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I hope IB won't mind me starting a new thread.
There is ball tonight and the ole ball coach, aka Evil Genius, aka Steve Superior, aka Arrogant Asswipe ...is in action tonight as his South Carolina Gamecocks are home dogs on Thursday night to the ranked Ole Miss Rebels. Home dog, Thursday night, SEC,...you know what to do. My favorite Steve Spurrier line (after the Auburn library fire). "It's a tragedy. Some of the books weren't even colored in yet."
Thursday: Evil Genius and his Cocks +4, -110, -44/40 (Greek) W
Friday: Missouri -7, -112 -56/50 (Matchbook) W
Saturday:
So Miss-Kansas OVER 58, -110 (Greek) -44/40 W
Michigan State-Wisconsin over 53.5, -104 (Matchbook) -41.60/40 W
Minnesota PICK vs. Northwestern +102(Matchbook) 50/+51 W
Wake Forest-BC UNDER 20.5, 1st half, -110(Greek), -33/30 L
UAB-Tx AM over 63.5, -111 (Matchbook) -44.40/40 W
Notre Dame-Purdue over 60, -101 (Matchbook) -40.40/40 L
Penn State-Iowa UNDER 40, +104 (Matchbook) 40/+41.60 W
California -6, 2nd half -110 (Greek) -44/40 L
I like the way Chus thinks.
Moneyline parlay: Ohio State, Georgia, Boise St (Greek) -50/31.70 W
Bad weather under play. Torrential downpour in Athens, Ga. and rain expected all game long. It's a natural grass surface between the hedges. Could be a mudbowl.
Georgia-Arizona State UNDER 50, -120 -60/50 W
College Football: 9-3, +266.90
Sunday NFL
Betting against the Bears is a great bet today, but i'm going to wait for a 3 to show. Laying 3 on the road is ridiculous, yet the public is over 75% on the Bears. It's a predictable, classic situation. Bears beat the SB champ, Seattle is without its QB, and Joe Square thinks the Bears are a lock in this situation. Most square bettors overestimate the previous week -- they remember most the last game and think that is a predictor for the next game. They also underestimate the impact of playing on the road. When Joe Square lines up on one side to back a road favorite, who is overpriced by at least 3 points, we know what to do. Bears may win, sure...but taking 3 (if it shows) is a great bet.
Backing a few over teams again today -- Tampa and the NY Giants. Baltimore with their new offense is also now an over team, rather than the under team we have known for years. And the Niners look like an under team.
Baltimore-Cleveland OVER 38.5 -103 (MB) -51.50/50 L
NY Giants-Tampa Bay OVER 45.5 +104 (MB) 50/+52 L
SF - Minn Under 39 -105 (MB) -52/50 L
Seattle +3, -116 (MB), -58/50 L
St. Louis +7, -114 (MB), -45.60/40 L
SF +7 -108 (MB) -43.20/40 W
Arizona-Indy OVER 24, 2nd half -110 -55/50 L
Monday night: Sunday was brutal. GIve me 4-5 plays with a different result and I could have turned 1-6 into a possible 3-4, 4-3 or even 5-2. The real damage was worse than this contest would indicate, but if I keep my bets at about 5% of bankroll, there's always $$ to play another day.
Dallas -8, +102 (Matchbook) -55/50
Line value play. The LVSC sendout to books was 10.5. Most books opened this at 10, and a few at 9.5. The LVSC lines were pretty much on the money yesterday, with only a few games landing outside a narrow range of variability. They've gotten these two teams right so far this year, so if they're right again, Dallas wins by doubles. A little extra motivation for the Pokes also, considering they lost their home opener last week, but motivation means very little to the line in week 3 of the NFL. If any player even talks about motivation in week 3, they need a different job.
NFL: 2-6, -222.30
Week: 11-9, +44.60
Last edited by Coast2Coast on Mon Sep 28, 2009 11:42 pm, edited 33 times in total.
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