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 Post subject: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 8:16 am 
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I'm a little sour right now as I was live to 4 horses 20 times each in the last PK-3 at Woodbine yesterday and I got run over by a 40/1 shot.

Back at it today. I'm unimpressed with the QP field but I'd say you can narrow it down to Avie's Flatter, Skywire, and One Bad Boy. Maybe the top finishers in the Plate Trial have an outside shot. I'm not crazy about the race.

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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 9:12 am 
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I think 5-2 is more than fair for the 14-Avies Flatter...the pedigree fits very nicely too. But that wide draw should make things interesting. The only filly in the race the 1-Desert Pride will close well if there is pace, not sure that's going to happen...I agree with you about 10-Skywire who could benefit from a slower pace...I like the local colt 8-He's a Macho Man...loved his father, he's 2-2 here at Woodbine and is still getting better. Haven't looked at the rest of Woodbine's card (I'd love to see that track) I don't do well playing multiple tracks so I'm going to focus on Churchill today...Good luck all


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 9:36 am 
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#10 Skywire is priced fairly on the M/L at 4-1. I don't generally like the deep closers except on turf, but he dominates in LP in this field. Probably has the best chance to win.

Otherwise, I like #7 Federal Law at 15-1 and #1 Desert Ride at 7-1 for value.


Last edited by Dignified Rube on Sat Jun 29, 2019 11:22 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 10:11 am 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
I think 5-2 is more than fair for the 14-Avies Flatter...the pedigree fits very nicely too. But that wide draw should make things interesting. The only filly in the race the 1-Desert Pride will close well if there is pace, not sure that's going to happen...I agree with you about 10-Skywire who could benefit from a slower pace...I like the local colt 8-He's a Macho Man...loved his father, he's 2-2 here at Woodbine and is still getting better. Haven't looked at the rest of Woodbine's card (I'd love to see that track) I don't do well playing multiple tracks so I'm going to focus on Churchill today...Good luck all


who do you like?


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 10:18 am 
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Any tips for Arlington tomorrow? Ill be there for a lil shindig.

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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 11:34 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Any tips for Arlington tomorrow? Ill be there f or a lil shindig.

1.cash me ousside
2.point streak both have Kennedy on em good jock
3 r marie
8 hot shot anna


good luck

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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 11:36 am 
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W_Z wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
I think 5-2 is more than fair for the 14-Avies Flatter...the pedigree fits very nicely too. But that wide draw should make things interesting. The only filly in the race the 1-Desert Pride will close well if there is pace, not sure that's going to happen...I agree with you about 10-Skywire who could benefit from a slower pace...I like the local colt 8-He's a Macho Man...loved his father, he's 2-2 here at Woodbine and is still getting better. Haven't looked at the rest of Woodbine's card (I'd love to see that track) I don't do well playing multiple tracks so I'm going to focus on Churchill today...Good luck all


who do you like?


Still working on this card…Very tough card, but huge fields…lots of losing tickets mean winning tickets pay big…also last day so mandatory payout of all pools including p6 which should go at least above 500k I’m guessing. Most races will be on FS2 America’s Day at The races (flipping between Belmont and CD)…the dude that handicaps from CD Jonathan Kichen (Sp?) has been red hot but the coverage is spotty so often he’ll be giving his picks as the horses are leaving the gate…but the races look better on my TV than on a desktop

R1 probably will get bet down but I like joe sharp’s recent claim the 5-Blue Eyed Girl here…drops in and will be on front end..adam beschizza is sneaky good here at CD…may get bet down though….still a wide open race

R3 also wide open…think the 4-He’s Stylish is in best form gets a great jock and should be primed 3rd off the layoff..the 9-Roughin the City comes out of that same race and stepped up big off odds of 18/1 to finish just a few lengths behind the 4…and the 8-Intoxicating would be a bomb…I like how he’s been working out in am since a bad debut here a month ago


Later in Race 7 the 8-Battle of Memphis Mark Casse’s horse out of-Ireland- with Florent Geroux should be sitting on a big race.


