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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:22 pm 
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good dolphin wrote:
I think you guys are whacky the way you undervalue pitching.

The Cubs had excellent pitching for most of the year, if you remove Edwin Jackson from the equation. Chris Bosio is excellent with young pitchers, and the Cubs are in a position to obtain additional pitching talent through free agency.

Why consider trading your three hitter for a guy like Quintana?

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:24 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
Don't under value it at all. So far Quintana is headed for a nice losing pitcher John Danks career. Not trading an everyday productive player for that.

You're nuts with this Pitching WINS = all you need to know stuff


Even JORR understands there are exceptions


Anyway, Quintana gave up 4 runs or less in 28 of his 32 starts. Thats more than "just a guy"


There may be exceptions, I'm just not convinced he is one. He's starting to seem like the kind of guy who figures out how to give it up in a key situation. He'll have pinpoint control until he walks that leadoff batter in the seventh inning of a tie ballgame.

That's exactly his m.o. so far in his career. 24-24 in his career. Just a guy who figures out how to be just good enough to lose. Not interested, especially for an everyday player who so far seems to be getting better .

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:25 pm 
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Ted Lilly was a .500 pitcher before he got to the Cubs


Then he was suddenly a .650 pitcher


Not all .500s are equal. Oh and a 1b who hits 280 with 25 homeruns is not hard to find. You definitely make the deal if you think thats what Rizzo is


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:28 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Even JORR understands there are exceptions

I think he has specifically said before that there's never been a good below .500 pitcher in history.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:32 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Even JORR understands there are exceptions

I think he has specifically said before that there's never been a good below .500 pitcher in history.

He understands how awesome Felix was in 2010 when he was 13-12


BadRogue seems to be taking it even further.


I wonder what Rogue thought of .500 pitcher at the time Josh Beckett in 2003

Becket was 26-26 after 2004

He is now 138-106


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:35 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Even JORR understands there are exceptions

I think he has specifically said before that there's never been a good below .500 pitcher in history.



Who is the good one?

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:36 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Even JORR understands there are exceptions

I think he has specifically said before that there's never been a good below .500 pitcher in history.



Who is the good one?

I'm not saying you are wrong. I was saying Bryan was.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:38 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Even JORR understands there are exceptions

I think he has specifically said before that there's never been a good below .500 pitcher in history.



Who is the good one?

I think there are guys who were good for a time and maybe hung on too long and fucked their numbers

Tom Candiotti was pretty good
Ben Sheets too


But yes, most good pitchers will end up over.500. But there are .540 pitchers who are better than .580 pitchers


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:44 pm 
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Ya, I don't make this trade. The lockdown on steroids/HGH and huge strike zone has zapped hitting. Quintana is good but give me the slugger who walks everyday.

He's not the right fit for the Cubbies. Perhaps the Rockies have something to offer.


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:50 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
But there are .540 pitchers who are better than .580 pitchers


Sure. There are pitchers around .500 who weren't horseshit too. But I think it's a stretch to call them "good".

Still, I'll take a guy like Aaron Sele who had the talent of being lucky over a Jeff Samardzija who seems to have only the luck to be talented.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 2:57 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Ya, I don't make this trade. The lockdown on steroids/HGH and huge strike zone has zapped hitting.

Good point, but MLB will probably overreact and start juicing the balls again or shrink the strike zone


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:00 pm 
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Via BleacherNation:
Quote:
■Anthony Rizzo hit .286/.386/.527, and increase of 53 points in BA from last year, 63 points in OBP, and 108(!) points in SLG. That’s an overall OPS increase of 171 points. Good Lord.
■Rizzo’s .397 wOBA was the 7th best in all of baseball, and third best in the NL, behind only Andrew McCutchen and Giancarlo Stanton. His 153 wRC+ was 9th best in baseball – once again, behind only McCutchen and Stanton in the NL.
■Rizzo’s 5.3 WAR was a 3.6 win improvement over last season. It made Rizzo the 16th most valuable offensive player in baseball, tied with guys like Robinson Cano, Jose Abreu, and Miguel Cabrera.
■Rizzo hit 32 homers, second most in the NL, despite missing 22 games (Giancarlo Stanton was first at 37, and he missed 17 games – that guy’s a freak).
■Rizzo did all of this with beautifully sustainable peripherals. His 18.8% K rate was a slight tick up from last year, but still below league average. His 11.9% walk rate was 16th best in baseball (tied, incidentally, with teammate Luis Valbuena). Rizzo’s .311 BABIP was essentially identical to the .310 mark in his rookie year, making last seasons’s .258 look more like the outlier than the baseline.
■Rizzo was also the 5th best defensive first baseman by UZR/150.

