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Predict: More Career Home Runs?
Jose Abreu 37%  37%  [ 7 ]
Anthony Rizzo 63%  63%  [ 12 ]
Total votes : 19
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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 9:12 am 
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Yes, I disagree and I dont think you would call a second full season a "career year" in any other situation.


Or maybe Im wrong, was Andrew Luck's 2013 a career year?


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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 9:22 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Yes, I disagree and I dont think you would call a second full season a "career year" in any other situation.


Or maybe Im wrong, was Andrew Luck's 2013 a career year?
I believe that Rizzo's rookie season existed. You don't.

I have no problem saying anyone in their third season had a career year.

The whole point is that this year is so much more productive than any other year Rizzo had that there is a danger that he will regress. We don't have that same level of knowledge on Abreu. All we know about Abreu at the MLB level is that he is this good, even with an injury and a pretty tough transition he made this year. That is it. It's not a personal attack on Rizzo to think the massive jump in production is not guaranteed to last.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 10:12 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
The same has been said about many one year wonders though. I think Abreu is good...but Rizzo has clearly changed and improved from what he was last year. The fact that you can see it in his approach every at bat is why he won't regress.

Give MLB a full offseason of watching tape on Abreu. Then see next year.




Please , just stop. its embarrassing . Abreu is a star... it was clear from his first week in the bigs, to anyone who knows baseball .

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:00 am 
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Don't tell me how many you hit, tell me when you hit 'em. Abreu isn't afraid to drive in a big run.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:10 am 
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BRick is missing one important aspect. Only 8 of Abreu's HR's actually count according to sabrmetrics, so analytically it's like Rizzo has 3x as many home runs this year. Sox should probably just DFA Abreu now.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:13 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
BRick is missing one important aspect. Only 8 of Abreu's HR's actually count according to sabrmetrics, so analytically it's like Rizzo has 3x as many home runs this year. Sox should probably just DFA Abreu now.
I'd say that Abreu should start taking steroids, but we also now know they don't do any good.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:20 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Yes, I disagree and I dont think you would call a second full season a "career year" in any other situation.


Or maybe Im wrong, was Andrew Luck's 2013 a career year?
I believe that Rizzo's rookie season existed. You don't.

Do you not understand the term "full season"?



Boilermaker Rick wrote:
[
I have no problem saying anyone in their third season had a career year.

To say someone is peaking, which is what a career year is, after 2 full seasons worth of games is ridiculous.



Boilermaker Rick wrote:
The whole point is that this year is so much more productive than any other year Rizzo had that there is a danger that he will regress.

This wording is hilarious. There is literally one full season to compare it to.


Anyway, you have a different definition of career year than I do. A career year cant be topped. You cant have multiple career years. My definition of career year suggests well established averages (5 seasons for MLB and NBA, 3 seasons for NFL)


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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:30 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Do you not understand the term "full season"?
I do but for some reason you think I'm wrong to count it for him. You added in the full season stuff.
rogers park bryan wrote:
Anyway, you have a different definition of career year than I do. A career year cant be topped. You cant have multiple career years. My definition of career year suggests well established averages (5 seasons for MLB and NBA, 3 seasons for NFL)
That is a pretty bad definition.

Your point seems to be that you need to wait until the career is over to even use the term. I disagree.

If it makes you feel better, I'll phrase it in a different way. I think it's more likely that Rizzo regresses from this year than Abreu does. It is that simple. Argue you want all about whether Rizzo is in his second or third year, or the definition of career year. It still doesn't change any of the actual point.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:30 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
Give MLB a full offseason of watching tape on Abreu. Then see next year.
I just don't understand you sometimes. You go absolutely crazy over some minor leaguer but here you are basically saying that MLB is going to catch up to one of the best hitters in all of MLB by watching tape of him.

There is far more accessible tape on AA and AAA prospects than there is on a Cuban professional star. Additionally, teams only have x amount of man power and time to dedicate to the task.

AL teams are going to focus on figuring out Abreu this coming off-season. Whether they can or not, we'll see. But you never judge any player ever based on their first professional season.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:35 am 
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Abreu was the one at a disadvantage this year. He *should* be a better all-around player next year.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:37 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
Abreu was the one at a disadvantage this year. He *should* be a better all-around player next year.

Nah, advantage. He plays in the premier hitter park. Mini Coors.

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Last edited by IMU on Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:37 am, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:37 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Do you not understand the term "full season"?
I do but for some reason you think I'm wrong to count it for him. You added in the full season stuff.

I had to add it because you're acting like he's had two full seasons before this year by calling it his third year

rogers park bryan wrote:
Anyway, you have a different definition of career year than I do. A career year cant be topped. You cant have multiple career years. My definition of career year suggests well established averages (5 seasons for MLB and NBA, 3 seasons for NFL)
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
That is a pretty bad definition.

No, it's the correct one.

Yours is contradictory in nature. You cant have multiple career years


Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Your point seems to be that you need to wait until the career is over to even use the term. I disagree.

Not true. After a player has established averages, its pretty easy. Like Rich Gannon in football or Luis Gonazalez in baseball. Its pretty rare in the NBA.

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
If it makes you feel better, I'll phrase it in a different way. I think it's more likely that Rizzo regresses from this year than Abreu does. It is that simple. Argue you want all about whether Rizzo is in his second or third year, or the definition of career year. It still doesn't change any of the actual point.

I dont need to feel better. You keep projecting anger on to me. Im simply having a discussion on a sports message board.

Your wording about regression makes sense. But when you explained it you acted like "we know what Rizzo is"

I find that to be a fairly silly position.


