Good idea to pick any 0-1 team that's considered a playoff contender. No one wants to start off 0-2.
I'd lean on Packers, Ravens, Giants, Falcons, and Bengals.

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Im going Ravens for one and the other one between Texans and Raiders

I agree, though Id think the Giants playing the Broncos would eliminate them

I went with the Eagles. I will post the breakdown when I receive the spreadsheet.

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Oakland this week.

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Elections have consequences.

Texans and Ravens

I see what those mean who say don't "save" teams for later, because with the way the Pats looked last night, I don't know if they can beat any real teams.

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Jacksonville it is. Thanks spmack!

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

only team worse than Jax is my FF team. I signed their TE Allen Reisner in hopes that he may have at least 2 or 3 catches.

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115 remain. I have Philadelphia

28 - New England
23 - Baltimore
18 - Houston
14 - Oakland
10 - Philadelphia
6 - Atlanta
5 - Green Bay
4 - Bears
2 - Cincinnati
2 - Dallas
2 - New Orleans
1 - Indianapolis


I suspect that several people will be eliminated this week.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Those Oakland people are probably going to be very upset.
I liked your logic on philly, so I switched out New England as Philly was one of my three I was looking at because I didn't like New England with everyone hurt on a short week in bad weather. The other team that was tempting this week was Cincinnati because I think Pittsburgh is going to be really bad. However, it's too early in the year to take that kind of a chance on an undisciplined team against a team that has owned them.

_________________

I think that is the right move. You are probably going to want to use the Bengals in week 8.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Not big on the Rams, but Falcons top 2 receivers are injured could be an interesting game, a little surprised not more on the Bears.

Good luck with this Chus

That's all, folks.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Never in doubt...

Rogers Park McNeil

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

But hey, at least you have the next fifteen weeks planned. 16-1!!!

_________________
-- source

Just because I went out in the second week, doesn't mean the strategy was flawed. It doesn't matter if I get eliminated in week two, or five, or eight. You win, or you don't.

It's like in Texas holdem, when somebody goes to the river with a gut shot straight draw, when they are getting 3 to 1 odds. Even if it hits, it was still the wrong play.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

As point spreads for Week 3 of the NFL season were posted Sunday night in Las Vegas, here some games that caught our attention: the Patriots are laying just a touchdown at home against the Bucs; the Cards took significant early action for their upcoming trip to New Orleans; the Dolphins are favored over the Falcons; and the Ravens are getting points in a revenge spot at home vs. the Texans.

Here’s the full Week 3 card, with opening Vegas consensus lines and some notes on early action:

Chiefs at Eagles (-3.5, 49.5)

Kansas City, 2-0 after hanging on for the win but non-cover at home against Dallas, opened as a field-goal plus underdog in Philly, who lost a 33-30 shootout to San Diego on Sunday. The LVH opened the Eagles -3.5, other Vegas books hung -3 with extra vig. William Hill saw a bit of early Philly action and moved the price from -3 (-120) to -3 (-125) Sunday night.

Chargers at Titans (-3.5, 44)

Tennessee nearly pulled off a second-straight upset on the road in Houston, as the Texans needed OT to beat them. Now, the Titans are favored at home vs. a Chargers club coming off a win in Philly after a short week. This game opened as low as -3, at the Wynn.

Browns at Vikings (-3.5, 41)

Bettors laid this early line, which was pushed up to -4 at the LVH and William Hill. Both teams will be looking to avoid 0-2 starts.

Bucs at Patriots (-7, 45)

This line indicates some lost respect on New England, who have looked less-than-impressive in getting off to a 2-0 start, struggling to wins against the Bills and Jets. Tampa Bay is 0-2 after losing at home to New Orleans Sunday.

Texans (-2.5, 44.5) at Ravens

The LVH opened at this number, and William Hill moved to it after originally hanging Houston -2. Baltimore will have revenge in mind, as an injury-depleted Ravens squad was blown out by Houston, 43-13, last October.