Quintana is good player but you keep this guy.


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:04 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Ya, I don't make this trade. The lockdown on steroids/HGH and huge strike zone has zapped hitting. Quintana is good but give me the slugger who walks everyday.

He's not the right fit for the Cubbies. Perhaps the Rockies have something to offer.



The strikezone isn't huge though. It's about half the size the rules actually call for. Guys are striking out so much because they are attempting to see pitches rather than hit strikes.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:06 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
He's not the right fit for the Cubbies.



Is Lester the right fit? Didn't Quintana have a better year? LOOK. AT. HIS. FIP.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:09 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
He's not the right fit for the Cubbies.



Is Lester the right fit? Didn't Quintana have a better year? LOOK. AT. HIS. FIP.

Quintana requires giving up an integral position player. Lester you just give money. If I have to suffer looking at ads and finding the cubs game on CubsNet channel 56.3 I better see that cash in use.

If the Cubs were in a position like the Tigers where they have Miggy, Martinez, Kinsler etc to help offset losing a position player I say sure look into the trade.


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:13 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Even JORR understands there are exceptions

I think he has specifically said before that there's never been a good below .500 pitcher in history.

He understands how awesome Felix was in 2010 when he was 13-12


BadRogue seems to be taking it even further.


I wonder what Rogue thought of .500 pitcher at the time Josh Beckett in 2003
In
Becket was 26-26 after 2004

He is now 138-106

Without looking id say it was more of a case of Beckett learning how to harness his stuff rather than consistently having a Cutler inning and managing to turn a 2-1 lead into a 3-2 loss. Quintana knows how to pitch, I just don't think he will ever be more than what he already is. Some guys just can never pitch around adversity ( or "bad luck") . From what I've seen of Quintana ,he's one of them.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:16 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
He's not the right fit for the Cubbies.



Is Lester the right fit? Didn't Quintana have a better year? LOOK. AT. HIS. FIP.

Quintana requires giving up an integral position player. Lester you just give money. If I have to suffer looking at ads and finding the cubs game on CubsNet channel 56.3 I better see that cash in use.

If the Cubs were in a position like the Tigers where they have Miggy, Martinez, Kinsler etc to help offset losing a position player I say sure look into the trade.



The money does matter though. It doesn't appear they are going to be like the Tigers or the Yankees or the Dodgers. You're tying up about $100 million in Lester. Is it worth surrendering Rizzo to get a similar pitcher at a fraction of the cost when you have at least one- and maybe two- first base type hitters you think are as good coming through the system fast?

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:21 pm 
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Quick glance at team stats (not advanced) for the Cubs in 2014:

Team Batting:
Runs: 26th
OBP: 28th
OPS: 21st

Team Pitching:
ERA: 21st
QS: 24th
OPS: 15th

I feel like stubborn trotting of Edwin and his 6.33 ERA for 140 innings skewed team ERA 2-3 spots.

Getting rid of Rizzo would lead to the same "no run support!" barking Quintana already receives :D


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:23 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Quick glance at team stats (not advanced) for the Cubs in 2014:

Team Batting:
Runs: 26th
OBP: 28th
OPS: 21st

Team Pitching:
ERA: 21st
QS: 24th
OPS: 15th

I feel like stubborn trotting of Edwin and his 6.33 ERA for 140 innings skewed team ERA 2-3 spots.

Getting rid of Rizzo would lead to the same "no run support!" barking Quintana already receives :D

Run Support doesn't exist.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:25 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Quick glance at team stats (not advanced) for the Cubs in 2014:

Team Batting:
Runs: 26th
OBP: 28th
OPS: 21st

Team Pitching:
ERA: 21st
QS: 24th
OPS: 15th

I feel like stubborn trotting of Edwin and his 6.33 ERA for 140 innings skewed team ERA 2-3 spots.

Getting rid of Rizzo would lead to the same "no run support!" barking Quintana already receives :D

Run Support doesn't exist.



Correct. "Run support" is just the smaller amount of runs allowed by guys who the people you are arguing with keep insisting are worse than the great pitcher in question.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:30 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Run Support doesn't exist.

Fine. He'll be asked to pitch like Kershaw to accrue a win. He's no Kershaw.


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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:31 pm 
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I thought we weren't allowed to discuss NL pitchers versus AL pitchers any longer?

