What do you like?

I'll post mine later. Still thinking about them. But here's some plays from the Nfpost.com handicapping writer. He's not just throwing stuff out after looking at it for a second. He did some research on the team's stats to pick these things. Makes you feel more confident when somebody actually looks into it like he did. I'll be taking some of his.

http://www.nationalfootballpost.com/The-NFP-Super-Bowl-prop-betting-extravaganza-7645.html

Julius Thomas - under 53.5 receiving yards (-130)
Denver - over 4.5 punts (-115)
Russell Wilson to score a rushing TD (+425)

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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You are Seattle heavy, my friend


Any plays going Denvers way?

I'm sure I will find a few more that I like.

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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I always want to make prop bets, but never pull the trigger

I haven't looked at the props but I was thinking take the over on longest field goal. Good defenses, big leg kickers, relatively stable conditions

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

UNDER on Every Denver Yards Recieving Option

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"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”

Julius Thomas - under 53.5 receiving yards (-130)
Denver - over 4.5 punts (-115)
Russell Wilson to score a rushing TD (+425)
Will there be a safety -- NO (-800)
Number of Seahawks to have a rushing attempt - under 4 (-130)
Russell Wilson's first rushing attempt - over 5.5 yards (-115)
Seahawks to have the most penalty yards (-125)
2nd half + OT to have more points than the first half (-135)
Marshawn Lynch rushing attempts - under 21.5 (even)

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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Don't like it: Wilson, Lynch, Harvin and I have to believe at least one backup

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

Turbin O/U on carries is 3.5

_________________
"That's what the internet is for. Slandering others anonymously." Banky
“Been that way since one monkey looked at the sun and told the other monkey ‘He said for you to give me your fuckin’ share.’”

Let's see Harvin stay on the field, before we count him.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Julius Thomas - under 53.5 receiving yards (-130)
Denver - over 4.5 punts (-115)
Russell Wilson to score a rushing TD (+425)
Will there be a safety -- NO (-800)
Number of Seahawks to have a rushing attempt - under 4 (-130)
Russell Wilson's first rushing attempt - over 5.5 yards (-115)
Seahawks to have the most penalty yards (-125)
2nd half + OT to have more points than the first half (-135)
Marshawn Lynch rushing attempts - under 21.5 (even)
First score of the game -- field goal or safety (+125)

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Julius Thomas - under 53.5 receiving yards (-130)
Denver - over 4.5 punts (-115)
Russell Wilson to score a rushing TD (+425)
Will there be a safety -- NO (-800)
Number of Seahawks to have a rushing attempt - under 4 (-130)
Russell Wilson's first rushing attempt - over 5.5 yards (-115)
Seahawks to have the most penalty yards (-125)
2nd half + OT to have more points than the first half (-135)
Marshawn Lynch rushing attempts - under 21.5 (even)
First score of the game -- field goal or safety (+125)
Trindon Holliday - to score first touchdown (+7500)
Zach Miller - to score first touchdown (+1800)

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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2 units
Number of Seahawks to catch a pass - under 7.5 (-200)

1 unit
Julius Thomas - under 53.5 receiving yards (-130)
Denver - over 4.5 punts (-115)
Russell Wilson to score a rushing TD (+425)
Will there be a safety -- NO (-800)
Number of Seahawks to have a rushing attempt - under 4 (-130)
Russell Wilson's first rushing attempt - over 5.5 yards (-115)
Seahawks to have the most penalty yards (-125)
2nd half + OT to have more points than the first half (-135)
Marshawn Lynch rushing attempts - under 21.5 (even)
First score of the game -- field goal or safety (+125)

0.5 units
Trindon Holliday - to score first touchdown (+7500)
Zach Miller - to score first touchdown (+1800)

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

2 units
Number of Seahawks to catch a pass - under 7.5 (-200)

1 unit
Julius Thomas - under 53.5 receiving yards (-130)
Denver - over 4.5 punts (-115)
Russell Wilson to score a rushing TD (+425)
Will there be a safety -- NO (-800)
Number of Seahawks to have a rushing attempt - under 4 (-130)
Russell Wilson's first rushing attempt - over 5.5 yards (-115)
Seahawks to have the most penalty yards (-125)
2nd half + OT to have more points than the first half (-135)
Marshawn Lynch rushing attempts - under 21.5 (even)
First score of the game -- field goal or safety (+125)
Russell Wilson rushing yards - over 32 (-115)

0.5 units
Trindon Holliday - to score first touchdown (+7500)
Zach Miller - to score first touchdown (+1800)

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

National Anthem under 140 seconds

She is singing to a tape from the NJ Symphony orchestra.

First team to record a QB sack - Denver -105, intertops

You actually making a play on this?

_________________

Yes

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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I'm not a huge gambler, but isn't this way worse than playing the money line - which you've been railing against all year?

You literally have almost nothing to gain on this type of wager. Throwing $5 on YES is a better wager, isn't it?

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Roughly 98% of NFL games do not have a safety. A bet at -800 needs to hit 88.88% of the time to break even. It's a value play.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

But, and if this is out of line then just tell me to shut up - again, I'm not a huge sports gambler, so maybe this is a faux pas -

how much are you wagering on this? Even if you bet $100, minus the juice, the payout is minimal, right?

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Risk $8 to win $1 on a -800 bet.

On average, the bet wins roughly 49 times out of 50. If you win $1 49 times, and lose $8 once, you come out ahead.

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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I thought I heard on some podcast somewhere that there's a prop bet for O/U on Julian Thomas receiving yards that's set at like 75. Is that true Chus? I would have to think the Under on that would be one of the best plays available if true.

Edit: nevermind, just saw your list of plays. I would still go under 53 yards. I like the play.

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Fare you well, fare you well
I love you more than words can tell
Listen to the river sing sweet songs
To rock my soul

My three shops now have NO SAFETY at -1000, -1100, and -1200

Value.

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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pay the under players

Whoops

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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I grabbed it. Once you see the over or under start to get juiced, you know that's the right side.

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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6 yd carry for Wilson -- WINNER

Or not. It was graded as five yards.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

when I posted I got the under at -130 last time I looked it was -250 I was timing symphonies from Youtube to see how long they took I guess others started doing it too LOL