Rams at Cowboys (-4, 46.5)

Dallas has covered in both its games this season, as a late Dan Bailey field goal got the cash for Cowboys backers Sunday vs. K.C. St. Louis, meanwhile, is 0-2 ATS, losing by seven as a 5.5-point dog in Atlanta. The Rams were 7-1 ATS on the road last season. The Cowboys, the Week 1 cover against the Giants notwithstanding, have been a money-losing proposition as home favorites in recent seasons.

Cardinals at Saints (-9, 50)

The LVH’s opening number proved much too rich for bettors’ tastes, as they snapped up the points and pushed the line down the ladder to 7.5. William Hill opened 8.5 and was at 7.5 by later Sunday night. UNDER money pushed the total down to 48.5 at WH.

Lions at Redskins (-2.5, 49)

We’re seeing quite the variety of numbers Monday morning – the line is anywhere from Washington -1 to -2.5 The LVH bounced around quite a bit on its own Sunday night, as Detroit money pushed the spread all the way down to -1 before Washington buy-back moved it back to the original price of -2.5.

Packers (-1, 49) at Bengals

Aaron Rodgers led Green Bay to a rather easy home win over Washington. Cincy is a touchdown favorite at home against Pittsburgh on Monday.

Giants at Panthers (-3, 45)

Both teams are in 0-2 holes. New York backers took the +3 at the LVH and the 2.5s at William Hill, which moved the number to 2. These teams played in Carolina in Week 3 last season as well, and the Giants rolled, 36-7, as 2.5-point Thursday night dogs.

Falcons at Dolphins (-2, 44)

Another game with a range of opening prices – Miami opened as low as -1 at the Wynn and as high as 2.5 at the LVH. The Dolphins are off to an impressive start, winning their first two games, both on the road.

Colts at 49ers (-10, 46)

Both teams are 1-1 after losing on Sunday, Indy at home to Miami, and San Fran in embarrassing fashion in Seattle.

Jaguars at Seahawks (-17, 40)

This is about a lopsided an NFL game as possible Seattle was No. 2 in our power ratings – even before blowing out San Fran Sunday night – and Jacksonville is at the bottom.

Bills at Jets (-2.5, 39)

A matchup of 1-1 AFC East teams. Buffalo pulled one out late at home vs. Carolina on Sunday.

Bears (-1.5, 41) at Steelers

Chicago has won both its games by very narrow margins and finds itself an early favorite on the road in Pittsburgh for next week’s Sunday nighter.

Raiders at Broncos (-14.5, 50)

Denver is looking scary early, winning going away against its first two opponents. A home win over Jacksonville won’t impress many, but Oakland is this close to a 2-0 start, as they nearly completed an upset over the Colts in Week 1.

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If you take anyone other than Denver or Seattle you are crazy

I'm saving Denver and Seattle for week 17 and the divisional round (assuming Denver gets a bye).

_________________
-- source

Wouldn't surprise me if 80% of our league goes with Seahawks to beat Jax in Week 3.

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Now, Chus, THIS is when I might plan ahead a bit. Seattle and Denver seem like locks this week. I will probably look a week or two ahead to see one of them has a favorable matchup later. But mapping out an entire season? That's a recipe for disaster.

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-- source

In today's NFL I think mapping out is not prudent

In the 90's it was definitely neccessary

Cowboys, 9ers, Packers


There were two or three games a week that were virtual locks

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-- source

21 eliminated yesterday thanks to 49ers and Vikings. 15 have the option to buy back in.



Saints appear to be the heavy favorite for this week. Can't see the Dolphins beating them in the Superdome.

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Got both my entries thru this week with Seattle and Denver


4 out this week. 29 left


Thinking Saints and KC

We're down to 68. Thinking Denver this week.

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-- source

Could see a lot of people picking the Colts and that might be a let down game

Eagles scare me a little.

Luckily I already took the Colts. Eagles can scare you, but Peyton will ease your fears.

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-- source