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WaitingforRuffcorn
PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2018 2:43 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Catching the Saints is 99.9% likely not to happen. As FF points out, they get to play the terrible Panthers twice.


I would put it at far more likely than .1 percent. Probably closer to 20 or 30 percent.

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FavreFan
PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2018 2:55 pm 
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WaitingforRuffcorn wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Catching the Saints is 99.9% likely not to happen. As FF points out, they get to play the terrible Panthers twice.


I would put it at far more likely than .1 percent. Probably closer to 20 or 30 percent.

That seems insane to me.

5 percent or less sounds about right. The 3 percent number someone posted seems accurate.

It’s not even approaching 30%.

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WaitingforRuffcorn
PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2018 2:57 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
WaitingforRuffcorn wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Catching the Saints is 99.9% likely not to happen. As FF points out, they get to play the terrible Panthers twice.


I would put it at far more likely than .1 percent. Probably closer to 20 or 30 percent.

That seems insane to me.

5 percent or less sounds about right. The 3 percent number someone posted seems accurate.

It’s not even approaching 30%.


http://www.espn.com/nfl/game?gameId=401030967

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The Missing Link wrote:
For instance they were never taught that Columbus was a slave owner.
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FavreFan
PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2018 3:07 pm 
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WaitingforRuffcorn wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
WaitingforRuffcorn wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Catching the Saints is 99.9% likely not to happen. As FF points out, they get to play the terrible Panthers twice.


I would put it at far more likely than .1 percent. Probably closer to 20 or 30 percent.

That seems insane to me.

5 percent or less sounds about right. The 3 percent number someone posted seems accurate.

It’s not even approaching 30%.


http://www.espn.com/nfl/game?gameId=401030967

That's one game's odds.

You need the Saints to lose two games with three games left where they will be comfortable favorites in all three, while also needing the Bears to run the table. It's simply wrong to suggest there's anywhere close to a 30% probability of all of that happening concurrently.

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Frank Coztansa
PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2018 3:07 pm 
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omg this is fucking stupid.

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