity bump bump.



8)


Good call...but, they have been hurt with injuries to White and Jackson all year, and Jones' recent injury compounded every other problem.

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 Post subject: Re: My Week 1 Upsets
PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 9:48 am 
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I'm so often wrong, it feels good to get one right.

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