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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:36 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


Of course not. But I don't think it's crazy to think they might squeeze down their workforce if they had to pay twice as much.
They already do. How many workers do you think Wal-Mart puts in every store that they don't need?


Its like the household budget. We don't NEED cable or premium packages but we have it and we pay for it. If money gets tight, I can cut channels. Sure it will suck to not have as many but I can live with just basic cable. I'm sure there is fat to be trimmed from every Wal-Mart in the country.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:37 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Yes, I noted that 2&3 are good for low wage workers. However, where your logic fails on automation is that as you raise the cost of wages, you make investments in productivity technology more cost competitive.

If a company has a low wage worker cost of $20M annually, and you raise that by 50% to $30M annually, you now have a much bigger incentive to spend on expensive equipment to remove cost layers. Even if you have to spend say $50M upfront, your savings on employment costs are recurring each year. Basically, you have lowered the project hurdle rate significantly.
I'll use your numbers, but you have to look at it over a 5 year period. If I can spend $50M to remove $100M over the next 5 years I do it, and if I can spend $50M to remove $150M over the next 5 years I do it. You are doing either one.

I understand that the math changes somewhat but you are overstating it. The goal of virtually all of these places is to become fully automated.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:38 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
denisdman wrote:
There's no free lunch with raising the minimum wage. One of the following things has to happen, and in reality, a little bit of each would happen:

1) The workers being paid a higher wage are automated away by technology because rising labor costs make capital equipment more cost competitive to use. Impact: Less jobs. Low wage workers with jobs win, but many low wage jobs disappear.
2) Companies try to maintain margins and thus raise the prices on all goods and services. Impact- Inflation is borne by all of society and real purchasing power goes down. The pain is shared broadly across the economy.
3) Companies eat the extra cost and do not lower employment or raise prices. Impact: This is the one that would hit the upper classes the most because it would lower earnings on companies that they own or run including all publicly traded companies.

In scenario 3, the low wages workers win as a greater share of our economy is flowing to them. Since corporate profits are at a record high relative to all income, this is the preferred situation. It is a good way to redistribute income. Unfortunately, none of us can control how companies collectively would respond to the forced payment of higher wages. In the end, employees must be providing value add that exceeds their costs. Otherwise, over time those jobs will disappear.

The wage discussion aside, as a country we need to provide the education and skill development that will make our high schoolers valuable to employers. One of our biggest failures as a society is that too many kids get to 18 years old and have no tangible skills to offer an employer. And as they age, it doesn't get any better.


3 is the only option that truly helps and how do you make that happen without severe government influence.


It's a great question. The best way is what I allude to in my last paragraph- education. That solves a large piece of the puzzle because then workers have desirable skills that employers must bargain for. I am sure many on this board have employment opportunities at their competitors' shops, and those places would offer a higher salary or wage to attract you.

Now low wage jobs like McDonalds really are meant for teenagers and college aged kids. Unfortunately, we have too many people trying to raise families on those jobs.

There is nothing the government can do that wouldn't make the problem worse. Companies have been exceptionally good at doing more with less.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:39 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


Of course not. But I don't think it's crazy to think they might squeeze down their workforce if they had to pay twice as much.
They already do. How many workers do you think Wal-Mart puts in every store that they don't need?


Its like the household budget. We don't NEED cable or premium packages but we have it and we pay for it. If money gets tight, I can cut channels. Sure it will suck to not have as many but I can live with just basic cable. I'm sure there is fat to be trimmed from every Wal-Mart in the country.
The difference is that Wal-Mart doesn't have a desire to enjoy life. They are there to make money for shareholders and that is it.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:40 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:


Hiding behind the PAY WINDA BAAAABY!

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:41 pm 
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Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:42 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Yes, I noted that 2&3 are good for low wage workers. However, where your logic fails on automation is that as you raise the cost of wages, you make investments in productivity technology more cost competitive.

If a company has a low wage worker cost of $20M annually, and you raise that by 50% to $30M annually, you now have a much bigger incentive to spend on expensive equipment to remove cost layers. Even if you have to spend say $50M upfront, your savings on employment costs are recurring each year. Basically, you have lowered the project hurdle rate significantly.
I'll use your numbers, but you have to look at it over a 5 year period. If I can spend $50M to remove $100M over the next 5 years I do it, and if I can spend $50M to remove $150M over the next 5 years I do it. You are doing either one.

