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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 5:56 pm 
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Wow. American Pharaoh did it!

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 5:56 pm 
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Godfella wrote:
Wow. American Pharaoh did it!


As a sports fan, that was pretty school to see.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 5:58 pm 
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Godfella wrote:
Wow. American Pharaoh did it!


That was an awesome run that horse did. Jockey did everything right. Fucking horse never has to race again and will produce millions for the owner.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 6:07 pm 
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too bad it had to happen for these guys maybe the owner can pay off his gambling debts now


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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 6:24 pm 
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How much do jockeys make? Did local guys like Day, Fires, Sibille make a ton of money for themselves?

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 6:54 pm 
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Just remember this :D

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 7:06 pm 
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Beardown wrote:
Weird post time, don't you think?

5:50 our time. Then the Blackhawks pregame starts on NBC @ 6pm.

If the triple crown is had, people want to see the interviews of everybody and the celebration. They'll only have 7 minutes to do so before they have to get off the air.

Why not just make it a 5:40 post time so you have plenty of time for a post game?


I was right. They delayed the Hawks game to do a long post game.

Why they didn't race this thing at 5:30 is made no sense.


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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 7:55 pm 
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:wink: :wink:


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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 7:59 pm 
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Beardown wrote:
Why they didn't race this thing at 5:30 is made no sense.

It's easier to deal with 25,000 people delayed than 90,000 people changing plans, I guess. Also, this is game 2. The Belmont is game 7, sort of.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 8:02 pm 
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newper wrote:
Beardown wrote:
Why they didn't race this thing at 5:30 is made no sense.

It's easier to deal with 25,000 people delayed than 90,000 people changing plans, I guess. Also, this is game 2. The Belmont is game 7, sort of.


They were trying to get the race and game to be as close to back to back as possible. In theory may lead to more viewers for tonight's game.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 10:09 pm 
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badrogue17 wrote:
How much do jockeys make? Did local guys like Day, Fires, Sibille make a ton of money for themselves?


10%

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2015 11:17 pm 
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Great call to the race by NBC. Did a great job marking history.


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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 6:09 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Well, Walt, AP has serious pedigree issues on his dam's side that would cause us to question his ability to stay the twelve panels. I don't think this is some kind of walkover for the horse. He's going to have to work for it.

I don't believe they're going to try to wire this field. If Espinoza lets Materiality grab an easy lead and waltz the first half mile, it isn't going to be a cakewalk to get by him. Also, if AP does grab the front, I have to believe somebody is going to take a crack at him. Pletcher may be putting a horse in there specifically for that purpose.

Finally, you can see that Frosted is the wise guy horse. I don't care for him in here. I think there will be several good horses in front of him at the quarter pole, including AP, and he may pass some of them, but I doubt he will pass all of them. I'm convinced both Frosted and AP will be overbet, but we'll have to see.

Image

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 7:50 am 
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Well it was 5,6,7 not 6,4,7 for my box but close. 4 was in the picture.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 8:31 am 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Well, Walt, AP has serious pedigree issues on his dam's side that would cause us to question his ability to stay the twelve panels. I don't think this is some kind of walkover for the horse. He's going to have to work for it.

I don't believe they're going to try to wire this field. If Espinoza lets Materiality grab an easy lead and waltz the first half mile, it isn't going to be a cakewalk to get by him. Also, if AP does grab the front, I have to believe somebody is going to take a crack at him. Pletcher may be putting a horse in there specifically for that purpose.

Finally, you can see that Frosted is the wise guy horse. I don't care for him in here. I think there will be several good horses in front of him at the quarter pole, including AP, and he may pass some of them, but I doubt he will pass all of them. I'm convinced both Frosted and AP will be overbet, but we'll have to see.

Image


:lol: I'm happy with what I bet, Walt.



American Pharoah is a great horse. I'm not stunned that he won the way he did. I am a little surprised that Frosted ran second. I may have underestimated him.

Everyone has opinions. That's why they run the races. My opinions hold up just fine over the long haul.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 9:12 am 
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Camps how'd you do?

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 3:47 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Well, Walt, AP has serious pedigree issues on his dam's side that would cause us to question his ability to stay the twelve panels. I don't think this is some kind of walkover for the horse. He's going to have to work for it.

I don't believe they're going to try to wire this field. If Espinoza lets Materiality grab an easy lead and waltz the first half mile, it isn't going to be a cakewalk to get by him. Also, if AP does grab the front, I have to believe somebody is going to take a crack at him. Pletcher may be putting a horse in there specifically for that purpose.

Finally, you can see that Frosted is the wise guy horse. I don't care for him in here. I think there will be several good horses in front of him at the quarter pole, including AP, and he may pass some of them, but I doubt he will pass all of them. I'm convinced both Frosted and AP will be overbet, but we'll have to see.

Image


:lol: I'm happy with what I bet, Walt.



American Pharoah is a great horse. I'm not stunned that he won the way he did. I am a little surprised that Frosted ran second. I may have underestimated him.

Everyone has opinions. That's why they run the races. My opinions hold up just fine over the long haul.


Post subject: Re: The BelmontPostPosted: Thu Jun 04, 2015 1:55 pm
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:lol: Where do you come up with this shit, Walt? read your 1st line....that's where I come up with this shit :shock:

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 4:21 pm 
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He didn't change his pedigree. He just outran it. You're redboarding now.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 5:02 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
He didn't change his pedigree. He just outran it. You're redboarding now.


No I'm not! You're having your cake and eating it too! If he loses it's because his pedigree says he can't run the distance ...if he wins he outran his pedigree...what the hell is that?

