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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 11:03 am 
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RFDC wrote:
I have seen a few people saying they now like the Packers because of the extreme weather conditions they will be playing in. However, I don't think the 49ers are a team that will really be impacted by the weather. This isn't the Saints coming to play in the cold.


Exactly. Ther 49ers can play smash mouth as well as anybody. If the Bears were able to harass Rodgers, what will the 49ers do?

Remember 1988. The finesse 49ers would never be able to deal with the Bear weather. We all know how that went down.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 11:25 am 
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IND is now a point home dog at some books after opening -2.5 faves. A 3+ point swing for a playoff game sounds absurd.

Edit: 5dimes for example has IND +2.5 (-105) Whooooaaaaa is that a massive swing for a playoff game! 5 points without any kind of injury. I don't even think the GB/MIN game was adjusted 5 points when Webb started instead of Ponder!


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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 11:56 am 
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Kirkwood wrote:
IND is now a point home dog at some books after opening -2.5 faves. A 3+ point swing for a playoff game sounds absurd.

Edit: 5dimes for example has IND +2.5 (-105) Whooooaaaaa is that a massive swing for a playoff game! 5 points without any kind of injury. I don't even think the GB/MIN game was adjusted 5 points when Webb started instead of Ponder!


RT Eric Fisher will miss the game for the Chiefs.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 12:03 pm 
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Chus wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
IND is now a point home dog at some books after opening -2.5 faves. A 3+ point swing for a playoff game sounds absurd.

Edit: 5dimes for example has IND +2.5 (-105) Whooooaaaaa is that a massive swing for a playoff game! 5 points without any kind of injury. I don't even think the GB/MIN game was adjusted 5 points when Webb started instead of Ponder!


RT Eric Fisher will miss the game for the Chiefs.

He's that bad eh? :wink:

Chus do you remember a playoff game moving like this ever?


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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 12:30 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Chus wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
IND is now a point home dog at some books after opening -2.5 faves. A 3+ point swing for a playoff game sounds absurd.

Edit: 5dimes for example has IND +2.5 (-105) Whooooaaaaa is that a massive swing for a playoff game! 5 points without any kind of injury. I don't even think the GB/MIN game was adjusted 5 points when Webb started instead of Ponder!


RT Eric Fisher will miss the game for the Chiefs.

He's that bad eh? :wink:

Chus do you remember a playoff game moving like this ever?


I just saw something on twitter, that this is the second playoff game since 2003 to move 5 points. I don't know what the other game was.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 2:38 pm 
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RFDC wrote:
I have seen a few people saying they now like the Packers because of the extreme weather conditions they will be playing in. However, I don't think the 49ers are a team that will really be impacted by the weather. This isn't the Saints coming to play in the cold.

If the game was between 25 - 35 degrees I'd say no impact 49ers would crush the Packers. But 0 and below is something else. Going from 60s to 30s is somewhat a shock and this is subtracing at least another 30 degrees. The Packers have a sliver of hope because of the weather.

The Packers should hope for the 49ers to get mind fucked like the Cowboys did.


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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 2:43 pm 
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I imagine Gore and Kapernick will run just fine. Lacey as well but SF def better by far.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 2:52 pm 
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Placed my futures bets. Went with San Francisco to win the NFC and couldn't find anybody I liked with the odds in the AFC. Also took 49ers -2.5 parlayed with the under for tomorrow's games. I want to make a play on the NFC game tonight but I don't have a good feel for it.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 4:40 pm 
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Alex smith and chiefs looking good to open

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 4:48 pm 
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Indy played from behind a lot this year.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 4:58 pm 
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I haven't seen him much yet but Luck is good at football.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 5:02 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
I haven't seen him much yet but Luck is good at football.


Good point by you. I have not seen Jamaal Charles that much and I think he might be also.


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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 5:02 pm 
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Not a single run on the first drive.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 5:18 pm 
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Luck goes 7 for 7 and 7 points on his 1st drive.

Comes back out after his D goal-line stands the Chiefs into settling for a FG and throws a couple of ugly ass wounded ducks to go 3 and out.

yer 6'4" Andrew the Giant, stop getting passes batted at the line of scrimmage.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 5:23 pm 
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Damn, nice throw:
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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 5:51 pm 
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[quote="NearWessSideHussra"]Damn, nice throw:
Image[/quote

When did Chris Conte get traded to the Colts?

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 6:09 pm 
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How the fuck did Colts make the playoffs lol. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 10:38 pm 
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live wagering

over 47.5 (+105)

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 11:29 pm 
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Chus wrote:
live wagering

over 47.5 (+105)


Boss

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sat Jan 04, 2014 11:55 pm 
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Per twitter, the early Vegas lines for next week are:

New England -8.5 vs. Indianapolis
Seattle -7.5/48 vs. New Orleans

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 10:48 am 
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When I finally made my play I got the colts at+2.5. I would have torn up that ticket in the early third if it existed. I took vandy yesterday and figured these would be identical games even in the 4q. Someone was smiling down on me to win. Both of those

In regards to the cold: it favors no one. There is not a person from any football producing state who is used to negative degree temperature. McClellan would have flourished

It seems like everyone is jumping on gb. I remain firm in my analysis. The cold is a wildcard which would lead me to reduce it to a3 star play today but I wrote 10 so 10 it is just don't treat it as 10 if you are following

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 11:22 am 
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I had Colts +2 and over 46. I had a teaser of Indy +7.5/over 40. At halftime, I hammered Colts -6 2nd half. I even grabbed some +7.5, and +270 during the third quarter in live wagering.

Late game, I took Eagles -0.5 first downs which lost. At half, I played Philly -2 (+100), which also lost. Hit the over 47.5 on live wagering.

It was a good day, which I needed. I have been cold lately.

Got of my 49ers bet, and went medium on Packers +3 -110.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 12:22 pm 
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It was probably stupid, but I took the Chargers with the money line at +240. I'm just sick of betting with the spread. Give me some ROI.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 1:05 pm 
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I teased Cincy -0.5/over 41.5

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 1:32 pm 
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over 44.5

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 1:36 pm 
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Cincy -2.5 -130

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 1:43 pm 
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I would still give Cincy better odds to win the game, but Dalton looks like a head case today.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 1:46 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
I would still give Cincy better odds to win the game, but Dalton looks like a head case today.


He does, but this Chargers defense is brutal, and should eventually be exposed.

Nice whiff for Mansauce Gay'O trying to tackle Bernard at the end of the first quarter.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 3:45 pm 
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Like orthopedic shoes, I stand corrected.

Shame on me for backing a Marvin Lewis coached team.

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 Post subject: Re: PLAYOFFS FIRST ROUND
PostPosted: Sun Jan 05, 2014 3:46 pm 
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It ain't over.

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