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PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:14 am 
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Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 FINAL ODDS

(No. Horse Trainer P1 odds P2 odds P3 odds)

1. American Pharoah B.Baffert 12-1 10-1 8-1

2. Bolo C.Gaines 3-5(f) 5-2(f) 33-1

3. Carpe Diem T.Pletcher 15-1 12-1 11-1

4. Danzig Moon M.Casse 3-5(f) 5-2(f) 41-1

5. Daredevil T.Pletcher 48-1 40-1 42-1

6. Dortmund B.Baffert 9-1 10-1 9-1

7. El Kabeir J.Terranova 74-1 39-1 46-1

8. Far From Over T.Pletcher 3-5(f) 5-2(f) 13-1

9. Far Right R.Moquett 3-5(f) 48-1 30-1

10. Firing Line S.Callaghan 3-5(f) 35-1 30-1

11. International Star M.Maker 3-5(f) 44-1 21-1

12. Itsaknockout T.Pletcher 3-5(f) 30-1 29-1

13. Keen Ice D.Romans 3-5(f) 5-2(f) 32-1

14. Khozan T.Pletcher 3-5(f) 25-1 13-1

15. Lord Nelson B.Baffert 72-1 41-1 40-1

16. Mr. Z W.Lukas 47-1 44-1 43-1

17. Ocean Knight K.McLaughlin 3-5(f) 18-1 23-1

18. Ocho Ocho Ocho J.Cassidy 29-1 26-1 24-1

19. Prospect Park C.Sise 3/5(f) 35-1 26-1

20. Texas Red K.Desormeaux 14-1 9-1 14-1

21. The Great War W.Ward 72-1 40-1 SCR

22. Upstart R.Violette 53-1 12-1 14-1

23. War Story T.Amoss 3-5(f) 5-2(f) 29-1

24. Field (all others) n/a 3-5 5-2 4-1

(f) – denotes field entry.

Win handle, $300,402

Exacta handle, $121,927

Total handle, $427,331 SPMACK DROPPING THE BALL

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 03, 2015 9:51 am 
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Sorry WWN, I had a bad weekend that didn't get better until the last race at SA which was after the pool closed. I hit the $1 late P4.

Dortmund is running this in the San Felipe on Saturday.

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PostPosted: Wed Mar 04, 2015 8:53 pm 
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3 huge races this weekend including Dortmund in the San Felipe


Quote:
San Felipe Stakes Entries in Post Position Order
1. Lord Nelson (R Bejarano, B Baffert) 2. Ocho Ocho Ocho (M Smith, J Cassidy) 3. Dortmund (M Garcia, B Baffert) 4. The Gomper (T Baze, R Ellis) 5. Kenjisstorm (A Delgadillo, G Papaprodromou) 6. Prospect Park (K Desormeaux, C Sise Jr.) 7. Bolo (V Espinoza, C Gaines) 8. Pulmarack (D Van Dyke, J Hollendorfer) 9. Sir Samson (J Talamo, B Koriner) 10. Pain and Misery (F Prat, R Mandella). Blinkers Off: Sir Samson. The San Felipe Stakes is race 7 of 11 at Santa Anita on Saturday, with a post time of 6:00 ET.

Gotham Stakes Entries in Post Position Order w/ ML
1. (12-1) Combat Diver (S Russell, G Contessa) 2. (5-1) Dontbetwithbruno (M Franco, T Pletcher) 3. (7-2) Classy Class (J Alvarado, K McLaughlin) 4. (8-5) El Kabeir (CC Lopez, J Terranova) 5. (5-1) Lieutenant Colonel (K Carmouche, C Brown) 6. (15-1) Tiz Shea D (T Rice, W Mott) 7. (20-1) Toasting Master (A Arroyo, D Romans) 8. (5-1) Uninfluenced (F Jara, T Pletcher) 9. (8-1) Tencendur (C Velasquez, G Weaver) 10. (5-1) Blame Jim (J Ortiz, T Pletcher). Coupled Entry: Blame Jim, Dontbetwithbruno. Supplemented: Tiz Shea, Toasting Master. Blinkers On: Tencendur. The Gotham Stakes is race 9 of 10 at Aqueduct on Saturday, with a post time of 4:50 ET.