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 5:45 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
He didn't change his pedigree. He just outran it. You're redboarding now.


No I'm not! You're having your cake and eating it too! If he loses it's because his pedigree says he can't run the distance ...if he wins he outran his pedigree...what the hell is that?


I'm not eating any cake, Walt. I lost my thousand on the race.

I'm telling you why I didn't bet him at 3/5 and I told you that before the race. And the next time there's a similar situation, I'll bet against that horse too. Over time, I'm gonna come out in front. I'm confident in that.

I will grant you that American Pharoah is a better horse than I gave him credit for being. I thought he could win the race, but I didn't expect him to roll 12 furlongs that fast and just bury that field.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 6:24 pm 
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This is kind of surprising isn't it?

American Pharoah owner Ahmed Zayat plans for his Triple Crown-winning horse to run again in 2015.

Pharoah, which won horse racing’s first Triple Crown since 1978, has already been sold to Coolmore Ashford Stud for breeding purposes. But Zayat says the breeder has “zero say” in what happens to the horse until it retires.

Zayat will let trainer Bob Baffert construct a schedule for Pharoah to figure out when the horse is ready to run again. The Breeders’ Cup Classic in October could be a potential target, with its $5 million in prize money looming large. Zayat has an expensive insurance policy that would protect him should anything happen to Pharoah before it can start breeding.

Supposedly, Zayat has no financial motivation in the matter, he just wants to watch his majestic beast race one more time:

“We are not thinking here of value or money,’’ he said. “When the horse is ready, we will not be scared of running him to lose or not. It’s all about the fans and this belongs to history.’’

Surely, the horse would rather be having sex.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 07, 2015 6:30 pm 
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Tapit...yeah..Stud fees for 2015 are $300K..

Tapit is the sire of 448 winners, including 57 stakes winners, 33 graded winners, and four champions, from seven crops racing. From 783 foals of racing age, his 608 starters have amassed $66,772,350 in earnings.

Tapit was America's leading yearling sire for the second year in a row with an average of $628,289.


AP's stud fees?

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Mon Jun 08, 2015 6:38 am 
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bigfan wrote:
Tapit...yeah..Stud fees for 2015 are $300K..

Tapit is the sire of 448 winners, including 57 stakes winners, 33 graded winners, and four champions, from seven crops racing. From 783 foals of racing age, his 608 starters have amassed $66,772,350 in earnings.

Tapit was America's leading yearling sire for the second year in a row with an average of $628,289.


AP's stud fees?



I would guess they start him out around $100,000.

The commercial breeding industry is a very fickle business. The shine can fall off a stallion very quickly. You get a bunch of trainers sitting around the bar at Griffin Gate and one guy asks another, "How do you like your American Pharoah?" The guy answers, "He's okay, he's just a horse." Next thing you know ten trainers are in the conversation and they all agree that these horses aren't so special. Now his first crop hits the track and they do okay, but there's only one or two graded stakes winners. All of a sudden he's a disappointment. Next breeding season he isn't getting the black-type mares and it's like a ball rolling downhill. His stud fee gets reduced and there's the new flavor of the moment. It's tough for him to get those top mares back.

What he has going for him though is that Ashford has a whole lot invested in him. They're going to do whatever is possible to make him as a stallion. American Pharoah has really established Pioneerof The Nile, so they can take some of the mares that had gone to Pioneer and send them to AP's court.

Also, AP hails from an important sire line. His paternal grandsire, Unbridled was a true classic horse that provided real stamina to a pedigree. Unfortunately, Unbridled died prematurely at, I think, 11 years old, leaving only eight foal crops. Unbridled's premium son is Empire Maker who was exported to Japan. That leaves Pioneerof The Nile and his son, American Pharoah as the top extenders of the Unbridled line.

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Mon Jun 08, 2015 3:27 pm 
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What was the jockey for Keen Ice doing during the last half a mile? Pretty crappy job by Desormeaux. Keen Ice was only about 3 lengths off A.P. on the far turn and then the jockey let another horse get inside him, which forced him to travel more distance around the bend at a bad angle. If you watch the horse, he actually closed on Pharoah in the last 1/4 mile or so. Had the jockey kept Keen Ice on the pace, when the horse had the kick in the end, he should have come in at least second, but instead had to come from behind to get third.


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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Mon Jun 08, 2015 5:18 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
He didn't change his pedigree. He just outran it. You're redboarding now.


No I'm not! You're having your cake and eating it too! If he loses it's because his pedigree says he can't run the distance ...if he wins he outran his pedigree...what the hell is that?


I'm not eating any cake, Walt. I lost my thousand on the race.

I'm telling you why I didn't bet him at 3/5 and I told you that before the race. And the next time there's a similar situation, I'll bet against that horse too. Over time, I'm gonna come out in front. I'm confident in that.

I will grant you that American Pharoah is a better horse than I gave him credit for being. I thought he could win the race, but I didn't expect him to roll 12 furlongs that fast and just bury that field.

JOR no sense in discussing anything at all with you ...you are always right :D

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Mon Jun 08, 2015 7:34 pm 
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Thanks, Walt!

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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Tue Jun 09, 2015 10:08 am 
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the winner ran the final half mile at 37.5 mph


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 Post subject: Re: The Belmont
PostPosted: Sun Jun 21, 2015 3:41 pm 
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http://s1273.photobucket.com/user/Chibear214/media/winning%20ticket_zpsf9jco0st.jpg.html?sort=3&o=0


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