I understand that the math changes somewhat but you are overstating it. The goal of virtually all of these places is to become fully automated.


Automation doesn't remove all your employees. You don't save the full $20M or $30M annually. It is much more incremental than that. And the machine doesn't have an endless life, so there is an ongoing cost. It's just a net present value calculation. You are lowing the hurdle rate of the project. The extra labor costs matters.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:43 pm 
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People also do not consider supply, demand and greed. I would say there is one main reason that a basic rent now might be $700 whereas when I was born it might have been $150. Why to property owners charge $700 as opposed to $150? You can make it as complicated as you wish but in a nutshell it is because they can.

People make a lot more now than in 1967. But everyone from car manufacturers to landlords charge much more for everything. The system will suck up the money available. My thinking is eventually this is where your new higher basement wage will end up.

Look at it form an example of our recent past. Lets say it was not until 1980ish where we really felt the full force of having two good earners in one family making money. That at the time would be quite a raise from the previous decade where a family had maybe 2/3 of that newfound wealth. Where is all that extra money now? Sucked up by the system and now all families basically need two earners to survive or thrive.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:43 pm 
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Nas wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
LTG is the middle-class middle aged guy that pushed for Clinton Crime Bill and now he's wondering why the family structure is broken. Bullets and bars was the solution for guys like LTG when books and opportunity was the thing that was needed. I understand not wanting certain things in your neighborhood but sometimes "getting rid" of all of them creates bigger problems.



You have it wrong. The family wasn't destroyed by the crime bill. Drugs destroyed black families. The crime bill was a reaction to that. I came of age during that period. I also grew up in a part of Chicago that trafficked in a tremendous amount of it. Chicago and other urban areas were ravaged by violence back then. A large portion of it emanated from drugs both using and dealing. I grew up with a number of guys that never made it to their 18th birthday. Again much of it was drug related.

I laugh when people say non violent drug user. Violence is a by product of drugs in most cases. The things people do to acquire drugs can be deadly. I'm not suggesting that it (crime bill) isn't flawed. It is but at the time Inner cities were war zones. I can trace much of it to drugs.


Drugs have been hurting families of all groups of people since the beginning time. The Crime Bill destroyed the families of poor and minorities. It was nothing more than an overreaction to a government created problem.

I grew up on the right side of the viaduct as a kid but I still saw drugs and crime almost daily. I had a shoebox with too many obituaries in it before I turned 18. Most of them came AFTER the Crime Bill when the hierarchy of these organizations were removed. As a kid that spent a large chunk of my youth at Avalon Park I can't recall an innocent person being shot around there before 1995. Before 1995 the older heads wouldn't allow anyone to shoot up a park or would literally tap you on the shoulder and tell you to go home. After 1995 you had idiots shooting everywhere and nothing nut chaos. Before 1995 seeing a father and son was fairly common. By the middle of the next decade it was like seeing a unicorn. The men were removed from the family and even when released from prison they had very few opportunities outside of crime.



Black men were removed from the home years before the crime bill was conceived. Moynihan's study on the black family was written 30 years before that. Most sociologists attribute the desertion of black males to things that precede the crime bill. There was a steep decline in the number of homicides in Chicago shortly after that bill was enacted.

It wasn't just whites that were calling for govt to get tough on crime. Blacks were as well.


It wasn't just the black fathers that were removed, you had the same thing happening to poor and minorities everywhere. While there was a decline of the involvement of the black father prior to the Crime Bill, he was virtually eliminated a decade later.

You're rewriting history on the homicide numbers. In 1999 or 2000 (can’t remember and don't feel like looking it up) there were 1000 murders in Chicago. The decline didn't really happen until this decade and we are starting to see the numbers climb again.

I know there were MANY blacks that were at a similar points and status in life as you are that were pushing for the Crime Bill then. I pointed that out in this thread and others. Just like now there are MANY blacks that are pushing for the National Guard to come in. You all were out of touch and wrong then and the same is true now.



You're actually rewriting history. The homicide rate in Chicago declined after the bill was passed and the murder rate was nowhere near a thousand after that.

Low income areas were ravaged by drugs. A great number of the homicides were drug related. The structure of families were also reconfigured. Teenage boys became the head of household in a number of cases because in many cases they were the breadwinner.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:48 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.


