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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:35 pm 
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It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:37 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.

ECON 101, BRO

Cost passed on to the consumers. And we cant have that.


Fuck poor people. Just kill em off.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:39 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.


I don't think an increase in the minimum wage would change anything if the poor still has the same percentage of the pie. Redistribution of wealth downward is needed. How do you do that? I don't have the answers but I'm confident that a minimum wage increase won't change anything without redistributing wealth.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:42 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.


I don't think an increase in the minimum wage would change anything if the poor still has the same percentage of the pie. Redistribution of wealth downward is needed. How do you do that? I don't have the answers but I'm confident that a minimum wage increase won't change anything without redistributing wealth.
They wouldn't have the same percentage of the pie. They would have more of the pie.

It amazes me how many people have accepted that poor people making enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves won't be better off than poor people who don't make enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:44 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Nas wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.


I don't think an increase in the minimum wage would change anything if the poor still has the same percentage of the pie. Redistribution of wealth downward is needed. How do you do that? I don't have the answers but I'm confident that a minimum wage increase won't change anything without redistributing wealth.
They wouldn't have the same percentage of the pie. They would have more of the pie.

It amazes me how many people have accepted that poor people making enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves won't be better off than poor people who don't make enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves.


Well I'm on board with that. Now we have to get the Doc and the rest of the 1%ers on board.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:45 pm 
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tommy wrote:
denisdman wrote:
tommy wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Charles Murray's book, Coming Apart, has staggering stats on employment, divorce rates, and crime, and most of it is not racial. It is truly socioeconomic. To avoid the criticisms he took from his Bell Curve book, he only used whites for Coming Apart to show the socioeconomic factors for 1960's America and today.

Denis, if he comes back, wanna go see him speak? I'm not a librarian* by any means, but I enjoyed this book.

* yeah, he said librarian



I thought about going to see him speak, but I hate to invest too much time listening to like minded individuals. I would much rather listen to someone with an opposing view point on the decline of the family and the increase in the wealth gap.

I didn't know anything about him when I read that book. It is one plausible explanation for many of the problems we face today.

i have to call bullshit on that one, denis


On which part, that I'd rather see an opposing speaker or that I didn't know who he was. Cause both are 100% true.

The only reason I ever heard of him is from the Economist. They had his booked reviewed or quoted or something. I grabbed the book on my iPad. Then I realized he wrote the Bell Curve. I knew of that book, but I didn't know who wrote it. For financial books, I mainly stick to Roger Lowenstein and Michael Lewis. I have read a few other authors, but those two guys are the only ones where I have read more than one by the same author.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:53 pm 
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tommy wrote:
Elmhurst Steve wrote:
The definition of mass confusion.....Father's day in East St. Louis.

so this is what you guys were talking about when you were talking about Elmhurst Steve....now I get it


Yeah that is him. I generally ignored him but he seems to be going full tilt last week or so.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:56 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.


I don't think an increase in the minimum wage would change anything if the poor still has the same percentage of the pie. Redistribution of wealth downward is needed. How do you do that? I don't have the answers but I'm confident that a minimum wage increase won't change anything without redistributing wealth.


You are very smart.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:57 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
Nas wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.


I don't think an increase in the minimum wage would change anything if the poor still has the same percentage of the pie. Redistribution of wealth downward is needed. How do you do that? I don't have the answers but I'm confident that a minimum wage increase won't change anything without redistributing wealth.


You are very smart.

Except raising the minimum wage actually does redistribute wealth if the price is passed on to consumers like everyone says.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 12:58 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Well I'm on board with that. Now we have to get the Doc and the rest of the 1%ers on board.
It's not really hard to convince the well off unless they somehow get their money from corporations that take advantage of the welfare system and low cost workers who can't feed, clothe, and shelter themselves with the compensation they receive. The percentage of money spent compared to your income raises so little that it wouldn't even be noticeable.

The hard part is that there are many middle class people who have built their finances around needing that small sliver of money saved based on their spending habits and have come to rely on a group of people existing that can't feed, clothe, and shelter themselves with the compensation they receive and they would have to adjust accordingly to the price that things should cost.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:00 pm 
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Look, we either pay them in LINK cards or give them a raise. They're getting the funds one way or another.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:09 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Nas wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.


I don't think an increase in the minimum wage would change anything if the poor still has the same percentage of the pie. Redistribution of wealth downward is needed. How do you do that? I don't have the answers but I'm confident that a minimum wage increase won't change anything without redistributing wealth.
They wouldn't have the same percentage of the pie. They would have more of the pie.

It amazes me how many people have accepted that poor people making enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves won't be better off than poor people who don't make enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves.



