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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:17 pm 
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Nas wrote:
How does Dusty not get credit for a team that was predicted to win 75 games but got within 5 outs of a WS? How does Lou's managing not get knocked when he has yet to win a playoff game with a team that is far superior on paper to any team Dusty ever had. That means even if the Reds have a great season and a lot of these guys have career years it won't be because of Dusty. However if this team win 70 games it will be because of Dusty. That makes a lot of sense to me.

Easy
Dusty is balck
Lou is ........what the fuck color is Lou??????

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:27 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Nas wrote:
How does Dusty not get credit for a team that was predicted to win 75 games but got within 5 outs of a WS? How does Lou's managing not get knocked when he has yet to win a playoff game with a team that is far superior on paper to any team Dusty ever had. That means even if the Reds have a great season and a lot of these guys have career years it won't be because of Dusty. However if this team win 70 games it will be because of Dusty. That makes a lot of sense to me.

Easy
Dusty is balck
Lou is ........what the fuck color is Lou??????


Rex is white. I don't think that matters. I think some fans just get something in their mind and nothing can or ever will change it. If Dusty managed teams happened to win 3 WS in a row it won't be because of him in the eyes of some fans.

Rex too is suffering from Obamas' plan ................................unemployed!

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:28 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Didn't Dusty outmaneuvered Tony in some key September series that year? How do I know what a team will win based on talent? Remember predictions don't mean anything. I'll stick to the point of this thread and say the Reds will make the playoffs. Starting another season debating all the hypocritical statements about Dusty isn't going to change anything.

I believe I reference that 4 of 5 for the Cubs in early September. Yes, I will give you that the Cubs won those 4 of 5 games. Does that mean that he "outmanuevered" LaRussa? Maybe. Hard to say. There were a couple close games. And also, besides managing there are many other considerations. that was a home series if I remember.... that helps in baseball. But take a look at the overall body of work, not just a single series.
How do you know what a team will win based on talent? Well you don't really, that's more of a figure of speech. You can look at the talent on that 03 and 04 team and say, damn, they should have won more.
Will the Reds make the playoffs? If they do it will be absolutely shocking.
I can't find anything hypocritical about anything I said. Where have I been hypocritical nas? I'm stating that with the exceptional talent that those teams had, they should have won more under Dusty. I think he's a lousy manager. I think with the top tier hitting and starting pitching those teams had they should have won over 94 games in 04. They should have beat the Marlins. Can you look at that series and honestly say that Dusty did NOT get the pants managed off him by Jack McKeon? Again, you can't look at just a single series, I understand that but in the playoffs man you gotta be on your game.
I know where you're going with this. You're barking up the wrong tree. This has nothing to do with how good the managers tan is. it has to do with what he did with what he had, and I think Dusty just didn't prove he can make any team better, in fact I contend that he costs wins of his team.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:31 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Rex is white. I don't think that matters. I think some fans just get something in their mind and nothing can or ever will change it. If Dusty managed teams happened to win 3 WS in a row it won't be because of him in the eyes of some fans.

This reminds me of another manager that i am very critical of. Bobby Cox. 11 straight division titles, won a world series his first year back with ATL, but since then a whole lotta "Lost NLDS" in his record (granted there are two WS losses... :? ). A manager that has that many division championships has the talent to get there, but blows it in the playoffs.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:38 pm 
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Nas/Darkside you're both to smart for this! The Reds have a new GM and if the Reds don't get off to a good start, Haste La Bye Bye!!!

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:38 pm 
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Nas wrote:
It is hypocritical to blame one guy for everything that goes wrong and never give him credit when things go right.

Where did I do this? I'm pretty darn clear, the Cubs underperformed while under Baker's leadership. That's all there is to it.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:39 pm 
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In regards to Lou, I think his honeymoon phase is over.

