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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 11:34 am 
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four of the best losing pitchers evar played for sox. Coincidence?

johnny rigney
thornton lee
horlen
quintana

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 11:35 am 
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If a pitcher gives up 1 or less 35 times in my baseball world that guy should win 25 to 30 of those games. If a pitcher gives up 2 runs or less 80 times in my baseball world that guy should win 55 to 60 of those games. If a pitcher gives up 4 runs or less in 90% of his starts in my baseball world that guy should win the majority of his games.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 11:41 am 
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Nas wrote:
If a pitcher gives up 1 or less 35 times in my baseball world that guy should win 25 to 30 of those games. If a pitcher gives up 2 runs or less 80 times in my baseball world that guy should win 55 to 60 of those games. If a pitcher gives up 4 runs or less in 90% of his starts in my baseball world that guy should win the majority of his games.


Why should he? Why are you ignoring the context of the individual games? The game is not played in parts.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 11:48 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
formerlyknownas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
IMU wrote:
Except you believe that a guy who gives up 5 and wins is just as good as a guy who gives up 1 and wins.


Sometimes he is. Unless you believe that scoring conditions are the same for all games.

A good comp for Quintana is Joel Horlen. Look him up. I'm sure you'll see his numbers and think he was a lot better than he really was.

I was just thinking of Horlen. He didn't have anyone on his team who could hit.



Now we're getting somewhere. Horlen pitched for mostly good teams (and a couple really bad ones). The reason his team didn't hit is closely related to the reason he allowed so few runs. It was very difficult to hit in Comiskey Park at that time. His low ERAs and WHIPs belied the fact that he was a rather ordinary pitcher which was illustrated by his W/L record.

I wonder if anyone here wants to argue that Joel Horlen was a better pitcher than Catfish Hunter.

Comiskey was always hard to hit in, but the teams Horlen played on in the 60s (especially in the mid-60s) were egregiously bad. The Swingin' A's had a monster lineup and were dominant. I'd obviously take Hunter, but comparing the two isn't fair, so it doesn't take away from Horlen.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 11:51 am 
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one these days people will give up arguing wins with jorr. unfortunately a sucker is born every minute. :lol:


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 11:54 am 
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formerlyknownas wrote:
Comiskey was always hard to hit in, but the teams Horlen played on in the 60s (especially in the mid-60s) were egregiously bad. The Swingin' A's had a monster lineup and were dominant. I'd obviously take Hunter, but comparing the two isn't fair, so it doesn't take away from Horlen.


The Sox should have won in '64. They won 98 games. And 90-some the next year too. Those teams looked like they were all pitching because it was so difficult to hit in that park. We can't give a guy like Horlen credit for all those numbers that were caused largely by the park while calling the hitters bums too, can we? It was hard to hit there. Hard to hit Horlen. Hard to hit anybody. But Horlen's W/L record showed you who he was.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 11:57 am 
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Kirkwood wrote:
one these days people will give up arguing wins with jorr. unfortunately a sucker is born every minute. :lol:



If I can convince just one guy not to be a Baseball Prospectus zombie it's all been worth it.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:03 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
formerlyknownas wrote:
Comiskey was always hard to hit in, but the teams Horlen played on in the 60s (especially in the mid-60s) were egregiously bad. The Swingin' A's had a monster lineup and were dominant. I'd obviously take Hunter, but comparing the two isn't fair, so it doesn't take away from Horlen.


The Sox should have won in '64. They won 98 games. And 90-some the next year too. Those teams looked like they were all pitching because it was so difficult to hit in that park. We can't give a guy like Horlen credit for all those numbers that were caused largely by the park while calling the hitters bums too, can we? It was hard to hit there. Hard to hit Horlen. Hard to hit anybody. But Horlen's W/L record showed you who he was.

Man, I wish I could have seen the '64 and '67 teams play. Or any Sox teams, for that matter, in the 50s and 60s.

I'll tell you this: If Quintana had Richie Zisk in the lineup, he'd be undefeated.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:07 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
What would you call him besides a loser?


A good number three man in a decent rotation.

You're okay with your #3 being a loser?

I assume by extension that means your #4 and #5 would also be losers.

So you'd lose 3/5 of your games in a decent rotation now?

Your baseball thoughts are something.

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Last edited by IMU on Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:07 pm 
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I blame Chris Sale for not being good enough to win 14 games more than once. He's clearly not a top 5 pitcher. A great pitcher should be able to win more than 13 games. Bartolo Colon has been a better pitcher the past 3 years.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:08 pm 
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Nas wrote:
I blame Chris Sale for not being good enough to win 14 games more than once. He's clearly not a top 5 pitcher. A great pitcher should be able to win more than 13 games. Bartolo Colon has been a better pitcher the past 3 years.



Now you're just talking smack. Sale has a .600 + winning percentage. Bartolo Colon is a great pitcher.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:10 pm 
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Neither Sale nor Quintana nor Arrieta will have the career Colon has.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:12 pm 
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Jake and Sale will be known as all-time greats. I agree with you there.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:12 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Neither Sale nor Quintana nor Arrieta will have the career Colon has.

Who had a better career Jamie Moyer or Johan Santana?


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:13 pm 
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Nas wrote:
I blame Chris Sale for not being good enough to win 14 games more than once. He's clearly not a top 5 pitcher. A great pitcher should be able to win more than 13 games. Bartolo Colon has been a better pitcher the past 3 years.