I give Comrade Rick much applause for his work going against corporate welfare and looking out for the poor. Unfortunately, I do not trust it is as easy as he seems to think it is. I do not want to insult him in any way but I have to assume that really really smart people with expertise in this with just as big a heart have worked on this a long time and haven't figured it all out.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:50 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
LTG is the middle-class middle aged guy that pushed for Clinton Crime Bill and now he's wondering why the family structure is broken. Bullets and bars was the solution for guys like LTG when books and opportunity was the thing that was needed. I understand not wanting certain things in your neighborhood but sometimes "getting rid" of all of them creates bigger problems.



You have it wrong. The family wasn't destroyed by the crime bill. Drugs destroyed black families. The crime bill was a reaction to that. I came of age during that period. I also grew up in a part of Chicago that trafficked in a tremendous amount of it. Chicago and other urban areas were ravaged by violence back then. A large portion of it emanated from drugs both using and dealing. I grew up with a number of guys that never made it to their 18th birthday. Again much of it was drug related.

I laugh when people say non violent drug user. Violence is a by product of drugs in most cases. The things people do to acquire drugs can be deadly. I'm not suggesting that it (crime bill) isn't flawed. It is but at the time Inner cities were war zones. I can trace much of it to drugs.


Drugs have been hurting families of all groups of people since the beginning time. The Crime Bill destroyed the families of poor and minorities. It was nothing more than an overreaction to a government created problem.

I grew up on the right side of the viaduct as a kid but I still saw drugs and crime almost daily. I had a shoebox with too many obituaries in it before I turned 18. Most of them came AFTER the Crime Bill when the hierarchy of these organizations were removed. As a kid that spent a large chunk of my youth at Avalon Park I can't recall an innocent person being shot around there before 1995. Before 1995 the older heads wouldn't allow anyone to shoot up a park or would literally tap you on the shoulder and tell you to go home. After 1995 you had idiots shooting everywhere and nothing nut chaos. Before 1995 seeing a father and son was fairly common. By the middle of the next decade it was like seeing a unicorn. The men were removed from the family and even when released from prison they had very few opportunities outside of crime.



Black men were removed from the home years before the crime bill was conceived. Moynihan's study on the black family was written 30 years before that. Most sociologists attribute the desertion of black males to things that precede the crime bill. There was a steep decline in the number of homicides in Chicago shortly after that bill was enacted.

It wasn't just whites that were calling for govt to get tough on crime. Blacks were as well.


It wasn't just the black fathers that were removed, you had the same thing happening to poor and minorities everywhere. While there was a decline of the involvement of the black father prior to the Crime Bill, he was virtually eliminated a decade later.

You're rewriting history on the homicide numbers. In 1999 or 2000 (can’t remember and don't feel like looking it up) there were 1000 murders in Chicago. The decline didn't really happen until this decade and we are starting to see the numbers climb again.

I know there were MANY blacks that were at a similar points and status in life as you are that were pushing for the Crime Bill then. I pointed that out in this thread and others. Just like now there are MANY blacks that are pushing for the National Guard to come in. You all were out of touch and wrong then and the same is true now.



You're actually rewriting history. The homicide rate in Chicago declined after the bill was passed and the murder rate was nowhere near a thousand after that.

Low income areas were ravaged by drugs. A great number of the homicides were drug related. The structure of families were also reconfigured. Teenage boys became the head of household in a number of cases because in many cases they were the breadwinner.


Don Zaluchi predicted this.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:50 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.


I give Comrade Rick much applause for his work going against corporate welfare and looking out for the poor. Unfortunately, I do not trust it is as easy as he seems to think it is. I do not want to insult him in any way but I have to assume that really really smart people with expertise in this with just as big a heart have worked on this a long time and haven't figured it all out.


Funny coming from the guy that wants a government mandated exodus from all major coastal cities.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:51 pm 
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denisdman wrote:
Automation doesn't remove all your employees. You don't save the full $20M or $30M annually. It is much more incremental than that. And the machine doesn't have an endless life, so there is an ongoing cost. It's just a net present value calculation. You are lowing the hurdle rate of the project. The extra labor costs matters.
The cost of an employee goes far beyond the cost of their hourly wage though if you want to go down that route. Training, hiring/firing, insurance(even for on the job accidents), extra payroll taxes, management time setting schedules. Even if we are talking about a $3 an hour extra cost it still isn't massively significant to the point where many projects to automate would suddenly be advantageous.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:52 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.


