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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:12 pm 
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Keyser Soze wrote:
Wait until you see what some of these guys sign for this off season before you call Javy's 2yr/$23 mil contract 'fat'. He has made at least 32 starts the last 8 seasons and pitched at least 200 innings in 7 of 8 (198 in '02). He's a valuable pitcher and I'd like to see him stay.


I agree, he's an inning eater and has good outings at times. The problem is he does not belong in the front half of the order so he should not have been in the positions he was in this year.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 1:37 pm 
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I've not once talked about his salary. I'm talking solely about the fact that he cannot be relied upon to pitch well in a big game.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 2:11 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
I've not once talked about his salary. I'm talking solely about the fact that he cannot be relied upon to pitch well in a big game.

Javy Vazquez is stealing $$$$ from the White Sox...He is that bad a pitcher! :x Frank, you are absolutely right about Javy...


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 3:26 pm 
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SHARK wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
I've not once talked about his salary. I'm talking solely about the fact that he cannot be relied upon to pitch well in a big game.

Javy Vazquez is stealing $$$$ from the White Sox...He is that bad a pitcher! :x Frank, you are absolutely right about Javy...


he lost 8 of his last 10 so that will leave us with a bad memory of him. I'm all for replacing him with someone better for same or less $$, but I wouldn't give him up just to get rid of him. If Buehrle, Danks, & Floyd can be the 1-3 guys, then I don't think Vazquez will matter much. His 10 to 16 wins he's gotten every year since 2000 will be welcome.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 5:31 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Keyser Soze wrote:
He picked a bad time to struggle but if the Sox didn't put themselves in that predicament he never would have started game 1. They couldn't take care of business during a 10 game road trip or the final homestand against Cleveland and it cost them dearly.


I understand, there was lots of blame to pass around during the final 2 weeks of September. Javy not only shit in the bed in the playoffs, he also shit the bed in NY, Minne, and against the Tribe. They win his start against the Twins or Indians, Sox probably clinch on Sunday and don't need game 163. I'm not even talking about him going out and throwing an 8 inning gem. He couldn't even keep his team in the game. Got blown out 4 starts in a row in September. He did have some good games during the season, but so far he is small game Javy, and pitched just as such 4 big starts in a row. I do not think he can be trusted in a big game should the Sox find themselves in a playoff chase in '09.


If I remember correctly, he also wet himself in 06. His most productive year in Chicago was 07, when the Sox were out of it in May. In fact, his most productive years have been with shitty teams--the 07 Sox and the Expos. The guy just cant perform when it counts. Him and Dye are your best chips. Some pitching coach with an ego will take him, like cooper.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 6:50 pm 
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Javy is the fuckin tin man-- no heart, no fortitude to go out and pitch a big game.

He sucked down the stretch in '06 and again this year. And again, I am not expecting, nor asking, him to go out and throw 8 innings of shutout ball. I'm expecting him to get at least into the 6th or 7th giving up no more than 3 runs. At least that keeps the Sox in the game. 4 starts in a row during crunch time he couldn't make it thru the 5th with less than 5 runs. Thats horseshit for any pitcher, especially a "veteran", making as much $ as he is, with as good a "stuff" that he supposedly has.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 9:56 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Javy is the fuckin tin man-- no heart, no fortitude to go out and pitch a big game.

He sucked down the stretch in '06 and again this year. And again, I am not expecting, nor asking, him to go out and throw 8 innings of shutout ball. I'm expecting him to get at least into the 6th or 7th giving up no more than 3 runs. At least that keeps the Sox in the game. 4 starts in a row during crunch time he couldn't make it thru the 5th with less than 5 runs. Thats horseshit for any pitcher, especially a "veteran", making as much $ as he is, with as good a "stuff" that he supposedly has.


Who are the free-agent middle infield options?

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 10:22 pm 
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I'm not sure, but KW will probably make a trade for that position. Iguchi was cut by the Padres. If they can't land a solid middle infielder, I wouldn't mind seeing the Gooch back here as the everyday second baseman hitting 8th. One thing we've all learned from Kenny, there will be at least one move this offseason that at some point makes us all go "WOW!"

In November '05, it was the Thome deal. On Xmas '06, it was the McCarthy deal. This season, it was the Quentin deal. They may not make us say "wow" the day they happen, like the Thome trade, but at some point they do. Danks and Quentin wowed us many times in 2008.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Oct 08, 2008 11:54 pm 
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Bringing back Iguchi seems like a good idea to me. He does a good job hitting behind the runner in the #2 spot in the order. Plus he has some pop and plays a solid second base. They would probably get him at a fairly low salary too.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 11:36 am 
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I said KW should shop Jenks, I wasn't saying "trade Jenks immediately". Big difference there.