Tampa Bay Derby Entries in Post Position Order
1. Divining Rod (L Garcia, A Delacour) 2. Ocean Knight (I Ortiz Jr., K McLaughlin) 3. Carpe Diem (J Velazquez, T Pletcher) 4. Ami's Flatter (L Contreras, J. Carroll) 5. My Johnny Be Good (A Gallardo, E. Harty) 6. Souper Colossal (J Rosario, E Plesa Jr.) 7. Great Stuff (L Goncalves, I Wilkes) 8. Moonlight Bandit (J Lezcano, M Casse) 9. Danzig Moon (J Leparoux, M Casse). Bar Shoe: Divining Rod. Blinkers On: Ami's Flatter. The Tampa Bay Derby is race 11 of 12 at Tampa Bay Downs on Saturday, with a post time of 5:23 ET.

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 10:18 am 
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spmack, you got the PPs?

How about for the Big Cap?

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 10:33 am 
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Gotham
http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewe ... m3=1178775

TB Derby
http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewe ... m3=1861860

San Felipe
http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewe ... m3=1170715

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 10:33 am 
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Big Cap
http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewe ... m3=1839695

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 10:43 am 
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JORR, check out a horse today at Oaklawn Park around 3:45 today named Top Act for Wayne Catalano. First timer.

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 06, 2015 10:47 am 
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Thanks!

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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:37 am 
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spmack wrote:
JORR, check out a horse today at Oaklawn Park around 3:45 today named Top Act for Wayne Catalano. First timer.

showed nothing

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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 8:22 am 
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Here we go the San Felipe ...I think that last race took a lot out of Dortmund......so Lord Nelson. Ocho Ocho Ocho, and Bolo( want to see his Main Track form) exacta box and 10&10 on the Lord

The Gotham El Kabir gets another chane

Tampa Bay Carpe Diem the class of these


Big Cap love the hated Jim Rhome sticking it in peoples asses ...Shared Belief.Just watchin this one

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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 8:33 am 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Here we go the San Felipe ...I think that last race took a lot out of Dortmund......so Lord Nelson. Ocho Ocho Ocho, and Bolo( want to see his Main Track form) exacta box and 10&10 on the Lord

The Gotham El Kabir gets another chane

Tampa Bay Carpe Diem the class of these


Big Cap love the hated Jim Rhome sticking it in peoples asses ...Shared Belief.Just watchin this one


I'm pretty much with you, Walt, except I think Ocean Knight is the real deal in the Tampa Bay Derby.

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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 9:33 am 
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Walt, you always get me when I take my chances! Top Act was bet down to 5/2 so I wasn't the only one who thought that horse was next Cat man special.

Good luck today fellas, biggest day of the Derby season so far.

I like Lieutenant Colonel in the Gotham.
I like Divining Rod in the TB Derby.
I like Dortmund in the San Felipe.


I like Shared Belief in the Big Cap. That's the best horse going right now.

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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 12:03 pm 
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spmack wrote:
Walt, you always get me when I take my chances! Top Act was bet down to 5/2 so I wasn't the only one who thought that horse was next Cat man special.

Good luck today fellas, biggest day of the Derby season so far.

I like Lieutenant Colonel in the Gotham.
I like Divining Rod in the TB Derby.
I like Dortmund in the San Felipe.


I like Shared Belief in the Big Cap. That's the best horse going right now.


Spmack my fellow BDH......comical touting a 1st starter $25,0000 maiden claimer...that's all.Like me betting Valhol a 30-1 maiden that won the Arkansas Derby he won I got paid but the jock had some batteries in his whip so it was a very shallow pay day

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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 6:24 pm 
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Dortmund's a friggin beast

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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2015 6:55 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Dortmund's a friggin beast


He gets better with every race.

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 9:53 am 
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Did you all see this potential monster?

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ ... -on-3-7-15

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:15 am 
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spmack wrote:
Did you all see this potential monster?

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ ... -on-3-7-15


No

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:16 am 
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spmack wrote:
Did you all see this potential monster?