Dusty Baker was well liked after his first season, even though they just made the playoffs but not the world series.
He was less liked after his second year. but he still won 89 games that season.
Things went downhill in his third year.

So far, I'd say that pattern has been pretty much the same for Lou, except the expectations for this season are nearly world series or bust.

It's a little unfair to compare how Dusty was treated after four years with how Lou has been treated after two years.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:42 pm 
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Nas wrote:
I'm really starting to believe that some of you post without reading. I made it clear that this had nothing to do with race. I'm not barking up any tree. It is hypocritical to blame one guy for everything that goes wrong and never give him credit when things go right.

Hey Pompous Ass I read the post and I know it has nothing to do with race.You are a meatball. The whole Dusty thing is so stupid! :lol: :lol:

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 5:47 pm 
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Nas wrote:
IIRC Dusty's honeymoon ended after he blew a 2 game lead in the NLCS.

Nas, it's too bad I didn't post in 03. You'd have seen how much I started the year loving the guy and then once I watched his body of work... man. I thought Baker lacked a killer instinct (yes, I believe baseball needs killer instinct) by the end of the year, I thought the Cubs had no business winning a playoff series. hell, Cox nearly won that one (5 games? Is that right?).
I don't hate the guy, but I just don't think he's all that great a manager.
You have to admit that batting order deal (twice) is really embarassing.

Edit...
By the way, I did read your posts. When you say how can we rail on Dusty and not on Lou, I think we both know what you meant by that. Be honest. Wasn't that where you were going?

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:01 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Darkside you should know by now I don't have to insinuate anything. I post what I think. If you were reading you would have noticed that I said "I think some fans just get something in their mind and nothing can or ever will change it. If Dusty managed teams happened to win 3 WS in a row it won't be because of him in the eyes of some fans." and I never brought race up. I even pointed out that Rex is white and he gets the same treatment.



Rex=Dusty=Loser

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:01 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Darkside you should know by now I don't have to insinuate anything. I post what I think. If you were reading you would have noticed that I said "I think some fans just get something in their mind and nothing can or ever will change it. If Dusty managed teams happened to win 3 WS in a row it won't be because of him in the eyes of some fans." and I never brought race up. I even pointed out that Rex is white and he gets the same treatment.

Well, I was actually responding to a post prior to that where you questioned why Dusty would be questioned but not Lou for not having won a PS game...
Quote:
How does Dusty not get credit for a team that was predicted to win 75 games but got within 5 outs of a WS? How does Lou's managing not get knocked when he has yet to win a playoff game with a team that is far superior on paper to any team Dusty ever had.

Well, if I misinterpreted that comment, then I apologize to you.
And Nas, you still write plenty between the lines.... come on man... :lol: :lol: You know it! :lol: :lol:
I disagree though. Had Dusty brought the Cubs back to the playoffs a couple years in a row and strung together some wins then we would have a different view of his managerial capacity. Since he did not, with a team that had the necessary talent, his managing is a part of the failure.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 6:22 pm 
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You two get a room pleeeeaasssssssssssssssseeee!

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 7:31 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Now, take a look at the Cards to see an anti-Dusty type manager. I hate LaRussa with a passion man, but he ALWAYS elevates his team potential. He always seems to squeeze an extra couple wins from a weathered starter, a few extra saves and a few extra hits.


Darkie I pretty much agree on La Russa but Im also pretty sure LaRussa is pro steroids. Him and Dave Duncan are cheating somehow...itll come out eventually.

See Jeff Weaver's 06 for evidence.


I wouldn't be shocked by any major leaguer exposed as a steroid user but I would be fucking floored if a manager or pitching coach was recommending steroid use.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2009 7:33 pm 
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Why would you be floored? I don't follow. The players and coaches all ultimately want the same thing. If players would cheat, why wouldn't coaches too?