That said, he absolutely should shop Jenks. It doesn't hurt him at all to shop him around. The Sox don't have many tradeabele assets at the major league level right now, and Jenks is one of them.

KW and the Sox have been great at not just scouting around baseball, but scouting their own players. Jenks is still a very good closer (don't get me wrong), but with pitchers especially, you need to know when it's time to sell.

He'll be 28 next year, his velocity is down, he was on the DL this year, fewest strikeout total among all closers with 30 or more saves, arbitration eligible this off season.

I like having him on the Sox, he's still a very good closer (not top 5 in baseball by any means). If the Brewers or Mets call and offer me something good, I'm sure as heck listening if I'm Kenny. To think you would get Longoria or a Sizemore type player is crazy. Closer is one of the positions in baseball where you can find "a guy". See Jenks, Bobby, 2005 season.


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 11:46 am 
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Elmhurst Steve wrote:
Bringing back Iguchi seems like a good idea to me. He does a good job hitting behind the runner in the #2 spot in the order. Plus he has some pop and plays a solid second base. They would probably get him at a fairly low salary too.

I could've sworn Tadahito was injured much of this season with the San Diego Padres, and I think he's on the bench for the Philadelphia Phillies right now after the Padres released him... :?


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 7:07 pm 
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muman89 wrote:
I said KW should shop Jenks, I wasn't saying "trade Jenks immediately". Big difference there.

That said, he absolutely should shop Jenks. It doesn't hurt him at all to shop him around. The Sox don't have many tradeabele assets at the major league level right now, and Jenks is one of them.

KW and the Sox have been great at not just scouting around baseball, but scouting their own players. Jenks is still a very good closer (don't get me wrong), but with pitchers especially, you need to know when it's time to sell.

He'll be 28 next year, his velocity is down, he was on the DL this year, fewest strikeout total among all closers with 30 or more saves, arbitration eligible this off season.


I like having him on the Sox, he's still a very good closer (not top 5 in baseball by any means). If the Brewers or Mets call and offer me something good, I'm sure as heck listening if I'm Kenny. To think you would get Longoria or a Sizemore type player is crazy. Closer is one of the positions in baseball where you can find "a guy". See Jenks, Bobby, 2005 season.


First off, you can't just find a closer. Saying that is like the Bears saying they can "find" a QB. Do you remember the Billy Koch era? Shingo? You might be able to find a guy for a season or part of a season. But, to find a guy that is top 5 year in and year out is just as hard as it is to find a top flight starter.Ask the Mets and Brewers how that goes? If Bobby Jenks is on any of these teams, they might still be playing. Better yet, ask Braves fans about how a closer by comittee worked from 93-00. One of the reasons they constantly wet themselves in October is that they always lacked a real closer. Their pen is always in flux. When did the Sox pen fall apart? When Jenks went down...Jenks has really blown maybe a dozen games since he took over in 05. His save percentage is among the best in baseball every year. He is actually more effective now than he was in 05 when he threw the ball 101. He has great command and knows how to battle.

He is not a top 5 closer in baseball...show me 5 that you would rather have?
Pappelbon
Nathan
Rivera
K-Rod..thats it.

You could make a case for Brad Lidge, but anyone that gives up 2 back-breaking HRs in post season games in less than a week would not be in my bullpen, especially when one is to Scott Pods.

What do these guys have in common? They have been good for a while and their teams are in contention every year. Teams without solid closers do not contend year in and year out, ask the Tigers. If there is one guy that was important to the Yankee dynasty it was Mo. If you put some mediocre closer on the Twins, they are ordinary every year. I would even probably rather have Jenks than K-Rod. It is not exactly difficult to get 60 saves when you get 70 chances. Also, the Angels were up by double digits since about June. Where is the pressure?

Jenks was very effective down the stretch in 05 (except for game 2) and pretty solid in 06. He blew one game down the stretch that I can remember this year (to the Twins at the dome, but he was not exactly given a great situation).

No one is untouchable, but unless you can get an ALL STAR position player in his prime AND a quality replacement, trading Jenks is stupid. Other than Danks, Floyd, and maybe Buerhle, he is your most important guy. You simply will not get market value for him.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 8:57 pm 
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You make good points, and it's a healthy discussion.

