Buccaneers +1.5
Jets +2.5
Bears -4
Bengals +120
Bills -1
Jaguars -3
Patriots -1
Browns +3.5
49ers -7.5
Raiders +3
Rams +3
Seahawks -6.5
Cowboys +2.5
Saints +5.5

Last Week: 12-3-1 Last Week Locks: 2-1-1

I'll try to get caught up on season totals before Sunday.

_________________
Be well

GO BEARS!!!

I tend to notice a common thing with your picks each week.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins

2-1 so far. Don't you Love it?

_________________
Be well

GO BEARS!!!

that bucs line seems like such a chip shot to me that its scaring me to take it

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

Not buying fully into the Jayden Daniels hype? Krisp Klingsbury offenses hold up until Halloween. It is a new month, maybe the every season Klingsbury offense / team does the collapse comes early this season. even happened last season with Caleb at USC. Caleb and Kliff started off 6-0, ? iirc, before skidding to a 7-5 regular season record last year @ USC.



I know Bo Nix is bad, although Nix is 20th in QBR somehow, while Caleb holds down the 29th position. But Denver's defense frfr and the freaking Raiders == clown show rn.




wishful thinking?



massive line given the Gints rest advantage (NYG played TNF last week, SEA lost to the Lions on MNF)



So long as Cowgirls score 20+

Fields career record (in games in which he plays) when the opponent scores 20+ points:

1-24

1-25 (after Sunday )

Thursday night 40-20 win @Washington a year ago, week before Fields got injured, his lone W when the opponent scores 20+.





Kirk Cousins transferred his prime-time pikachu sonichu whatever curse medallion to Derek Carr. Carr used to be good in prime-time (well, the Raiders had always been kings of MNF and Carr played mostly for the Raiders) Carr like 1-7 ATS in his last 8 prime time starts.

I hate this week's slate of games.

TB @ ATL -1.5
JETS +2.5 @ MINN - hungry dog theory
CAR @ CHI -4 - I'm voluntarily walking into the trap.
CLE @ WASH -3.5
BALT -2.5 @ CINN
BUFF -1 @ HOU
IND @ JAX -3
MIA - 108 @ NE
ARIZ @ SF -7
LV @ DEN -2.5
GB -3 @ RAMS
NYG @ SEA -6.5
DAL +2.5 @ PITT - other half of the horseshoe falls out of Tomlin's ass
NO + 5.5 @ KC

LAST WEEK 11-3-2....4-0-2
YEAR 33-26-3....8-3-2

We are fully into the “Bears fans are mad that other teams rookie QB’s are better than our own” phase.

The Browns have a good defense and I think there's an overcorrection on the line.

Rival and talent matters at some point.

I don't think the Packers are 6 points better. The Rams shorthanded offense was better than the final score last week and the Packers don't have a great defense.

The Giants also had a mini bye. Even with the rest advantage, I just like the Seahawks at home against Daniel Jones and a concussed Nabers.

The Cowgirls have a lot of injuries on defense, but I think their offense will make the necessary adjustments coming off a mini bye. I also don't think the Steelers defense is as great as it was the first 3 games. The Steelers lost their best offensive lineman and I trust Dak Cousins more than I trust Fields in a primetime game.

I don't think the Chiefs defense is good enough to stop the Saints from scoring. They aren't playing a quarterback with one leg this week. The Chiefs offense doesn't have the talent to win by nearly a touchdown. I doubt they can win.

_________________
Be well

GO BEARS!!!

The NFL has to let the Chiefs lose every so often to keep things appearing even.

"I don't think the Packers are 6 points better."

It's important to know it's 4.5 pts better, not 6.
I don't know why Chicago thinks they aren't that good. Because they are. One bad 3/4 of a half last week doesn't change that. Rams aren't just beat up. They are decimated.

Why is it 4.5?

Outside of nearly catching the Vikings slipping during garbage time, the Packers haven't played well against a good team. Despite being "decimated," I think the Rams are coached well and will continue to build on their offensive adjustments. The questions are more with their run defense. I'm sure if a love note from Verse is something a healing Love wants. I can see the Rams winning this on offense.

_________________
Be well

GO BEARS!!!

I dunno. -6 is neutral field? So Packers would be -9 at home? If so, I'm on the Packers Sunday. The LA Artwork Stadium isn't worth a 6 point swing from GB.

Packers fans travel well.

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"I honestly don't see a good bet on the board here."

Rams almost gave me a heart attack. I took the GB-3 and then at half I took the moneyline +120. I had no worries right up until 6 minutes left in the 4th.

This fucking McVay sure does know how to manage a game. What a prick.

Wow, they sure did. Half the crowd was cheese.

Oh well, they lost.

_________________
2018
#ExtendLafleur
10 More Wins