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 10, 2009 1:46 pm 
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Back to the original point of the Reds challenging....Dusty abused some of those young pitchers last season. Does anyone remember them coming back with Volquez in an extra inning game just a few days after throwing 8 innings. I would be shocked if he doesnt experience some arm fatigue. As for the rest of the team I am not that impressed by their offense and I think Cordero is a mediocre closer at best. 78 wins would be overacheiving for the Reds.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Wed Mar 11, 2009 2:21 pm 
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Fox sports:
The notion: Reds have best rotation in NL Central
Reality: They definitely don't. The Cubs, reigning division champs, boast a rotation of Carlos Zambrano, Rich Harden, Ryan Demspter, Ted Lilly, and probably Sean Marshall. That kind of depth and excellence is hard to match. To be sure, the Reds have a formidable front three in Aaron Harang, Edinson Volquez, and Bronson Arroyo, but behind them there's much uncertainty. Perhaps if Johnny Cueto enjoys some skills growth and they find someone to hold down the fifth spot, then the Reds will enjoy a rotation in the top half of the NL. But even that level of modest optimism is premature. Let's keep in mind that last season the Cubs paced the NL in rotation ERA with a 3.75 mark, while the Reds ranked just 14th with a starters' ERA of 4.97. While Cincy figures to be improved, their starting pitching won't compare to Chicago's or perhaps even St. Louis'

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 3:18 pm 
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Please stop putting Bronson Arroyo in the mix of good pitchers. He is not even average.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 3:34 pm 
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Its skewed because he always looks like Babe Ruth against the Cubs. With pitching and hitting.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 3:40 pm 
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Nas wrote:
And a bullpen that finished third in the league in relief ERA


thats because their defense was kicking the ball around SO badly that the bullpen was constantly escaping with "3IP, 5H, 4BB 0 ER" all the time.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 4:02 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Just because it doesn't count as an ER doesn't mean it doesn't count as a run. Look at the stats of the relievers. They didn't give up a lot of ER or R's.


nah...i will take your word for it. the STEROID FREAKS have bullpen problems of their own.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 17, 2009 8:43 pm 
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Per usual Tim Dierkes summed up the Reds pretty nicely:

Additions: Ramon Hernandez, Willy Taveras, Arthur Rhodes, Jonny Gomes, Aaron Fultz, Humberto Cota, Daryle Ward, Jacque Jones, Laynce Nix, Mike Lincoln (re-signed), Jerry Hairston Jr. (re-signed), David Weathers (accepted arb). Midseason: Nick Masset, Danny Richar, Micah Owings

Subtractions: Jeremy Affeldt, Josh Fogg, Gary Majewski, Matt Belisle, Ryan Freel, Corey Patterson, Paul Bako, David Ross, Javier Valentin, Jolbert Cabrera. Midseason: Adam Dunn, Ken Griffey Jr., Todd Coffey

In September I mentioned the Reds as a sleeper candidate for '09, given their rotation depth. Last year's front four are returning. Bronson Arroyo, Aaron Harang, Edinson Volquez, and Johnny Cueto combined for a 4.38 ERA in 754.3 innings. Even with regression from Volquez, I expect them to maintain that performance level. Owings and Homer Bailey are strong fifth starter options. The bar is low - Reds' fifth starters combined for a 7.47 ERA in 140 innings last year.

The bullpen was decent last year, and the loss of relief innings leader Affeldt was treated with the Rhodes signing. Subtract out bad performances from Majewski and Coffey and the pen shouldn't be worse.

Defensively the Reds ranked dead last in the NL according to The Fielding Bible II. The worst culprits: third base (Edwin Encarnacion), shortstop (Jeff Keppinger, Hairston), and left field (mainly Dunn). Reports on shortstop Alex Gonzalez have been positive, and the subtraction of Dunn will help in left field. Last September I pushed for Walt Jocketty to make an aggressive offer for Adrian Beltre, but Encarnacion will stay at the hot corner for '09. Taveras has the tools to play a great center field at help the corner outfielders.