I know you don't just find a closer, but in baseball it is easier to find a closer within your organization or off the scrap heap than any other position in baseball. While you point out Shingo and Koch (and zero argument from me on them), you can also give evidence to guys like Lidge (given up for dead after the '05 playoffs), Kerry Wood (love or hate him), George Sherrill, hell even Dan Wheeler in Tampa. If trading Jenks gets you a young upcoming star (Fernando Martinez of the Mets as an example), I would make that deal.

I would put these five guys as "stud" closers, you don't say Lidge, but I will. His numbers are ridiculous this season.

K-Rod
Rivera
Papelbon
Soria (if he played in a big market, you'd hear about him non-stop)
Lidge

I'm not diminishing Jenks, I put him in the next tier (at/near the top with BJ Ryan). I'm not diminishing the closer position either, I realize the important value it brings. Personally I had more confidence in Thornton down the stretch than Jenks. I realize it's a different role, but when you look at the situations Thornton came into, they were as vital as intense as closing.

I won't have any issue if Jenks is closing for the Sox in '09, all I'm saying is if trading him gets the Sox a stud young CF, I'd be for it.


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Thu Oct 09, 2008 9:19 pm 
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Healthy discussion for sure. I wish we were having a healthy discussion about who to start in game one, but this is what we get. My main point was that I believe there is a HUGE drop off between the "tier 1" guys (which I believe Jenks is in) and the "tier 2" guys. Jenks strikes more fear into a team than George Sherill. Maybe not in the stats, intimidation level. Having a closer that is "lights out" changes the way the other team plays the game, even if the "lights out" is a little bit of an overstatement. The X factor for the top guys is significant. Your list seemed similar to mine, I would wait on Soria. I think he is a stud, but lets see if he can do it again. Now...if you could get Soria and that young 3B they have (name is escaping me) you might have something. On a side note, how bad are the closers in the NL? I think that proves my point, teams w/o good closers are mediocre. But, I would not trade Jenks for anything less than one proven major league all star, but thats just me. Lets see what Kenny does.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2008 7:34 pm 
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Beardown wrote:
Everybody says this team is old. Not really.

Danks and Floyd are young and will be a good 1-2 next year. Buehlre is gonna be 30. Still in his prime. Jenks is young. Ramirez and Quentin are your 2 best offesnive guys. They are 26 and 28. Dye is gettin up there but he'll have another good year next year. He's only 33. Last year of his deal next year. AJ is 32. He'll be back and have another decent year.

Ramirez will go to short next year. OC is gone. We need a 2nd baseman. Hopefully that guy is a lead off man (Maybe it's that kid we drafted out of Georgia). KW will try to trade Konerko. Konerko might waive his no trade if it's to a West Coast team. Swisher will go to 1st base. We'll need to find a center fielder.

So we need to get a center fielder, a 2nd baseman and a 3rd baseman. Maybe the 3rd baseman is Josh Fields. Hopefully that 2nd baseman or centerfielder that KW gets is a good lead off man.

We need to get another bullpen guy too.

By the way, I think Clayton Richard will be our 5th starter next year. I like that kid. He's got a shot. Contreras won't be back until late August or September. His injury takes a year to heal.

I say try and trade Dye, Konerko and/or Thome for some speed, better defense and a younger guy. A lead off man if you can. I know Thome and Konerko have "no trade clauses". Not sure about Dye.


This is a team in transition that has enough talent, and with some additions, that will be in the race again next season.... As you mentioned, with Richard (or some other youngster claiming a spot in the rotation next season), they will have 3 young starters to go with Buerhle, and probably Vazquez. Jenks is still young, as you mentioned in the bullpen.

They will still have veteran hitters like Pierzynski, Thome, Konerko and Dye (with the possibilty of one of these sluggers being moved), but have mixed in younger hitters like Quentin, Ramirez, and Swisher with the possibility of Getz moving in at 2B next season.


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2008 7:36 pm 
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Mopery wrote:
Beardown wrote:
Everybody says this team is old. Not really.

Danks and Floyd are young and will be a good 1-2 next year. Buehlre is gonna be 30. Still in his prime. Jenks is young. Ramirez and Quentin are your 2 best offesnive guys. They are 26 and 28. Dye is gettin up there but he'll have another good year next year. He's only 33. Last year of his deal next year. AJ is 32. He'll be back and have another decent year.

Ramirez will go to short next year. OC is gone. We need a 2nd baseman. Hopefully that guy is a lead off man (Maybe it's that kid we drafted out of Georgia). KW will try to trade Konerko. Konerko might waive his no trade if it's to a West Coast team. Swisher will go to 1st base. We'll need to find a center fielder.

