It is currently Thu Nov 21, 2024 11:47 am

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 26 posts ] 
Author Message
 Post subject: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 07, 2023 8:10 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2008 2:43 pm
Posts: 18493
Location: end of lonely street
pizza_Place: Obbies
All the usual suspects Wesley Ward in the opener :lol:

_________________
I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 07, 2023 8:49 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79534
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
All the usual suspects Wesley Ward in the opener :lol:



He'll probably scratch a bunch of them.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 07, 2023 9:36 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
He cooled off last meet a bit. Hancock horses have done well in the 2yo's. kinda like the 6-Early Munny


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 07, 2023 10:28 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Early pick5
3 6/9 11/1 3/2 5 7 9/6 7 8 11
Race 3 Cox runners at 1 1/16 win 31% (3)
Love the 9-Forenoon in the 2nd


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 07, 2023 10:32 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79534
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
I wouldn't leave the 15 in the 2nd off your ticket.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 07, 2023 12:02 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Thanks, little bastard almost snuck by...did this before scratches and didn't think he'd get in


Love the speed of the 8 Candidate in the 8 Wire to wire!!!!


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 12, 2023 2:32 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Beautiful day in Lexington


hit the early P5 for couple hundred....alive to the late Pick5 (only 8 races today)...to 6,7,9/2,4,8/1,7,10

Race 6 the 6 -Money run will be over bet....lots of value in the 7 and especially 8 and 9

Race 7 the 11-Flirting Bridge is logical, but I'm throwing in the 8-Sister Lou Ann and the 2-Sweet Serenade, who finished a strong 3rd at this distance, level and course (and is 15/1 ml :D )

Race 9....1 7 10 in the Pick 5..the 7's trainer stats are intriguing

Go make some money


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 12, 2023 2:42 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Beautiful day in Lexington


hit the early P5 for couple hundred....alive to the late Pick5 (only 8 races today)...to 6,7,9/2,11*,8/1,7,10

Race 6 the 6 -Money run will be over bet....lots of value in the 7 and especially 8 and 9

Race 7 the 11-Flirting Bridge is logical, but I'm throwing in the 8-Sister Lou Ann and the 2-Sweet Serenade, who finished a strong 3rd at this distance, level and course (and is 15/1 ml :D )

Race 9....1 7 10 in the Pick 5..the 7's trainer stats are intriguing

Go make some money


*fixed


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 12, 2023 2:57 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Race 7 Trifecta 2,8,11/All/2 8 11 $27


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 12, 2023 3:25 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Race 7 Trifecta 2,8,11/All/2 8 11 $27


Nope

OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Beautiful day in Lexington


hit the early P5 for couple hundred....alive to the late Pick5 (only 8 races today)...to 6,7,9/2,4,8/1,7,10

Race 6 the 6 -Money run will be over bet....lots of value in the 7 and especially 8 and 9

Race 7 the 11-Flirting Bridge is logical, but I'm throwing in the 8-Sister Lou Ann and the 2-Sweet Serenade, who finished a strong 3rd at this distance, level and course (and is 15/1 ml :D )

Race 9....1 7 10 in the Pick 5..the 7's trainer stats are intriguing

Go make some money



Payouts 1-$152, 7-$577, 10-$307

pretty Meh


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 12, 2023 3:54 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Little chalky but I'll take winning both sides of the Pick 5 $$

Working next 4 days but hope to throw up ideas for Keeneland this weekend...would love to hear anyone else's misguided thoughts :lol:


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 12, 2023 4:36 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Also, if Disarm sneaks his way into the Derby this weekend, look out


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Thu Apr 13, 2023 11:22 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Thursday, beautiful day today, rain coming in this weekend

Early P5

3, 7, 10 / 1, 4, 7, 9 / 7, 13 / 3, 7 / 1, 3, 9, 10 $96


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 14, 2023 3:13 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Late Pick 5
1 5
3,4,5,6,11
2,7
3,4,7
8,10

Modern games is by far the best in the 9th but no pace levels it open for two earlier speed horses to take advantage


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 14, 2023 3:54 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79534
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:

Modern games is by far the best in the 9th but no pace levels it open for two earlier speed horses to take advantage



Could Chez Pierre wire that field?