I give Comrade Rick much applause for his work going against corporate welfare and looking out for the poor. Unfortunately, I do not trust it is as easy as he seems to think it is. I do not want to insult him in any way but I have to assume that really really smart people with expertise in this with just as big a heart have worked on this a long time and haven't figured it all out.
Who do you think stops most minimum wage increases?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:52 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:

That study excluded businesses with more than one location. (Wal Mart, McDonalds)


https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-10/the-overhyped-seattle-minimum-wage-disaster


So far, the evidence is going the other way. Not only is the data not public, so it hasn’t yet been peer reviewed, but what we do know about the study’s methodology has been criticized for its failings. The biggest is that it excludes businesses with more than one location. In other words, no McDonald’s or other fast-food restaurant chains were included. Nor was Wal-Mart, or any of the countless other well-known retail and restaurant chains.

That is quite a significant oversight: Michael Reich of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics at the University of California at Berkeley analyzed the impact of the methodology used. He notes that the UofW report excludes “48 percent of Seattle’s low-paid workforce out of their study.”

This is a major flaw.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:53 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
pittmike wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.


I give Comrade Rick much applause for his work going against corporate welfare and looking out for the poor. Unfortunately, I do not trust it is as easy as he seems to think it is. I do not want to insult him in any way but I have to assume that really really smart people with expertise in this with just as big a heart have worked on this a long time and haven't figured it all out.
Who do you think stops most minimum wage increases?

Businesses want what is best for low level employees and they are saving them the trouble that would come with higher wages.


Mo Money, Mo Problems


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:53 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:

That study excluded businesses with more than one location. (Wal Mart, McDonalds)


https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-10/the-overhyped-seattle-minimum-wage-disaster


So far, the evidence is going the other way. Not only is the data not public, so it hasn’t yet been peer reviewed, but what we do know about the study’s methodology has been criticized for its failings. The biggest is that it excludes businesses with more than one location. In other words, no McDonald’s or other fast-food restaurant chains were included. Nor was Wal-Mart, or any of the countless other well-known retail and restaurant chains.

That is quite a significant oversight: Michael Reich of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics at the University of California at Berkeley analyzed the impact of the methodology used. He notes that the UofW report excludes “48 percent of Seattle’s low-paid workforce out of their study.”

This is a major flaw.
:lol: No wonder it was barely mentioned.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:54 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:

That study excluded businesses with more than one location. (Wal Mart, McDonalds)


https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-10/the-overhyped-seattle-minimum-wage-disaster


So far, the evidence is going the other way. Not only is the data not public, so it hasn’t yet been peer reviewed, but what we do know about the study’s methodology has been criticized for its failings. The biggest is that it excludes businesses with more than one location. In other words, no McDonald’s or other fast-food restaurant chains were included. Nor was Wal-Mart, or any of the countless other well-known retail and restaurant chains.

That is quite a significant oversight: Michael Reich of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics at the University of California at Berkeley analyzed the impact of the methodology used. He notes that the UofW report excludes “48 percent of Seattle’s low-paid workforce out of their study.”

This is a major flaw.


Hank is Fake News!

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:55 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
pittmike wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.


I give Comrade Rick much applause for his work going against corporate welfare and looking out for the poor. Unfortunately, I do not trust it is as easy as he seems to think it is. I do not want to insult him in any way but I have to assume that really really smart people with expertise in this with just as big a heart have worked on this a long time and haven't figured it all out.
Who do you think stops most minimum wage increases?


Lobbying of the government? Some guy that thinks he is a genius at Department of Labor? Teamster thugs?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:57 pm 
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Caller Bob wrote:
pittmike wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.


I give Comrade Rick much applause for his work going against corporate welfare and looking out for the poor. Unfortunately, I do not trust it is as easy as he seems to think it is. I do not want to insult him in any way but I have to assume that really really smart people with expertise in this with just as big a heart have worked on this a long time and haven't figured it all out.


Funny coming from the guy that wants a government mandated exodus from all major coastal cities.


You really aren't that quick on the uptake are you?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 1:59 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
To put it another way, do you think Wal-Mart would double the number of workers if the minimum wage was cut in half?


Of course not. But I don't think it's crazy to think they might squeeze down their workforce if they had to pay twice as much.
They already do. How many workers do you think Wal-Mart puts in every store that they don't need?