More later


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 2:44 pm 
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Huge price on Red Jersey in the 4th at AP.

It's underneath figures are decent and has the highest WP in the field.

Spoke too soon. It dropped from 36-1 to 15-1 and still going down.

Pretty paltry odds offering today everywhere. There's been hardly anything to bet at.


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 3:22 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
W_Z wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
I think 5-2 is more than fair for the 14-Avies Flatter...the pedigree fits very nicely too. But that wide draw should make things interesting. The only filly in the race the 1-Desert Pride will close well if there is pace, not sure that's going to happen...I agree with you about 10-Skywire who could benefit from a slower pace...I like the local colt 8-He's a Macho Man...loved his father, he's 2-2 here at Woodbine and is still getting better. Haven't looked at the rest of Woodbine's card (I'd love to see that track) I don't do well playing multiple tracks so I'm going to focus on Churchill today...Good luck all


who do you like?


Still working on this card…Very tough card, but huge fields…lots of losing tickets mean winning tickets pay big…also last day so mandatory payout of all pools including p6 which should go at least above 500k I’m guessing. Most races will be on FS2 America’s Day at The races (flipping between Belmont and CD)…the dude that handicaps from CD Jonathan Kichen (Sp?) has been red hot but the coverage is spotty so often he’ll be giving his picks as the horses are leaving the gate…but the races look better on my TV than on a desktop

R1 probably will get bet down but I like joe sharp’s recent claim the 5-Blue Eyed Girl here…drops in and will be on front end..adam beschizza is sneaky good here at CD…may get bet down though….still a wide open race

R3 also wide open…think the 4-He’s Stylish is in best form gets a great jock and should be primed 3rd off the layoff..the 9-Roughin the City comes out of that same race and stepped up big off odds of 18/1 to finish just a few lengths behind the 4…and the 8-Intoxicating would be a bomb…I like how he’s been working out in am since a bad debut here a month ago


Later in Race 7 the 8-Battle of Memphis Mark Casse’s horse out of-Ireland- with Florent Geroux should be sitting on a big race.


More later




check.check.nope.

Value plays the rest of the way at CD

R8-7-Petrov currently 4/1

R9-against both Undrafted and Om...look for the 8-Totally Boss or the 7-Done Deal

R10-2, 7 (the heavy Favorite)

R11-1 (the heavy favorite)...8,10,...6 (bomb)

R12 (Good luck with this one) 5, 9..4 6 7 10 11 12


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 3:23 pm 
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It's so bad today I have to play horses like #4 Starship Jubilee at 2-1 at WOX in the 8th to place to make any coin.

On top of that, you have bum horses winning at Churchill like in the 6th and the 8th that just went off.

The races at Belmont have been a total disaster. 5 horses in each race with 3-5 on the favorites, why even bother?


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:03 pm 
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Damn it. The 8 just gets nipped by the heavy favorite Om...still alive in the P4 though.


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:09 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Damn it. The 8 just gets nipped by the heavy favorite Om...still alive in the P4 though.


I had the show with Angaston.


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:12 pm 
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I'm live through the first 3 legs of the PK-6 forceout. Singled to the 9 here. Should be interesting. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:25 pm 
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#5 One Bad Boy has a lot of speed. Will go with him and #1 Desert Ride in the Queen's Plate.


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:38 pm 
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Rising Star 37-1closed in th Trial should relish the extra ground

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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 4:43 pm 
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Put it on the board, Yes!

He didn't impede anyone, c'mon.


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Sat Jun 29, 2019 5:22 pm 
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My Mertie :shock: How is that even possible?


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 Post subject: Re: Queen's Plate
PostPosted: Wed Jul 03, 2019 5:49 pm 
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My old favorite turf horse from way back didn't fail me today at WOX in the 1st---King and his Court---trained by Casse.

Gets the win at 7-2! Nice riding by Jerome Lermyte, whoever he is. He beat the 3-5 favorite, Florida Won.


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