They are just 14-14 since August the 6th, despite winning their last 7. The Twins are 30-11 in their last 41.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

The Sox are 77-60 since 4/5

Why don't you extrapolate the Twins and Sox wins from June 9th?
Oh, thats right, because,



Try again

_________________

The Sox are 76-60 since April 6th.

_________________
"He is a loathsome, offensive brute
--yet I can't look away."

The key to them agains Verlander is to wait him out. The guy throws a ton of pitches, and he occasionally has control issues.

_________________

Here's the lineup:

Pierre LF
Vizquel 2B
Rios CF
Manny DH
Quentin RF
AJ C
Ramirez SS
Kotsay 1B
Teahen 3B

Edit-Beckham scratched per the Score. I'm assuming this is the lineup, but I will fix when I know for certain.

_________________

Because just as it would be unfair of me to extrapolate numbers from the last 41 games, in which the Twins went 30-11, the most fair manner to determine the record a team is likely to finish with, is to use the entire season to date. Taking a smaller sample size that unfairly incorporates interleague games is too unreliable. Taking each team's record in games played only against A.L. competition would actually be much more fair, since each team will only face A.L. teams (prior to World Series competition in the playoffs). The Twins record VS A.L. teams is 75-48 a .609 winning percentage. the Sox are just 65-57 in A.L. competition -a .532 winning percentage. If you use those winning percentages to determine the remainder of games for each team, the Twins should win 14-15 (14.6) of their remaining 24 games, giving them between 95-96 total wins. The Sox based on their .532 winning percentage in A.L. competition, should win 13 more games and finish with 90 wins.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

So you can't paint us a picture based on those results?

_________________

You're saying it is more likely the Twins continue to win at their current .700 pace. That is bullshit. No team stays that hot for that long. At some point they come back to Earth. The Twins will come back to Earth.

_________________

NO... God are you dense....I'm saying (as I have said all along), that I expect them to win at the pace they have established for themselves during the entire season. At the time Joe said there is no way the Twins win 93, the Twins winning percentage (ON THE SEASON) was a bit lower. After winning 8 of the last 10 (thats a .800 pace) their winning percentage raised a bit as one might expect. However, the mathematical equtions used has always been based upon the entire season to date and mearly adjusted ( as a teams winning percentage changes with each game played) with each win or loss. My personal expectation, (which pretty well matches the mathematical probabilities reached) is that the Twins finish with 94-95 wins and the Sox finish with 90 wins.

You need to stick to politics...you're in over your head here.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

2-0 Tigers

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

The key is the Twins are 36-19 in divisional play and since other than the A's and 1 with the Jays I believe the Twins will be tuff to beat, The 3 game series with them is it... gotta sweep

_________________
I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.

Fred goes 2 with a back.4 last out 2 tonite.........couldn't Kenny see this a comin?

_________________
I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.

How are you not saying it's more likely the Twins continue to win at their current pace IF winning at their season pace is conservative?

_________________

I was saying (as I will again now) that rather than taking into consideration how well the Twins have played since the All-Star break or say..... in their last 41 games in which they have gone 30-11 (.731) .....or in their last 10 ( 8-2= .800). I was staying with the numbers generated only through the equtions generated by their full season (to date) stats. In light of the far greater winning percentage the Twins have generated more recently, it is reasonable to believe they may well exceed the total of 95 that their current winning percentage predicts when extrapolated. You see, if you examined the pace they had set for themselves 10 games ago, it was .570 (after they had lost 3 straight to the Rangers in their only losing series since the All-Star break) and they were on pace to win between 92-93 games. But after going 8-2 in the past 10 games their winning percentage rose to .587. They are now on pace to win 95, as they won 2 extra games in that 10 game span, over and above that which their winning percentage on the season would predict. If you can't understand it now, you are just stupid and I am done trying to explain it to you.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

Lucky for Ozzie, they have some extra arms from the September call-ups. But with the Sox losing 6-1 and the Twins ahead 1-0, things are not going well for the Sox this evening so far. This is a game they can ill afford to lose and as I said, Verlander is tough in that ballpark (9-3 2.63 ERA).

* When Brandon Inge steals a base on your catcher, thats sad.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

7-0 Twins now. Thome has scored twice. Liriano is pitching for the Twins and has shut out the Royals so far. Their game is in the bottom of the 3rd inning.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

What happened in the Cubs game?

_________________
"Play until it hurts, then play until it hurts to not play."
http://soundcloud.com/darkside124 HOF 2013, MM Champion 2014

4-3 Astros top of 4th

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

Will you be running a new statistical analysis if the sox end up losing but the twins win?

_________________
That's my purse! I don't know you!

The numbers change (ever so slightly) with every game played added to the equations. So until the Twins clinch, I would anticipate regular updates.

***Josh Fields hit a homer for the Royals in the top of the 4th inning and it's now 7-1 Twins in the bottom of the 4th.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

Thornton trying to retaliate for the Tigers hitting Manny and ends up taking out the ump.

Freddie is done. Kenny and Ozzie both fucked up here. He should have never been on the mound tonight, but it provides me with a easy winner at the window, alone with the Rays.

_________________
Fuck Edwards and Zobrist

Manny has been hit what 5 or 6 times since being acquired? Whats up with that?

_________________
That's my purse! I don't know you!

I hope that meat Inge got came with a potato and choice of vegetable....

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

Christ, Carlos Torres is fucking terrible.

_________________

Carlos Torres does not belong on a big league team in a pennant race regardless of a five run deficit. It's Guillen quitting on his team. Williams shouldn't have this guy up here. He needs to Ozzie-proof the roster so Guillen can't play the wrong guys in wrong situations. The game was probably lost anyway, but it's just goddamn dumb that a real pitcher wasn't in the game. And yesterday he rests Rios, Konerko, and Ramirez all at the same time? Is this donkey trying to blow the fucking thing?

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don

Just heard fireworks? Who homered?

_________________
-"God is great. Beer is good. And People are crazy!"

Almost identical score in the Twins game....they lead 9-2 in the bottom of the 5th.

_________________
Go Cubs!!!!

Those were gunshots. Sox are in Detroit.

_________________