Its like the household budget. We don't NEED cable or premium packages but we have it and we pay for it. If money gets tight, I can cut channels. Sure it will suck to not have as many but I can live with just basic cable. I'm sure there is fat to be trimmed from every Wal-Mart in the country.
The difference is that Wal-Mart doesn't have a desire to enjoy life. They are there to make money for shareholders and that is it.


If you think that every Wal Mart is running as lean as possible now, you are crazy. They don't need to invest in lean daily management now because they are paying their workers a pittance. If you increased their payroll costs, they will find out how to cut.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:00 pm 
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If you dont want a minimum wage increase or think it wont work, then dont complain about the welfare state or LINK card abuse.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:02 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
pittmike wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Comrade Rick wrote:
From each according to his ability to each according to his needs.


I give Comrade Rick much applause for his work going against corporate welfare and looking out for the poor. Unfortunately, I do not trust it is as easy as he seems to think it is. I do not want to insult him in any way but I have to assume that really really smart people with expertise in this with just as big a heart have worked on this a long time and haven't figured it all out.
Who do you think stops most minimum wage increases?

Businesses want what is best for low level employees and they are saving them the trouble that would come with higher wages.


Mo Money, Mo Problems


http://www.nydailynews.com/news/national/missouri-set-reduce-st-louis-minimum-wage-10-7-70-article-1.3300143
All aboard the philanthropy train!

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:02 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
long time guy wrote:
Nas wrote:
LTG is the middle-class middle aged guy that pushed for Clinton Crime Bill and now he's wondering why the family structure is broken. Bullets and bars was the solution for guys like LTG when books and opportunity was the thing that was needed. I understand not wanting certain things in your neighborhood but sometimes "getting rid" of all of them creates bigger problems.



You have it wrong. The family wasn't destroyed by the crime bill. Drugs destroyed black families. The crime bill was a reaction to that. I came of age during that period. I also grew up in a part of Chicago that trafficked in a tremendous amount of it. Chicago and other urban areas were ravaged by violence back then. A large portion of it emanated from drugs both using and dealing. I grew up with a number of guys that never made it to their 18th birthday. Again much of it was drug related.

I laugh when people say non violent drug user. Violence is a by product of drugs in most cases. The things people do to acquire drugs can be deadly. I'm not suggesting that it (crime bill) isn't flawed. It is but at the time Inner cities were war zones. I can trace much of it to drugs.


Drugs have been hurting families of all groups of people since the beginning time. The Crime Bill destroyed the families of poor and minorities. It was nothing more than an overreaction to a government created problem.

I grew up on the right side of the viaduct as a kid but I still saw drugs and crime almost daily. I had a shoebox with too many obituaries in it before I turned 18. Most of them came AFTER the Crime Bill when the hierarchy of these organizations were removed. As a kid that spent a large chunk of my youth at Avalon Park I can't recall an innocent person being shot around there before 1995. Before 1995 the older heads wouldn't allow anyone to shoot up a park or would literally tap you on the shoulder and tell you to go home. After 1995 you had idiots shooting everywhere and nothing nut chaos. Before 1995 seeing a father and son was fairly common. By the middle of the next decade it was like seeing a unicorn. The men were removed from the family and even when released from prison they had very few opportunities outside of crime.



Black men were removed from the home years before the crime bill was conceived. Moynihan's study on the black family was written 30 years before that. Most sociologists attribute the desertion of black males to things that precede the crime bill. There was a steep decline in the number of homicides in Chicago shortly after that bill was enacted.

It wasn't just whites that were calling for govt to get tough on crime. Blacks were as well.


It wasn't just the black fathers that were removed, you had the same thing happening to poor and minorities everywhere. While there was a decline of the involvement of the black father prior to the Crime Bill, he was virtually eliminated a decade later.

You're rewriting history on the homicide numbers. In 1999 or 2000 (can’t remember and don't feel like looking it up) there were 1000 murders in Chicago. The decline didn't really happen until this decade and we are starting to see the numbers climb again.

I know there were MANY blacks that were at a similar points and status in life as you are that were pushing for the Crime Bill then. I pointed that out in this thread and others. Just like now there are MANY blacks that are pushing for the National Guard to come in. You all were out of touch and wrong then and the same is true now.