I'm not against raising the minimum wage in theory, but are you certain that raising the minimum wage would have the effect that you are hoping to achieve? Or would the additional costs to business simply be passed on to the customers, many of whom are the people receiving the raises, and/or would the amount of jobs simply be reduced, putting many of the people we are hoping to help out of jobs?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:18 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Nas wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
It's not a race issue, it's a socioeconomic issue! Well, then why don't we raise the minimum wage to let the lowest on the socioeconomic scale have a better chance of getting out of there so it actually pays a living wage.


I don't think an increase in the minimum wage would change anything if the poor still has the same percentage of the pie. Redistribution of wealth downward is needed. How do you do that? I don't have the answers but I'm confident that a minimum wage increase won't change anything without redistributing wealth.
They wouldn't have the same percentage of the pie. They would have more of the pie.

It amazes me how many people have accepted that poor people making enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves won't be better off than poor people who don't make enough money to feed, clothe, and shelter themselves.



I'm not against raising the minimum wage in theory, but are you certain that raising the minimum wage would have the effect that you are hoping to achieve? Or would the additional costs to business simply be passed on to the customers, many of whom are the people receiving the raises, and/or would the amount of jobs simply be reduced, putting many of the people we are hoping to help out of jobs?


This has always been my position. While not being against any large scale raise in general what are the effects. My simple look at it is you will get some short term advantage then you will have a inflationary like evening of the system again. In the end your whole pie is more expensive and people have the same slices. I am not an economist though so I would need to see some real studies of this. Not just Brick said it will clearly, easily work.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:18 pm 
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There's no free lunch with raising the minimum wage. One of the following things has to happen, and in reality, a little bit of each would happen:

1) The workers being paid a higher wage are automated away by technology because rising labor costs make capital equipment more cost competitive to use. Impact: Less jobs. Low wage workers with jobs win, but many low wage jobs disappear.
2) Companies try to maintain margins and thus raise the prices on all goods and services. Impact- Inflation is borne by all of society and real purchasing power goes down. The pain is shared broadly across the economy.
3) Companies eat the extra cost and do not lower employment or raise prices. Impact: This is the one that would hit the upper classes the most because it would lower earnings on companies that they own or run including all publicly traded companies.

In scenario 3, the low wages workers win as a greater share of our economy is flowing to them. Since corporate profits are at a record high relative to all income, this is the preferred situation. It is a good way to redistribute income. Unfortunately, none of us can control how companies collectively would respond to the forced payment of higher wages. In the end, employees must be providing value add that exceeds their costs. Otherwise, over time those jobs will disappear.

The wage discussion aside, as a country we need to provide the education and skill development that will make our high schoolers valuable to employers. One of our biggest failures as a society is that too many kids get to 18 years old and have no tangible skills to offer an employer. And as they age, it doesn't get any better.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:19 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I'm not against raising the minimum wage in theory, but are you certain that raising the minimum wage would have the effect that you are hoping to achieve? Or would the additional costs to business simply be passed on to the customers, many of whom are the people receiving the raises, and/or would the amount of jobs simply be reduced, putting many of the people we are hoping to help out of jobs?
Even in that case, they aren't any worse off, and it still would be passed off both to them and the higher income people. If we assume that 20% of the population gets raises, and companies pass it on to 100% of the customers, the benefit should still result in 80% of the others helping pay for more. Now, that is very simplistic and doesn't get into the idea of who eats fast food and shops at Wal-Mart but it isn't 100% poor people.

As for job losses, I think we can stop worrying about that. We live in a time where companies have a "fiduciary responsibility to maximize shareholder value". If they can eliminate a $7/hr or a $15/hr cost they will do it. They are likely operating at the lowest possible numbers. To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:22 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
This has always been my position. While not being against any large scale raise in general what are the effects. My simple look at it is you will get some short term advantage then you will have a inflationary like evening of the system again. In the end your whole pie is more expensive and people have the same slices. I am not an economist though so I would need to see some real studies of this. Not just Brick said it will clearly, easily work.
Stop saying that everyone has the same slices. That makes no sense. You can't raise the minimum wage and have everyone with the same slice unless you are just adjusting for inflation. In terms of productivity, the minimum wage has lagged way behind. Even with inflation, it is just starting to catch up. You guys are operating under the idea that the current minimum wage is correct for no real reason.

It may not work and what is the downside? Poor people that weren't making much money still don't make much money. You don't not do something because the worst case scenario is that things will stay the same.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:25 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I'm not against raising the minimum wage in theory, but are you certain that raising the minimum wage would have the effect that you are hoping to achieve? Or would the additional costs to business simply be passed on to the customers, many of whom are the people receiving the raises, and/or would the amount of jobs simply be reduced, putting many of the people we are hoping to help out of jobs?
Even in that case, they aren't any worse off, and it still would be passed off both to them and the higher income people. If we assume that 20% of the population gets raises, and companies pass it on to 100% of the customers, the benefit should still result in 80% of the others helping pay for more. Now, that is very simplistic and doesn't get into the idea of who eats fast food and shops at Wal-Mart but it isn't 100% poor people.