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 14, 2023 4:19 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79534
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
BOOM!

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Sat Apr 15, 2023 2:04 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Modern games is by far the best in the 9th but no pace levels it open for two earlier speed horses to take advantage


:D

Fucking 3 billion to one ruined my P5


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Sat Apr 15, 2023 9:38 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Lexington Race 9...While I hope the 6-Disarm wins and gets to the Derby, Cox's entries need to be considered given his ridiculous win rate at this distance on this course. Think the pace is going to come from the outside and set up for someone making the move top of the short stretch...closers and long prices in the last 7 iterations of this event...

Race 10-Jenny Nas favorites have won lt 3 and 7 of last 10...which sets up nicely for the 7/5 ml 2In Italian...if anyone can knock her off it's the 3-Queen Goddess who has been mowing down G3 company in Florida, California and Oaklawn


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Sat Apr 15, 2023 10:22 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79534
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
I think the Lexington is a pretty wide open race. If the plan for Disarm is really the Derby they aren't going to want to blow him out here. They're just going to be shooting for the points they need. That can be a tough needle to thread but McPeek and Geroux were able to do it last week with Sun Thunder. I think Asmussen would be happy with an easy second here. Transect and Prairie Hawk are pretty interesting in this race.

I'm against In Italian, though the way the turf course has been playing she looks very legit. I'll be leaning on Skims.

Late PK-5:

7th- 3,4
8th- 3,6,4,10
9th- 4,9,11
10th- 5,6
11th- 7,9,12

Also, in the fifth, I think Baby Billy should be very strong. I'll have him and Classic Creation on all my tickets. Trying to get Clever Thought out of the super.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Sat Apr 15, 2023 11:41 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Early pick 5
3,7
2,6
3,11,12
6,7,8
6,7,8

Late p5 Race 7
1,4,6
3,4,10
3,5,6
2,3,5
6,7,8 (big fan of 4's trainer Mark Glat from out west, should stay a big price)

Back to work...good luck


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Sat Apr 15, 2023 10:42 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Man, I thought I had one there with Glatt's 4 in the last...hit a modest late pick 5


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Sat Apr 15, 2023 10:49 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Race 8- Cox's entries need to be considered given his ridiculous win rate at this distance on this course.

Race 10-Jenny Nas favorites have won lt 3 and 7 of last 10...which sets up nicely for the 7/5 ml 2In Italian...


Blah Blah blah


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Sun Apr 16, 2023 12:44 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Late P5 Sunday Race 5
1, 2, 8 / 3, 8, 10 / 4, 5, 6 / 2, 7 / 1, 2, 6

Off to a movie date to see Renfield...

you go win some money


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 19, 2023 1:38 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Wednesday L:ate Pick 5
7, 8, 9 / 1, 7 / 3, 9, 11 / 2, 5, 6 / 1, 5, 8 :alien:


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Fri Apr 21, 2023 12:44 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Normally only been playing Pick 5's but this carryover of +800k in the Pick 6 is too tempting
3,4/1/5,6,9/1,3,8/2,4/3,5,9 for $108

Also a late pick 5


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Keeneland Opener
PostPosted: Wed Apr 26, 2023 12:20 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2190
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Final week of the spring meet starts today...

Race 2...curious stat..in turf sprints (less than a mile) with large fields (11 or more, which is common here)...the posts 3-4-5 when at an alarming rate, regardless of the horse, jockey or trainer...this has been going on for years..this year trhere have been 9 such races and those post won 4 of them paying an average of 6-1

Next race in a few minutes...The 5 is down to 5-2...but the 3-Alibi Ike, running for Ward is a HUGE vbalue...currently 12-1 :shock:


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 26 posts ] 

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 5 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group