You're actually rewriting history. The homicide rate in Chicago declined after the bill was passed and the murder rate was nowhere near a thousand after that.

Low income areas were ravaged by drugs. A great number of the homicides were drug related. The structure of families were also reconfigured. Teenage boys became the head of household in a number of cases because in many cases they were the breadwinner.


You know what also happened around the time of the Crime Bill? The unemployment rate dropped dramatically. It's amazing how much opportunity reduces crime.

Are you seriously arguing that the Crime Bill was a success? Are you arguing that these communities are better off today than they were in 1995? Are you arguing that these families are better off?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:03 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:

That study excluded businesses with more than one location. (Wal Mart, McDonalds)


https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-10/the-overhyped-seattle-minimum-wage-disaster


So far, the evidence is going the other way. Not only is the data not public, so it hasn’t yet been peer reviewed, but what we do know about the study’s methodology has been criticized for its failings. The biggest is that it excludes businesses with more than one location. In other words, no McDonald’s or other fast-food restaurant chains were included. Nor was Wal-Mart, or any of the countless other well-known retail and restaurant chains.

That is quite a significant oversight: Michael Reich of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics at the University of California at Berkeley analyzed the impact of the methodology used. He notes that the UofW report excludes “48 percent of Seattle’s low-paid workforce out of their study.”

This is a major flaw.


And here is a guy from MIT saying the opposite.

"This strikes me as a study that is likely to influence people," said David Autor, an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who was not involved in the research. He called the work "very credible" and "sufficiently compelling in its design and statistical power that it can change minds."

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:04 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
If you dont want a minimum wage increase or think it wont work, then dont complain about the welfare state or LINK card abuse.


You offer such compelling choices.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:06 pm 
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minimum wage works the same as a tax on labor. you want a subsidy on labor if you want more people working.

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:07 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
If you dont want a minimum wage increase or think it wont work, then dont complain about the welfare state or LINK card abuse.


Why can't I complain about both, it isn't binary. RPBrick

The problem is that for a min wage increase to work, it would involve significant government oversight of businesses. I don't think WalMart should make billions and then force their workers to go on welfare to survive. How do you stop that from happening short of boycotting Wal-Mart (good luck)? Do you want the government to step in and tell Wal Mart how much they can and cant make each year?

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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:08 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:

That study excluded businesses with more than one location. (Wal Mart, McDonalds)


https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2017-07-10/the-overhyped-seattle-minimum-wage-disaster


So far, the evidence is going the other way. Not only is the data not public, so it hasn’t yet been peer reviewed, but what we do know about the study’s methodology has been criticized for its failings. The biggest is that it excludes businesses with more than one location. In other words, no McDonald’s or other fast-food restaurant chains were included. Nor was Wal-Mart, or any of the countless other well-known retail and restaurant chains.

That is quite a significant oversight: Michael Reich of the Center on Wage and Employment Dynamics at the University of California at Berkeley analyzed the impact of the methodology used. He notes that the UofW report excludes “48 percent of Seattle’s low-paid workforce out of their study.”

This is a major flaw.


And here is a guy from MIT saying the opposite.

"This strikes me as a study that is likely to influence people," said David Autor, an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who was not involved in the research. He called the work "very credible" and "sufficiently compelling in its design and statistical power that it can change minds."

He can say whatever he wants. They left 48% of the workers out of it including the 2 biggest employers of the workers we are talking about.

That speaks for itself.


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PostPosted: Mon Aug 28, 2017 2:11 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
denisdman wrote:
Yes, I noted that 2&3 are good for low wage workers. However, where your logic fails on automation is that as you raise the cost of wages, you make investments in productivity technology more cost competitive.

If a company has a low wage worker cost of $20M annually, and you raise that by 50% to $30M annually, you now have a much bigger incentive to spend on expensive equipment to remove cost layers. Even if you have to spend say $50M upfront, your savings on employment costs are recurring each year. Basically, you have lowered the project hurdle rate significantly.
I'll use your numbers, but you have to look at it over a 5 year period. If I can spend $50M to remove $100M over the next 5 years I do it, and if I can spend $50M to remove $150M over the next 5 years I do it. You are doing either one.

I understand that the math changes somewhat but you are overstating it. The goal of virtually all of these places is to become fully automated.


We love scanning and bagging our own groceries now. We are literally doing what 2 people used to get paid for.

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