JORR has me half-convinced overall, but having seen the majority of Quintana's starts, it's hard for me not to conclude that the guy's a hell of a pitcher.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:17 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Neither Sale nor Quintana nor Arrieta will have the career Colon has.

Who had a better career Jamie Moyer or Johan Santana?



Santana. There aren't many guys with a .640 winning percentage. And he led the league in ERA three times.

I hope you're not comparing Colon to Moyer though. I'd say Colon had a better career than Santana, though obviously not a better peak.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:18 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
I blame Chris Sale for not being good enough to win 14 games more than once. He's clearly not a top 5 pitcher. A great pitcher should be able to win more than 13 games. Bartolo Colon has been a better pitcher the past 3 years.


Now you're just talking smack. Sale has a .600 + winning percentage. Bartolo Colon is a great pitcher.


He's been a better pitcher than Sale the past 3 years based on the way you rate pitchers. Maxing out at 13 wins is the sign of a mediocre pitcher in your world. Considering Sale was 36 and 29 the past 3 seasons and Colon was 47 and 32 the Sox should probably trade him for Colon.

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:19 pm 
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formerlyknownas wrote:
Nas wrote:
I blame Chris Sale for not being good enough to win 14 games more than once. He's clearly not a top 5 pitcher. A great pitcher should be able to win more than 13 games. Bartolo Colon has been a better pitcher the past 3 years.

JORR has me half-convinced overall, but having seen the majority of Quintana's starts, it's hard for me not to conclude that the guy's a hell of a pitcher.


His unwavering belief that W/L tell the story makes it impossible for him to convince me. #NoExceptionJORR

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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:24 pm 
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I've always been on JORR's side on the W-L debate and will be until playoff teams are decided by some other stat. I'm hoping they switch to Pythagorean W-L record.


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 01, 2016 12:32 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Neither Sale nor Quintana nor Arrieta will have the career Colon has.

Who had a better career Jamie Moyer or Johan Santana?



Santana. There aren't many guys with a .640 winning percentage. And he led the league in ERA three times.

I hope you're not comparing Colon to Moyer though. I'd say Colon had a better career than Santana, though obviously not a better peak.

Just trying to find your breaking point for length vs shorter periods of dominance.


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 1:21 pm 
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Quote:
Buster Olney ‏@Buster_ESPN
Jose Quintana replaces Danny Salazar on the AL All-Star roster.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 1:52 pm 
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conns7901 wrote:
Quote:
Buster Olney ‏@Buster_ESPN
Jose Quintana replaces Danny Salazar on the AL All-Star roster.


Losing pitcher is an all star? How is that possible?

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 1:54 pm 
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Nas wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
Quote:
Buster Olney ‏@Buster_ESPN
Jose Quintana replaces Danny Salazar on the AL All-Star roster.


Losing pitcher is an all star? How is that possible?


Addison Russell standard.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:00 pm 
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Addison Russell is an all-star? WTF?

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 5:18 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
I've always been on JORR's side on the W-L debate and will be until playoff teams are decided by some other stat. I'm hoping they switch to Pythagorean W-L record.


W-L for starting pitchers is how they determine playoff teams, now? No Decisions must really be a bitch to account for then.


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 5:38 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
Quote:
Buster Olney ‏@Buster_ESPN
Jose Quintana replaces Danny Salazar on the AL All-Star roster.


Losing pitcher is an all star? How is that possible?


Addison Russell standard.


I'm going to need you to stop hating on All Star Jose Quintana.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 6:18 pm 
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Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
I've always been on JORR's side on the W-L debate and will be until playoff teams are decided by some other stat. I'm hoping they switch to Pythagorean W-L record.


W-L for starting pitchers is how they determine playoff teams, now? No Decisions must really be a bitch to account for then.


Should we check and see how many starting rotations with losing records make the playoffs?

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:12 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
I've always been on JORR's side on the W-L debate and will be until playoff teams are decided by some other stat. I'm hoping they switch to Pythagorean W-L record.


W-L for starting pitchers is how they determine playoff teams, now? No Decisions must really be a bitch to account for then.


Should we check and see how many starting rotations with losing records make the playoffs?

There's a long list of great pitching staffs that just didn't get enough run support...

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:40 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Nas wrote:
I blame Chris Sale for not being good enough to win 14 games more than once. He's clearly not a top 5 pitcher. A great pitcher should be able to win more than 13 games. Bartolo Colon has been a better pitcher the past 3 years.


Now you're just talking smack. Sale has a .600 + winning percentage. Bartolo Colon is a great pitcher.


He's been a better pitcher than Sale the past 3 years based on the way you rate pitchers. Maxing out at 13 wins is the sign of a mediocre pitcher in your world.


Sale won 17 games in 2012.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:49 pm 
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Mr. Reason wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Juice's Lecture Notes wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
I've always been on JORR's side on the W-L debate and will be until playoff teams are decided by some other stat. I'm hoping they switch to Pythagorean W-L record.


W-L for starting pitchers is how they determine playoff teams, now? No Decisions must really be a bitch to account for then.


Should we check and see how many starting rotations with losing records make the playoffs?

There's a long list of great pitching staffs that just didn't get enough run support...


Name just one.

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