So we need to get a center fielder, a 2nd baseman and a 3rd baseman. Maybe the 3rd baseman is Josh Fields. Hopefully that 2nd baseman or centerfielder that KW gets is a good lead off man.
We need to get another bullpen guy too.

By the way, I think Clayton Richard will be our 5th starter next year. I like that kid. He's got a shot. Contreras won't be back until late August or September. His injury takes a year to heal.

I say try and trade Dye, Konerko and/or Thome for some speed, better defense and a younger guy. A lead off man if you can. I know Thome and Konerko have "no trade clauses". Not sure about Dye.


Even though i dread another offseason saying this name, but, how about Brian Roberts?


I wonder if the Sox would be able to match other offers for Roberts, plus I believe he only has 1 year left on his deal with Baltimore. True, the Sox were willing to trade for Cabrera with one year on his deal, but a deal with Baltimore will probably cost us younger players, and with the farm system in rebuilding mode, it will be interesting to see if Kenny Williams is willing to part with his better minor league talent for possibly 1 year from Roberts.


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2008 7:38 pm 
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bwfalcon wrote:
What about Getz @ 2nd?


Extremely possible. He's probably ready for an opportunity, he has some skills (speed) that the White Sox could use. I'd feel more comfortable with him if Kenny is able to land a proven/accomplished lead-off hitter in CF.


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2008 7:41 pm 
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Mustang Rob wrote:
Things you don't control:
1) Thome's option kicked in making him practically un-movable so he stays. Anyway he's your lefty power which has value.
2) Someone will give Uribe a multi year deal to play 3B, so he gone.
3) OC will get overpaid, so he gone.
4) Crede will get a multi year deal, so he gone.
Things you control:
1) Junior's buy out @ $4 mil - do it! he gone
2) Toby Hall option - keep him

3) Javy will have big value on the trade market due to his strikeout numbers, but he has a limited no trade which allows for trades to east coast teams only. Best trade partners as I see it would be Milwaukee with JJ hardy or Weeks as a centerpiece or Boston (where he'd be their 4th starter) for Coco Crisp & Lugo's bad contract.
4) trade Dye to a power starved team like San diego or San Fran for a pitcher like Young or Cain (if you can get them). His market value will be less than Javy since guys like Manny, Ibanez, Burrell, Dunn & Bradley are all available as FA's

Here is your potential 2009 line up
1) CF - Coco Crisp
2) SS - Lugo
3) LF - CQ
4) DH -Thome
5) 1B- Konerko
6) C - AJ
7) 2B - Alexei
8) RF - Swish
9) 3B - Fields
with
Buehrle
Cain
Danks
Floyd
Richards/Contreras


I think you will probably end up being correct on Juan Uribe. I don't know that he'll get a multi-year deal anywhere, but he could get a chance to start somewhere else.

I don't think Crede will get a multi-year deal. Possibly a year deal with incentives or a 2nd (and maybe more) to kick in if he accomplishes certain goals next season.

Anyone know if the White Sox are the hook for that whole $4 million that is due for Griffey's buyout or are the Reds pitching in on that?


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Fri Oct 10, 2008 7:44 pm 
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Beardown wrote:
I think the Tigers are old and won't be good again next year. Plus, they have a long way to go to fix their pitching. Sox have good starting pitching for next year. It will be the best in the division again.

Indians will be tough. Twins will be there again. Royals will continue to suck.


Detroit has major pitching problems. I'm sure they will have stretches where they outscore teams, but there's a lot of concerns on that staff.


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 4:58 pm 
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Looks like Kenny may indeed be shopping Jenks to the Mets after all. As I mentioned in the thread above, I think it's the right move to shop him. I know you have to replace him, but I still hold my belief that now is the time to sell on Jenks.

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/w ... index.html


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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 5:12 pm 
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I agree that stock is very high on Jenks, but he was the only reliable arm out of that pen after June 1 this season, so I would hate to see him go

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Tue Nov 11, 2008 5:16 pm 
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Shopping Jenks also leeds to speculation that they have someone in mind as a closer in waiting... Thornton??

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Nov 12, 2008 12:33 pm 
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Trevor Hoffman is now available.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Nov 12, 2008 12:41 pm 
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Jenks, Thornton, Hoffman...or any 2 of those 3 would be a dynomite combination for the late innings.

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 Post subject: Re: The Off Season Plan
PostPosted: Wed Nov 12, 2008 1:06 pm 
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Why get yet another old guy who's best years are behind him?

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