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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:38 am 
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Hatchetman wrote:
Abreu was the one at a disadvantage this year. He *should* be a better all-around player next year.

Exactly. IMU is tying himself up in knots here. He needs to just accept that the White Sox have one of the five best hitters in baseball signed up long term for like $11M/year.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:41 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
Abreu was the one at a disadvantage this year. He *should* be a better all-around player next year.

Exactly. IMU is tying himself up in knots here. He needs to just accept that the White Sox have one of the five best hitters in baseball signed up long term for like $11M/year.

We may be able to discuss this tomorrow evening. I'll bring poster board.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:41 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
There is far more accessible tape on AA and AAA prospects than there is on a Cuban professional star. Additionally, teams only have x amount of man power and time to dedicate to the task.

AL teams are going to focus on figuring out Abreu this coming off-season. Whether they can or not, we'll see. But you never judge any player ever based on their first professional season.
The point is that you clearly think that there are guys who have never played a game in the majors who are going to dominate soon but you have major doubts about a guy how is doing it today.

It's almost August. These teams would have started to figure him out now. As I've pointed out, it is more likely that Abreu is better setup for success next year than it is for him to be caught by others. He had to adjust to America, a new league, and overcome an injury. At least two of those things won't be a problem next year. Teams have plenty of tape on him and they haven't figured it out yet. I doubt some guy with the Royals is going to suddenly stand up in the film room and say "We've got him now! Throw the high heat!".

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:41 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
Abreu was the one at a disadvantage this year. He *should* be a better all-around player next year.

Exactly. IMU is tying himself up in knots here. He needs to just accept that the White Sox have one of the five best hitters in baseball signed up long term for like $11M/year.



The Cub fans on the Score this morning can't wait for him to opt out in a couple years. :lol:

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:44 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
Abreu was the one at a disadvantage this year. He *should* be a better all-around player next year.

Exactly. IMU is tying himself up in knots here. He needs to just accept that the White Sox have one of the five best hitters in baseball signed up long term for like $11M/year.


He is having an awesome season but he's also probably 31...

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:45 am 
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Abreu's bat is not in question and never should be.


If he's healthy, he'll mash. The health is the only question.


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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:45 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Yours is contradictory in nature. You cant have multiple career years
You really are trying hard here.

You can have a career year that is then passed by another career year.

So basically we have to wait until Rizzo is about 35 for him to finally have a career year?

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:45 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
The point is that you clearly think that there are guys who have never played a game in the majors who are going to dominate soon but you have major doubts about a guy how is doing it today.

You're mixing me up with other Cubs fans. I've not guaranteed any one Cubs prospect will succeed, and the only one I think has a great chance is Kris Bryant. I see the huge potential in Baez and Alcantara, but I also see huge swing and miss issues and defensive miscues for Baez. Soler has composition issues. Almora and Russell are too early for me to form strong opinions on. And the Cubs pitching prospects are ceiling 3's at best, minus Arrieta who is proving himself.

That is a far cry from "dominating."

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:46 am 
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:lol: Did I really read in here Brick suggesting Abreu could be 20?

:lol:

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:48 am 
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RFDC wrote:
:lol: Did I really read in here Brick suggesting Abreu could be 20?

:lol:

I actually thought it was a pretty funny way to mock the people trolling about Abreu's age.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:48 am 
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immessedup17 wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
The point is that you clearly think that there are guys who have never played a game in the majors who are going to dominate soon but you have major doubts about a guy how is doing it today.

You're mixing me up with other Cubs fans. I've not guaranteed any one Cubs prospect will succeed, and the only one I think has a great chance is Kris Bryant. I see the huge potential in Baez and Alcantara, but I also see huge swing and miss issues and defensive miscues for Baez. Soler has composition issues. Almora and Russell are too early for me to form strong opinions on. And the Cubs pitching prospects are ceiling 3's at best, minus Arrieta who is proving himself.

That is a far cry from "dominating."
I must have misread pretty much every post on prospects you have made.

By the way, anyone else have a ceiling of Mike Trout in the Cubs organization?

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:50 am 
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Those idiots are wrong. After three years Abreu can opt out of the guaranteed money and try to make more thru the arbitration process. He is under team control for 6 years.


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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:51 am 
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RFDC wrote:
:lol: Did I really read in here Brick suggesting Abreu could be 20?

:lol:
I haven't seen his birth certificate.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:51 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Yours is contradictory in nature. You cant have multiple career years
You really are trying hard here.

No, I'm not. You obviously have a poor understanding of the term.

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
You can have a career year that is then passed by another career year.

:lol: Then the first one is not a career year, is it?

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
[
So basically we have to wait until Rizzo is about 35 for him to finally have a career year?

No, we just need Rizzo to establish averages. After next year he'll have had 3 full seasons and a couple halves. That should be enough to know what he is.

For example, if he ends up hitting around 30-35 homers for the next 5 years and then hits 64 that's a career year.


A career year by definition is one year that sticks out as way better than the rest.

Peyton Manning second season was better than his first. No one would have called it a career year.


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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:52 am 
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This career year argument is terrible. I'm ashamed of both of you.



Anyway, I think there's a SOLID chance Abreu ends up far superior to Rizzo in career OPS.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:53 am 
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You are spending a lot of words arguing about semantics. Isn't that my job?

Use the term "career year so far" if you want instead. I don't really care. It still doesn't change anything.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:54 am 
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The age thing isnt a trolling subject. Its a concern when you factor in health.

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PostPosted: Wed Jul 30, 2014 11:55 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
The age thing isnt a trolling subject. Its a concern when you factor in health.

Concern is probably the wrong word to use when it is only brought up by trolling Cub fans.

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