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 Post subject: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 4:20 pm 
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Football Outsiders Average scenario wins:

10 - Saints, Patriots, Chargers
9 - Rams, Steelers, Chiefs, Eagles
8 - Colts, Cowboys, Seahawks, Packers, Ravens, Titans, Lions, Panthers, Vikings, Texans, Browns
7 - Bears, Jets, 49ers, Falcons, Jaguars, Giants
6 - Bengals, Bills, Raiders, Cardinals, Broncos, Washington, Buccaneers
5 - Dolphins


4th place Bears


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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 4:24 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 5:24 pm 
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Terrible.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:05 pm 
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All of this means shit. Because nobody knows who's QB is gonna get knocked out. And nobody knows for how long.

What we do know is that Rodgers will have his annual injury that puts him out for at least 4 games. Or he plays with it and is less effective like last year.


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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:12 pm 
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Unless there are major injuries, 7 wins would get either Pace, Nagy, or Phillips fired.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Fri Jul 19, 2019 10:56 pm 
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Sounds about right. Health/turnover/loss of fangio regression is gonna sting like a MFer this year

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 7:19 am 
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have these calculations displayed reliability?

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 7:21 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
have these calculations displayed reliability?

I predict the best record in the league is better than 10-6.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:09 am 
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I predict the end of the Patriots this year, they're done. Wont make the playoffs.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:13 am 
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312player wrote:
I predict the end of the Patriots this year, they're done. Wont make the playoffs.

:lol: :lol: :lol:

Worst take I've seen in awhile

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:18 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
have these calculations displayed reliability?

I predict the best record in the league is better than 10-6.
And the worst record in the league is probably going to be the two or three win Jets.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:20 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
good dolphin wrote:
have these calculations displayed reliability?

I predict the best record in the league is better than 10-6.
And the worst record in the league is probably going to be the two or three win Jets.

Jets will win 7-8 games this year. The Dolphins and Cardinals are gonna be atrocious

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:28 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
have these calculations displayed reliability?


Last year:

10 - Patriots, Steelers
9 - Rams, Saints, Packers, Vikings, Eagles, Cowboys
8 - Ravens, Texans, Seahawks, Colts, Falcons, Titans
7 - Chargers, Raiders, Washington, Lions, Jaguars, Chiefs, Cardinals, Panthers, Browns, Dolphins, Bengals, 49ers, Buccaneers, Broncos
6 - Jets, Bears, Giants
5 - Bills.

The usual hit and miss. Was before the Mack trade and I assume didn't have Bell holding out the whole year.


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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:37 am 
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The Bears have virtually no holes on offense. Mitch is being kicked out of the building because he's working around the clock. The secondary and their depth scares me a little but the greatness of the front 7 makes up for it. The Bears will enter the playoffs playoff ready.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:45 am 
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Nas wrote:
The Bears have virtually no holes on offense.

Except at the most important position in sports :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:47 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
312player wrote:
I predict the end of the Patriots this year, they're done. Wont make the playoffs.

:lol: :lol: :lol:

Worst take I've seen in awhile



All good things come to an end, stay away from Brady n Brees in FF this year.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:52 am 
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Saying that Brady and Brees will not be top fantasy performers is a wildly different take than saying the Pats will miss the playoffs.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:53 am 
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312player wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
312player wrote:
I predict the end of the Patriots this year, they're done. Wont make the playoffs.

:lol: :lol: :lol:

Worst take I've seen in awhile



All good things come to an end, stay away from Brady n Brees in FF this year.

In FF of course. You should have been staying away from them. Both teams will win double digit games this year.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:56 am 
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I had Brees last year n took second place( won 750$) way more talent on Nola than New England. The Patriots will go 9-7.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:57 am 
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:lol: 9-7 might very well be enough to win the AFC East.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 10:59 am 
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312player wrote:
I had Brees last year n took second place( won 750$) way more talent on Nola than New England. The Patriots will go 9-7.

Then you by with a below average QB if you were playing a 10-12 team league. Brees finished 9th at the position last year in fantasy.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:09 am 
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Brees was probably top 2 til the last 3 games of the season.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:10 am 
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312player wrote:
Brees was probably top 2 til the last 3 games of the season.

:lol:

No, he wasn't.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:25 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
The Bears have virtually no holes on offense.

Except at the most important position in sports :lol:


I think you fear the reign of the Packers is over.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:25 am 
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Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
The Bears have virtually no holes on offense.

Except at the most important position in sports :lol:


I think you fear the reign of the Packers is over.

I think I already have $100 that says that's not true.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:31 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
The Bears have virtually no holes on offense.

Except at the most important position in sports :lol:


I think you fear the reign of the Packers is over.

I think I already have $100 that says that's not true.


You put your faith in a bunch of online rags who are clinging to the Aaron Rodgers of old. I'm going to appreciate your assistance with Christmas spending.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:35 am 
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Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
The Bears have virtually no holes on offense.

Except at the most important position in sports :lol:


I think you fear the reign of the Packers is over.

I think I already have $100 that says that's not true.


You put your faith in a bunch of online rags who are clinging to the Aaron Rodgers of old. I'm going to appreciate your assistance with Christmas spending.

The Aaron Rodgers of old - like last year when he came back down 20-0 against the best defense in the league on a broken leg and won the game? That guy?

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:37 am 
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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:38 am 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
The Bears have virtually no holes on offense.

Except at the most important position in sports :lol:


I think you fear the reign of the Packers is over.

I think I already have $100 that says that's not true.


You put your faith in a bunch of online rags who are clinging to the Aaron Rodgers of old. I'm going to appreciate your assistance with Christmas spending.

The Aaron Rodgers of old - like last year when he came back down 20-0 against the best defense in the league on a broken leg and won the game? That guy?


The Bears were green and Mack's tank was empty. Enjoy 7 wins and another interceptions trophy.

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 Post subject: Re: Football PECOTA
PostPosted: Mon Jul 22, 2019 11:39 am 
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Nas wrote:
Enjoy 7 wins

I will. By the end of October.

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