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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 16, 2013 11:01 am 
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If only Mac had the ability to stick with this for the season.

The better move would have been to bet nothing but overs

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 16, 2013 4:40 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
If only Mac had the ability to stick with this for the season.

The better move would have been to bet nothing but overs


Mac's plan was to play the biggest ML favorite every week. Denver just lost at almost -500. That wipes away five weeks right there.

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 23, 2013 11:38 am 
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2013: 154-68-1 +1064

week 16

Buffalo W
Carolina W
Dallas W
St. Louis W
Philadelphia W
NY Jets W
Kansas City -335
Cincinnati W
Denver W
Tennessee W
Seattle -405
Detroit -400
San Diego W
Pittsburgh W
New England W
San Francisco W

13-3 +160
2013: 167-71-1 +1224

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Last edited by Chus on Sun Dec 29, 2013 7:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 23, 2013 8:00 pm 
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4.2% return. Better than a money market. Mac wins again.

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 23, 2013 9:28 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
4.2% return.


Even with the huge money lines involving the early Jacksonville games? It has to be lower than that. The Seattle/Jacksonville game was -2200.


Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Better than a money market. Mac wins again.


This is an abnormality. I can't remember favorites hitting like this, in all of my years going to the window. Scorehead is winning the pickem league, if that tells you anything.

The show pot vanished like a fart in the wind. Mac lost, as usual.

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Dec 26, 2013 10:55 am 
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I will say on my wagering, this is where I get caught the most, if I like an underdog, instead of taking the points, I go right to the moneyline, so probably could have made more along the way, wanted to make more quick.

If you wanted to try the moneyline with the favorites, do a parlay with a couple of them, may have a 5 team one, but if comes through make some money and when I have done that in the past, always one u have to sweat out.


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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Dec 26, 2013 10:59 am 
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Chus wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
4.2% return.


Even with the huge money lines involving the early Jacksonville games? It has to be lower than that. The Seattle/Jacksonville game was -2200.


Yeah, you're right. I was assuming you were just putting a $100 on each game.

I'm not going to go back and calculate all that out. I'll just assume Mac is correct and move on.

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Dec 27, 2013 1:25 am 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Chus wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
4.2% return.


Even with the huge money lines involving the early Jacksonville games? It has to be lower than that. The Seattle/Jacksonville game was -2200.


Yeah, you're right. I was assuming you were just putting a $100 on each game.

I'm not going to go back and calculate all that out. I'll just assume Mac is correct and move on.


The Seattle game would be betting $2200 to win $100, that's why I don't think the 4.2% return was correct. There were some HUGE point spreads this year.

Again, this is an anomaly. We can do this again next year, and I would be shocked if the results are the same.

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Dec 27, 2013 1:32 am 
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Chus wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
4.2% return.


Even with the huge money lines involving the early Jacksonville games? It has to be lower than that. The Seattle/Jacksonville game was -2200.


Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Better than a money market. Mac wins again.


This is an abnormality. I can't remember favorites hitting like this, in all of my years going to the window. Scorehead is winning the pickem league, if that tells you anything.

The show pot vanished like a fart in the wind. Mac lost, as usual.


It isn't a "pickem" league...its an against the spread league. You are picking the same games with the same point spreads as I am...you just aren't as good at it as I am. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Dec 27, 2013 9:36 am 
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Scorehead wrote:
Chus wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
4.2% return.


Even with the huge money lines involving the early Jacksonville games? It has to be lower than that. The Seattle/Jacksonville game was -2200.


Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Better than a money market. Mac wins again.


This is an abnormality. I can't remember favorites hitting like this, in all of my years going to the window. Scorehead is winning the pickem league, if that tells you anything.

The show pot vanished like a fart in the wind. Mac lost, as usual.


It isn't a "pickem" league...its an against the spread league. You are picking the same games with the same point spreads as I am...you just aren't as good at it as I am. :lol:


The heading on the page says "Pro Football Pickem"

http://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/pickem/29004

swing and a miss

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Dec 29, 2013 7:58 pm 
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2013: 167-71-1 +1224

Carolina W
Green Bay W
Tennessee W
Pittsburgh W
NY Giants W
Cincinnati W
Indianapolis W
Miami -290
Detroit -133
New England W
New Orleans W
Denver W
Arizona -155
San Diego W
Seattle W

12-3 +622
2013: 179-74-1 +1846

Philadelphia

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Dec 29, 2013 9:10 pm 
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On Twitter, somebody in the know said that this was the worst NFL Sunday for Vegas this year. If the Eagles cover, it will be even worse.

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Jan 08, 2014 7:26 pm 
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What would your total outlay be for making 1300 dollars?


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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Jan 08, 2014 7:45 pm 
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Chus wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Chus wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
4.2% return.


Even with the huge money lines involving the early Jacksonville games? It has to be lower than that. The Seattle/Jacksonville game was -2200.


Yeah, you're right. I was assuming you were just putting a $100 on each game.

I'm not going to go back and calculate all that out. I'll just assume Mac is correct and move on.


The Seattle game would be betting $2200 to win $100, that's why I don't think the 4.2% return was correct. There were some HUGE point spreads this year.

Again, this is an anomaly. We can do this again next year, and I would be shocked if the results are the same.

Thanks for doing this Chus. Was fun to see every week .

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Jan 09, 2014 9:34 am 
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Hawkeye Vince wrote:
What would your total outlay be for making 1300 dollars?


Does it matter? The system takes almost zero work and I don't think it was ever in the red at any point during the year. I call that a good run. I wouldn't rely on it in the future

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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Jan 10, 2014 9:52 am 
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It does from an ROI perspective - He might have made 1300 bucks but if he had to outlay 70K to do it, it doesn't look too good. You could make more money in the bank - that's all I'm saying.


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 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Jan 10, 2014 10:14 am 
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First 2 weeks averaged a $4k outlay so $70k seems about right.

So looks to be about 5.5-6.0% return over 4 months or so.

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