Making the Playoffs

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.

equating baseball to Obama is like equating you to Einstien

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.

Racist post...reported

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O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

Can I get your updated thoughts on the second wild card please?

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

That used to be Conns responsibility but for some reason he stopped.

I'll give you 10-1 odds

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Go Cubs!!!!

Let's see them beat a team ahead of them in the standings before we get too excited.

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Won 6 straight and still 4 teams ahead of them.

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Atta boy! You're staying strong and still getting the numbers wrong. That's my favorite part of this bit.

Wow. This thread is pretty embarrassing. Sox STILL have a -46 run differential, under .500 record and are behind 4 teams.

Yikes

You beat who is on the schedule, or you lose 6 out of 10 to bottom feeders. Either way.

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

I got $10

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.

And nearly the same record as the Cubs who have three players as good as Babe Ruth. Robin Ventura just might be the best manager in the history of the game!

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Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don

...and 2.5 back of the wild card. nice try champ

9% < 41% http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/standings/probability.jsp?ymd=20150729

I know most of you Sox fans didn't finish high school, but even you guys would pick a 44% chance at winning then a 9% chance, right?

At least we don't have a mock World Series Champions banner for a team that is 2.5 games out....


Sox are 41-38 since May 1st. Not exactly the bottom feeders you Cubs fans make them out to be.

Hey Juiced, can I get your updated thoughts on the second wild card please?

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

His thoughts are that 9% is less than 40%. He clearly must have attended MIT.

Cubs fans starting to sweat the uncomfortable possibility of the Sox having a better record and making the playoffs.

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O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

Well, I finished four years of university but I admit I don't understand how those percentages are derived. Could you clarify?

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Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don

A computer plays 1 million games as the Cubs, and 1 million games as the White Sox, and it makes up the results, and it spits out a number so people go to the website.

A week ago, the Cubs had like a 75% chance of making the playoffs. This week ruined their season.

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

I'm going on record right now as saying the Cubs have a 0% chance of making the playoffs. In two months we'll find out if I'm smarter than a computer.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don

Sure, the White Sox will not win the second wild card spot. The wildcard spot is for that 99 win team that happens to be in the same division as a 100 win team. You are not going to win the Wildcard if you are not one of the best teams in the league. People look at the standings and see a number. 2.5 games back and say, "Hey, we are still in this thing." When actually you are not because a dozen or so other teams are "in this thing." as well and in that mix is the 99 win team stuck in the 100 win division.

All this win streak is doing for Sox fans is taking away the possibility of gaining some prospects and moving players you need to move to get better. But at least you can watch baseball for a couple more weeks, with the "hope" of winning the Wild Card spot and maybe that is all you wanted in the first place. Because Winning the World Series is so.... 2005.

It's essentially the exact same process that's performed in the beginning of the season to forecast 162 performance.

Baseball Prospectus states they use each team's year-to-date run differential, current roster composition, playing time projections and remaining schedule.

The issue is they don't disclose the weighting for each portion. Nor do they disclose how they project future production (weigh historical performance versus 100 game performance) of players.

Of course, White Sox fans have histrionic crying fits with projection systems. It's just a tool not gospel. It's just an educated guess and there are issues. So, I'd advise to not get personally offended by a computer program.

The Cubs are in the same boat though right, and Cubs fans are also stupid right?

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

I'm not offended by a computer program. I'm offended by jealous Cub fans spouting the silly number as gospel while insisting it isn't gospel.

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Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don

This is the problem.

Just like bigfan and him constantly bringing up "The computers say the White Sox suck!" all offseason.

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You do not talk to me like that! I work too hard to deal with this stuff! I work too hard! I'm an important member of the CSFMB! I drive a Dodge Stratus!

I didn't write the program, but I am guessing all future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team stats.

I'm pretty sure the guys at MLB.com know more then we do here on CSFMB.

So your proving the computer right? Relax sox fans you beat up on Indians and Red Sox.... This isn't 2005!