As for job losses, I think we can stop worrying about that. We live in a time where companies have a "fiduciary responsibility to maximize shareholder value". If they can eliminate a $7/hr or a $15/hr cost they will do it. They are likely operating at the lowest possible numbers. To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


You have made this wrong assumption in the past discussing this. You are not counting all the other people that will get raises because the floor is lifted. Many jobs have salaries contractually obligated or simply set off of what the minimum is. Example is every union trade person is likely to get the same percentage increase you give the poor in effect.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:26 pm 
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Higher min wage has already failed.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/won ... b3e47b3d13

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:26 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
There's no free lunch with raising the minimum wage. One of the following things has to happen, and in reality, a little bit of each would happen:

1) The workers being paid a higher wage are automated away by technology because rising labor costs make capital equipment more cost competitive to use. Impact: Less jobs. Low wage workers with jobs win, but many low wage jobs disappear.
2) Companies try to maintain margins and thus raise the prices on all goods and services. Impact- Inflation is borne by all of society and real purchasing power goes down. The pain is shared broadly across the economy.
3) Companies eat the extra cost and do not lower employment or raise prices. Impact: This is the one that would hit the upper classes the most because it would lower earnings on companies that they own or run including all publicly traded companies.

In scenario 3, the low wages workers win as a greater share of our economy is flowing to them. Since corporate profits are at a record high relative to all income, this is the preferred situation. It is a good way to redistribute income. Unfortunately, none of us can control how companies collectively would respond to the forced payment of higher wages. In the end, employees must be providing value add that exceeds their costs. Otherwise, over time those jobs will disappear.

The wage discussion aside, as a country we need to provide the education and skill development that will make our high schoolers valuable to employers. One of our biggest failures as a society is that too many kids get to 18 years old and have no tangible skills to offer an employer. And as they age, it doesn't get any better.
Poor people do well with 2 and 3, and automation is happening regardless of the minimum wage at any level. We let the minimum wage stagnate at levels that make no sense given past levels and automation happened all over the place. Even places like restaurants that are allowed to ignore the minimum wage are automating those jobs out of existence.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:27 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
There's no free lunch.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:27 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
pittmike wrote:
This has always been my position. While not being against any large scale raise in general what are the effects. My simple look at it is you will get some short term advantage then you will have a inflationary like evening of the system again. In the end your whole pie is more expensive and people have the same slices. I am not an economist though so I would need to see some real studies of this. Not just Brick said it will clearly, easily work.
Stop saying that everyone has the same slices. That makes no sense. You can't raise the minimum wage and have everyone with the same slice unless you are just adjusting for inflation. In terms of productivity, the minimum wage has lagged way behind. Even with inflation, it is just starting to catch up. You guys are operating under the idea that the current minimum wage is correct for no real reason.

It may not work and what is the downside? Poor people that weren't making much money still don't make much money. You don't not do something because the worst case scenario is that things will stay the same.


I give you the example of why I think like that in replying to Jorr while you wrote this.

In answering your question I bolded I say not what is the downside but what is the point. If I believe inflationary type reactions will basically erase the new higher wages why bother?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:29 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I'm not against raising the minimum wage in theory, but are you certain that raising the minimum wage would have the effect that you are hoping to achieve? Or would the additional costs to business simply be passed on to the customers, many of whom are the people receiving the raises, and/or would the amount of jobs simply be reduced, putting many of the people we are hoping to help out of jobs?
Even in that case, they aren't any worse off, and it still would be passed off both to them and the higher income people. If we assume that 20% of the population gets raises, and companies pass it on to 100% of the customers, the benefit should still result in 80% of the others helping pay for more. Now, that is very simplistic and doesn't get into the idea of who eats fast food and shops at Wal-Mart but it isn't 100% poor people.

As for job losses, I think we can stop worrying about that. We live in a time where companies have a "fiduciary responsibility to maximize shareholder value". If they can eliminate a $7/hr or a $15/hr cost they will do it. They are likely operating at the lowest possible numbers. To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


You have made this wrong assumption in the past discussing this. You are not counting all the other people that will get raises because the floor is lifted. Many jobs have salaries contractually obligated or simply set off of what the minimum is. Example is every union trade person is likely to get the same percentage increase you give the poor in effect.
You know what I meant.

A lot of people get raises every year too.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:30 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


Of course not. But I don't think it's crazy to think they might squeeze down their workforce if they had to pay twice as much.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:32 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
There's no free lunch with raising the minimum wage. One of the following things has to happen, and in reality, a little bit of each would happen:

1) The workers being paid a higher wage are automated away by technology because rising labor costs make capital equipment more cost competitive to use. Impact: Less jobs. Low wage workers with jobs win, but many low wage jobs disappear.
2) Companies try to maintain margins and thus raise the prices on all goods and services. Impact- Inflation is borne by all of society and real purchasing power goes down. The pain is shared broadly across the economy.
3) Companies eat the extra cost and do not lower employment or raise prices. Impact: This is the one that would hit the upper classes the most because it would lower earnings on companies that they own or run including all publicly traded companies.