Different leagues and all...

Also, Quintana would cause the Cubs 9-spot in the order to be that much weaker, and as JORR and BR have told us, the 9th hitter is the most important in the lineup. A bad 9 hitter means a bad offense. Automatic outs, and all that jazz.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 3:39 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
I thought we weren't allowed to discuss NL pitchers versus AL pitchers any longer?

Different leagues and all...

Also, Quintana would cause the Cubs 9-spot in the order to be that much weaker, and as JORR and BR have told us, the 9th hitter is the most important in the lineup. A bad 9 hitter means a bad offense. Automatic outs, and all that jazz.


What makes you think Quintana isn't a good hitting pitcher?

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 4:09 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
I thought we weren't allowed to discuss NL pitchers versus AL pitchers any longer?

Different leagues and all...

Also, Quintana would cause the Cubs 9-spot in the order to be that much weaker, and as JORR and BR have told us, the 9th hitter is the most important in the lineup. A bad 9 hitter means a bad offense. Automatic outs, and all that jazz.


What makes you think Quintana isn't a good hitting pitcher?

Image

The interleague bats I've seen plus the career oh-for.

Or can we judge how good a player's at bats are now by only the win loss record?

Quintana was 1-2 in 3 starts at NL ballparks this year. Let's call him a .333 hitter.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 5:14 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
immessedup17 wrote:
I thought we weren't allowed to discuss NL pitchers versus AL pitchers any longer?

Different leagues and all...

Also, Quintana would cause the Cubs 9-spot in the order to be that much weaker, and as JORR and BR have told us, the 9th hitter is the most important in the lineup. A bad 9 hitter means a bad offense. Automatic outs, and all that jazz.


What makes you think Quintana isn't a good hitting pitcher?

Image

The interleague bats I've seen plus the career oh-for.

Or can we judge how good a player's at bats are now by only the win loss record?

Quintana was 1-2 in 3 starts at NL ballparks this year. Let's call him a .333 hitter.


How many career at-bats does he have, dumbass?

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 5:21 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How many career at-bats does he have, dumbass?

I really don't understand you guys.

Sometimes sample size is the most important thing in the world to you. And at other times, it can be disregarded. Your Abreu comments in April make me wonder if you even know.

edit: Also, you're angry lately. How is business?

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 5:24 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
How many career at-bats does he have, dumbass?

I really don't understand you guys.

Sometimes sample size is the most important thing in the world to you. And at other times, it can be disregarded. Your Abreu comments in April make me wonder if you even know.



What were my comments on Abreu in April? I'm not "you guys". I'm one guy.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 5:30 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
I think you guys are whacky the way you undervalue pitching.

The Cubs had excellent pitching for most of the year, if you remove Edwin Jackson from the equation. Chris Bosio is excellent with young pitchers, and the Cubs are in a position to obtain additional pitching talent through free agency.

Why consider trading your three hitter for a guy like Quintana?


a guy like Quintana fits perfectly into the Cub rotation and is likely the top starter by the time they finally allow Bryant to be a major leaguer

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 5:31 pm 
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badrogue17 wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
Don't under value it at all. So far Quintana is headed for a nice losing pitcher John Danks career. Not trading an everyday productive player for that.

You're nuts with this Pitching WINS = all you need to know stuff


Even JORR understands there are exceptions


Anyway, Quintana gave up 4 runs or less in 28 of his 32 starts. Thats more than "just a guy"


There may be exceptions, I'm just not convinced he is one. He's starting to seem like the kind of guy who figures out how to give it up in a key situation. He'll have pinpoint control until he walks that leadoff batter in the seventh inning of a tie ballgame.

That's exactly his m.o. so far in his career. 24-24 in his career. Just a guy who figures out how to be just good enough to lose. Not interested, especially for an everyday player who so far seems to be getting better .


Most 25 year olds are still in the minors or a bullpen with their thumbs up their ass.

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 Post subject: Re: Rizzo for Quintana
PostPosted: Mon Sep 29, 2014 5:33 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
He did? Maybe to a crazy ass fickle Cubs fan. I'm not suggesting that Eaton, Abreu, or Davidson are Hall of Fame caliber players. But I'll stack them up against Almora, Rizzo, and Bryant for their careers and feel real comfortable going forward. And nobody is constantly referring to the guy who found them as a "genius".

This was April 3rd.

Three players with no real sample size versus three players with no real sample size.

But you were "real comfortable."

I certainly would make no assertions about players on my team less than a week into a season.

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