The Reds scored 4.35 runs per game in '08, 12th in the NL. How will they fare in the post-Dunn/Griffey era? Keep in mind that it's also the post-Patterson/Bako era, and the Gomes/Chris Dickerson platoon should be effective. CHONE projections and the lineup analysis tool call for 4.42 runs per game which unfortunately still would've ranked 12th last year. This team still falls short offensively, even with strong years from the team's young sluggers.

Even if I generously put the Reds at 750 runs allowed, they project to win 77 games. It's difficult to see this team cracking .500 as it's presently constructed.

Bottom line: The Reds' rotation looks strong, but Jocketty failed to add the needed offense.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Mar 30, 2009 4:26 pm 
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The key is whether or not Volquez and Cueto get damaged by Dusty's overuse of them, as he did with Prior and Wood. I am confident Baker will use these guys much the same. But this is a team with a lot of good young talent that gets less notice than they deserve. If you look at how they did the last 2 months of this past season, you know this is a team to watch. Even though Volquez and especially Cueto, were not as good towards the end of the season, the Reds as a team were solid.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 31, 2009 11:23 am 
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Nas wrote:
Bulldog Scott wrote:
Agreed Nas. Their talent scares me more than anybody else in the division with the possible exception of the Cardinals. It'll be interesting to see what guys like Votto and Bruce can do after a full year in the bigs. Those guys could be monsters. If Harang returns to form, they are very dangerous.


I have more questions about the Cardinals. Will guys like Wellemeyer and Lohse be able to produce the same numbers. Will Carpenter ever return to anywhere close to his Cy Young form? Beside Pujols and Ludwick who else in that lineup scares you? I'm confident the Reds have a better pitching staff and overall I believe their lineup is better. I'll take these guys over anyone else in the Cardinals lineup besides Pujols and Ludwick:

Jay Bruce
Joey Votto
Brandon Phillips
Edwin Encarnacion
Willy Taveras (68 SB)
Chris Dickerson


Here are two under the radar guys to watch out for this year:

Jonny Gomes and Micah Owings

Gomes was a rising star in the Rays organization and a big power hitter who has led the Reds in home runs and RBI this spring. I'm not a fantasy guy but Owings can pitch and hit. He'll soon be named the #5 starter after giving up 3 ER's in 18+ innings this Spring. The guys above (plus Volquez and Cueto) are the Reds' future, but I met Gomes and Owings surprise.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 31, 2009 11:42 am 
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If Johnny Gomes was worth a damn he'd still be on the Rays. Micah Owings can't pitch. He can hit but he can't pitch.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 31, 2009 11:49 am 
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Keyser Soze wrote:
If Johnny Gomes was worth a damn he'd still be on the Rays.


Hmmm. Just like the Rays saw Josh Hamilton's future? That wisdom brought Volquez and Herrera to the Reds.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Tue Mar 31, 2009 12:03 pm 
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Hamilton was a VERY unique situation. The Rays had to make a decision to keep him on the 40-man roster or expose him to the rule 5 draft. After 6 years of drug problems and suspensions it wasn't a very difficult decision. Hindsight is 20/20


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Sun Apr 05, 2009 11:11 am 
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The next Josh Hamilton got sent down to the minors. :lol:

http://news.cincinnati.com/apps/pbcs.dl ... innati.com


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 2:13 pm 
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This has to be a first. The first pinch hitter the Reds bring into the game on Opening Day - their 5th starter.

Ok - It's Micah Owings, but come on. That's the first guy off your bench? You're #5 starter??

. . . and he struck out.


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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 2:14 pm 
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Sounds like Dusty is in mid season form.

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 Post subject: Re: Cincinnati Reds
PostPosted: Mon Apr 06, 2009 2:41 pm 
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harang - 114 pitches in 5 innings on opening day. nothing like easing them into the season. spring training is OVER ladies, get your ass out there and PITCH!


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