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/ ... -on-3-7-15



I would worry about rateability with that horse. Look how angry that fucker was until he got the lead. He had his fuckin' ears pinned like he wanted to strike. As soon as he gets clear he's happier than hell. The ears go back up and he's flicking them gleefully. I don't think he's going to like being behind horses.

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:34 am 
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Here is my issue with Dortmund and maybe I'm looking for the reason to bet against him:

He hangs once he gets a lead to let the horses come back to him. He has enough talent to dominate a field. At some point, some horse will get a jump on him or have as much in that upper gear.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:36 am 
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Hawkeye Vince wrote:
Here is my issue with Dortmund and maybe I'm looking for the reason to bet against him:

He hangs once he gets a lead to let the horses come back to him. He has enough talent to dominate a field. At some point, some horse will get a jump on him or have as much in that upper gear.

Yeah Baffert was saying that he's trying to teach him to stop letting horses come back to him. At this point though, who can beat him?

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:38 am 
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Hawkeye Vince wrote:
Here is my issue with Dortmund and maybe I'm looking for the reason to bet against him:

He hangs once he gets a lead to let the horses come back to him. He has enough talent to dominate a field. At some point, some horse will get a jump on him or have as much in that upper gear.



Yeah, he's definitely a big lazy bastard, but he seems to be learning all the time. I like him better on or near the lead in a twenty horse field than having a boy ask him to start and stop in traffic. The problem he faces in the Derby is that there will almost certainly be better speed horses in there and even if he gets the lead late in the race, I could see his mind wandering as you mention.

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:39 am 
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spmack wrote:
Hawkeye Vince wrote:
Here is my issue with Dortmund and maybe I'm looking for the reason to bet against him:

He hangs once he gets a lead to let the horses come back to him. He has enough talent to dominate a field. At some point, some horse will get a jump on him or have as much in that upper gear.

Yeah Baffert was saying that he's trying to teach him to stop letting horses come back to him. At this point though, who can beat him?



How about Far From Over or American Pharaoh?

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 10:43 am 
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JORR those are the two I'm hearing the most. Far From Over or American Pharaoh.

El Kabeir looked good coming off the pace in The Gotham.

Don't laugh, but something tells me not to count out D.Wayne Lukas and Mr. Z.

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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2015 11:57 am 
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Hawkeye Vince wrote:
Here is my issue with Dortmund and maybe I'm looking for the reason to bet against him:

He hangs once he gets a lead to let the horses come back to him. He has enough talent to dominate a field. At some point, some horse will get a jump on him or have as much in that upper gear.

I had Balo and I thought when he ran up on him the race was mine. Thought wrong he sort of did a little shimmy and it was ova!

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PostPosted: Thu Mar 12, 2015 9:46 am 
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Rebel Stakes. Let's see what American Pharaoh is all about. I'm interested in Madefromlucky.


http://www.brisnet.com/php/bw_pdf_viewe ... m3=1591850

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 13, 2015 7:36 am 
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Pharaoh and Truth or Else. Spmack I just don't like horses that come out of optional claimers,

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 13, 2015 9:46 am 
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Walt, Pletcher did the same thing last year with Danza in the Ark Derby. Jumped him from a OC75k/n1x-N in previous race and he blew that field out at 40-1.

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 13, 2015 9:58 am 
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spmack wrote:
Walt, Pletcher did the same thing last year with Danza in the Ark Derby. Jumped him from a OC75k/n1x-N in previous race and he blew that field out at 40-1.

Danza had some back class The Saratoga Special...this one MSW then OC I think it's too big of a jump in class

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 13, 2015 10:04 am 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
spmack wrote:
Walt, Pletcher did the same thing last year with Danza in the Ark Derby. Jumped him from a OC75k/n1x-N in previous race and he blew that field out at 40-1.

Danza had some back class The Saratoga Special...this one MSW then OC I think it's too big of a jump in class


The thing he has going for him is that he's already won at the distance. Pharaoh is the only other horse that has and that was last year.

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PostPosted: Fri Mar 13, 2015 10:14 am 
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I just can't do a M/L of 1/2 on AP. Especially since he hasn't ran since September.

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