In scenario 3, the low wages workers win as a greater share of our economy is flowing to them. Since corporate profits are at a record high relative to all income, this is the preferred situation. It is a good way to redistribute income. Unfortunately, none of us can control how companies collectively would respond to the forced payment of higher wages. In the end, employees must be providing value add that exceeds their costs. Otherwise, over time those jobs will disappear.

The wage discussion aside, as a country we need to provide the education and skill development that will make our high schoolers valuable to employers. One of our biggest failures as a society is that too many kids get to 18 years old and have no tangible skills to offer an employer. And as they age, it doesn't get any better.


3 is the only option that truly helps and how do you make that happen without severe government influence.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:32 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
I give you the example of why I think like that in replying to Jorr while you wrote this.

In answering your question I bolded I say not what is the downside but what is the point. If I believe inflationary type reactions will basically erase the new higher wages why bother?
The gains may be less than hoped for but it is illogical to think that there will be no gains whatsoever.

We'll use McDonalds as an example. Let's say they pass 100% of the cost onto customers. For every customer that comes in that doesn't earn minimum wage(or if you really want to go that far, doesn't have a wage based on the minimum wage) they are paying slightly more.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:32 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
denisdman wrote:
There's no free lunch with raising the minimum wage. One of the following things has to happen, and in reality, a little bit of each would happen:

1) The workers being paid a higher wage are automated away by technology because rising labor costs make capital equipment more cost competitive to use. Impact: Less jobs. Low wage workers with jobs win, but many low wage jobs disappear.
2) Companies try to maintain margins and thus raise the prices on all goods and services. Impact- Inflation is borne by all of society and real purchasing power goes down. The pain is shared broadly across the economy.
3) Companies eat the extra cost and do not lower employment or raise prices. Impact: This is the one that would hit the upper classes the most because it would lower earnings on companies that they own or run including all publicly traded companies.

In scenario 3, the low wages workers win as a greater share of our economy is flowing to them. Since corporate profits are at a record high relative to all income, this is the preferred situation. It is a good way to redistribute income. Unfortunately, none of us can control how companies collectively would respond to the forced payment of higher wages. In the end, employees must be providing value add that exceeds their costs. Otherwise, over time those jobs will disappear.

The wage discussion aside, as a country we need to provide the education and skill development that will make our high schoolers valuable to employers. One of our biggest failures as a society is that too many kids get to 18 years old and have no tangible skills to offer an employer. And as they age, it doesn't get any better.
Poor people do well with 2 and 3, and automation is happening regardless of the minimum wage at any level. We let the minimum wage stagnate at levels that make no sense given past levels and automation happened all over the place. Even places like restaurants that are allowed to ignore the minimum wage are automating those jobs out of existence.



Yes, I noted that 2&3 are good for low wage workers. However, where your logic fails on automation is that as you raise the cost of wages, you make investments in productivity technology more cost competitive.

If a company has a low wage worker cost of $20M annually, and you raise that by 50% to $30M annually, you now have a much bigger incentive to spend on expensive equipment to remove cost layers. Even if you have to spend say $50M upfront, your savings on employment costs are recurring each year. Basically, you have lowered the project hurdle rate significantly.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:33 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


Of course not. But I don't think it's crazy to think they might squeeze down their workforce if they had to pay twice as much.
They already do. How many workers do you think Wal-Mart puts in every store that they don't need?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:34 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


Of course not. But I don't think it's crazy to think they WILL squeeze down their workforce if they had to pay twice as much.



FTFY Jorr. Walmart and large companies get used as examples of places that take advantage of the system and can absorb things like a large raise to wages. Even if you believe all of that they are not the only employers. All employers from small places to even competitors of Walmart are hanging on by a thread. Hank's link on Seattle was informative even if the review is not yet peer reviewed.

We are basically talking about retail and service when you are talking about poor people that do not make enough to live. Outside of a behemoth like Wally World I doubt many can absorb the hit.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:35 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
pittmike wrote:
I give you the example of why I think like that in replying to Jorr while you wrote this.

In answering your question I bolded I say not what is the downside but what is the point. If I believe inflationary type reactions will basically erase the new higher wages why bother?
The gains may be less than hoped for but it is illogical to think that there will be no gains whatsoever.

We'll use McDonalds as an example. Let's say they pass 100% of the cost onto customers. For every customer that comes in that doesn't earn minimum wage(or if you really want to go that far, doesn't have a wage based on the minimum wage) they are paying slightly more.


Read Hank's link.

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