It is currently Tue Dec 03, 2024 1:46 pm

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 56 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next
Author Message
 Post subject: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 8:40 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79639
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
A lot of players boycotting this meet because they raised takeout one percent. I understand the argument, but they still have lower takeout than almost every other track. I'll be playing.

First Race: NORM Casse has been hotter than a pistol. He saddles the 9 in the opener.

Second Race: 8 Hidden Class class looks legit in this one.

Fifth Race: 13 Elegant Trip may just be faster than these.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 9:33 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 10, 2006 7:56 pm
Posts: 37854
Location: ...
Big fields, lots of great names…weird payouts. What’s not to love.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 11:19 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
I totally agree with the takeout anger, it really is misplaced,

Love this place, evn though it is really difficult to win in the exotics (Trifecta, Superfecta) and especially in the horizontals (Pick,3 Pick 5).

Favorites win 28.7% over the last 5 years (31% Maidens, 27% in Stakes). Jockey's to watch include Brian Hernandez and Julian Leparoux (12-23 last 5 years). He's going to catch some big prices based on his recent struggles. If he rebounds here it will pay handsomely. I like him in Race 3, the 8-Shad Nation.

Trainer Brian Lynch has a ridiculous $3 ROI in turf Sprints here, winning 6 of 14 races. Race 4 he has the 4-Static Fire who has won off the bench before

Trainer Mark Maker has been making a lot of money on Turf MIles here at KD, having scored in 22 races, while no other active trainer has more than 7. In Race 5 he saddles Metallurgic, who has a morning line of 15-1! His dad, Cairo Prince has had multiple winners here in the last few years, and jock Florent Geroux gets it done today.

Make some money people


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 12:02 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
1st race, small Win/Place on both JORR's the 9...and I like how this sets up up for the 3-Backwoods Barbie...McPeek who is another trainer that does well here...there was a fair bit of WAY early money


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 12:08 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Early P5 at KD
1, 3, 5, 9 / 3, 8, 12 / 3, 8 / 4, 9, 10 / 7, 9

I have to go to work but a great day of quality racing at Saratoga, and Del Mar as well. Hope we have safe trips all around. Kick some ass


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 12:14 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jun 04, 2008 2:43 pm
Posts: 18493
Location: end of lonely street
pizza_Place: Obbies
I like the other Casse MARK gets it done with the 1

_________________
I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 1:20 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Fuck it I'm working from home today :wink:


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:10 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79639
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Trainer Brian Lynch has a ridiculous $3 ROI in turf Sprints here, winning 6 of 14 races. Race 4 he has the 4-Static Fire who has won off the bench before



We got the shaft with the late money there. I guess I'm glad I wasn't paying attention since he won. But betting 8/1 shots at 3/1 isn't a good strategy long term.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:18 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Had him Boxed with the 9 and 10, Exacta paid nice, but you're not wrong...fucking CAW's are evil


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:35 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Race 5 I still like the 9-Metallurgic...WPS bet as well as an Exacta Key Box (9 with 1,4,7,11,12 and 1,4,7,1,12 with 9)


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:37 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79639
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
It's an interesting race. 7 just looks faster than everyone else. But I hate betting losers, especially at 9/5. I guess they may have been waiting to break his maiden for $150,000.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:43 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
he ain't gonna be 9/5 either with our off shore friends


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:47 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
3/5 :roll: ...the 9 pays over $6 for 3rd


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Aug 31, 2023 3:12 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Race 6 Keying the 6-Chisparrajos (Spanish for "Fucking CAW's) in exacta key box-1 with my old friend the ALL BALL ($14)...as well as a WPS bet on him as well


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 10:36 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
1st Race, I really like what trainer Kelsey Danner is doing. The 5-Danka will be a huge price and could be the start of a great day. She also has the 8-Glenbrook Gerry in the 5th


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 4:23 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Race 7 Sat ...
Rusty Arnold Trainer stats shouting out here...4 Elagant Trip Exacta Key box...4/all and all/4


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 4:57 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Any Major Dude would tell you now to bet on the 10 here


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 5:19 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
aaaaand he'd be wrong


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 5:28 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Race 10 keying the 3-Stitched at a huge pice with the logical favorites 2,6,8,10,12


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 6:34 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
$2 paid $358 :alien:


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 6:40 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
8,12,13/ALL Exacta in the Finale


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 7:01 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
8,12,13/ALL Exacta in the Finale


OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Jockey's to watch include Brian Hernandez and Julian Leparoux (12-23 last 5 years). He's going to catch some big prices based on his recent struggles. If he rebounds here it will pay handsomely.


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Sat Sep 02, 2023 7:02 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
$2 Exacta paid $349


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Wed Sep 06, 2023 6:26 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79639
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
$2 Exacta paid $349



I think your man has a REALLY good chance to win the Juvenile on Sunday.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Kash, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2023 12:01 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Thursday the 7th...some horses I'm looking at

1st race seems wide open....interesting that trainer Rivelli's horse the 5-Bizee Channel has run this course 4 times finishing in the money on 3 occasions...like the 2,3,4,6 and 10 as well...not sure how I'm playing

Again keep an eye on Jockey Leparoux and his odds in races 2 (15/1), 4 (8/1), 8 (8/1),10 (8/1)...I really like his chances in the 4th with the 7-He's got swagger

Race 5-Candy Corn out of Twirling Candy whose offsprings do quite well here


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:27 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Thursday the 7th...some horses I'm looking at

Again keep an eye on Jockey Leparoux and his odds I really like his chances in the 4th with the 7-He's got swagger

Darn he gets up for 3rd and its a huge trifecta :evil:


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:30 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 2:00 pm
Posts: 30366
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Thursday the 7th...some horses I'm looking at

Again keep an eye on Jockey Leparoux and his odds I really like his chances in the 4th with the 7-He's got swagger

Darn he gets up for 3rd and its a huge trifecta :evil:

I had him across the board.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:50 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Sorry if I mislead you


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:53 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jul 16, 2007 2:00 pm
Posts: 30366
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Sorry if I mislead you

No need to EVER do that!!!!

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins


Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Downs
PostPosted: Thu Sep 07, 2023 3:38 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:02 pm
Posts: 2200
Location: What are you, my mother?
pizza_Place: D'Agostino's
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
$2 Exacta paid $349



I think your man has a REALLY good chance to win the Juvenile on Sunday.


yeah I think that morning line is out of whack...Block/Ortiz out of Palice Malice...not 20-1 at all


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 56 posts ]  Go to page 1, 2  Next

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group