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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Oct 10, 2013 1:13 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
badrogue17 wrote:
theres always a couple games a week where there are prohibitive favorites. .

Not in modern NFL

In the 80's and 90's, yes. Now not so much.

Look at next week


NEXT GAME
8:25
PM
ET
SEAHAWKSATCARDINALS




ET
BUCCANEERSATFALCONS

1:00
PM
ET
BEARSATREDSKINS

1:00
PM
ET
COWBOYSATEAGLES

1:00
PM
ET
PATRIOTSATJETS

1:00
PM
ET
BILLSATDOLPHINS

1:00
PM
ET
CHARGERSATJAGUARS

1:00
PM
ET
RAMSATPANTHERS

1:00
PM
ET
BENGALSATLIONS

4:05
PM
ET
49ERSATTITANS

4:25
PM
ET
TEXANSATCHIEFS

4:25
PM
ET
RAVENSATSTEELERS

4:25
PM
ET
BROWNSATPACKERS

8:30
PM
ET
BRONCOSATCOLTS

MONDAY, OCTOBER 21ST
8:40
PM
ET
VIKINGSATGIANTS






Which is a lock? Seattle? on the road? Pats on road? Chargers at Jax?


The locks arent there anymore (Other than Jax on the road vs a good team which is like 4 or 5 times a year)


Exhibit A, as to why mapping out a survivor pool is a must.

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Oct 13, 2013 9:34 am 
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2013: 51-26 (+$73)

week 6

Bears -330 W (+100)

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Oct 13, 2013 5:40 pm 
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2013: 51-26 (+$73)

week 6

Bears -330 W (+100)
Kansas City -350 W (+100)
Philadelphia -143 W (+100)
Green Bay -119 W (+100)
Detroit -124 W (+100)
Minnesota -138 L (-138)
Houston -380 L (-380)
Pittsburgh -118 W (+100)
Seattle -560 W (+100)
Denver -6300 W (+100)
San Francisco -460
New England -125

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Oct 16, 2013 8:54 am 
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2013: 51-26 (+$73)

week 6

Bears -330 W (+100)
Kansas City -350 W (+100)
Philadelphia -143 W (+100)
Green Bay -119 W (+100)
Detroit -124 W (+100)
Minnesota -138 L (-138)
Houston -380 L (-380)
Pittsburgh -118 W (+100)
Seattle -560 W (+100)
Denver -6300 W (+100)
San Francisco -460 W (+100)
New England -125 W (+100)
Dallas -245 W (+100)
Indianapolis -125 L (-125)

week 6: 11-3 +457
2013: 62-29 +530

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Hank Scorpio
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Oct 16, 2013 8:58 am 
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Not a very savvy gambler so correct me if I'm wrong. Would you have had to wager nearly 10 grand to win that 457 last week?

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Oct 16, 2013 9:09 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
Not a very savvy gambler so correct me if I'm wrong. Would you have had to wager nearly 10 grand to win that 457 last week?


Yes. You would have had $9517 on the line.

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Oct 20, 2013 6:32 pm 
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2013: 62-29 +530

Week 7

Seattle -220 W +100
New England -185 L -185
San Diego -310 W +100
Kansas City -265 W +100
Detroit -148 L -148
Miami -240 L -240
Chicago -113 L -113
Philadelphia -160 L -160
Carolina -310 W +100
Atlanta -250 W +100
San Francisco -155 W +100
Pittsburgh -125 W +100
Green Bay -400 W +100
Denver -255 L -255
NY Giants -210 W +100

9-6 (-201)
2013: 71-35 +329

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Oct 25, 2013 7:19 pm 
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2013: 71-35 +329

week 8
Carolina -260 W +100

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Oct 28, 2013 11:49 am 
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2013: 71-35 +329

week 8
Carolina -260 W +100
San Francisco -1300 W +100
Detroit -154 W +100
Philadelphia -225 L -225
Kansas City -305 W +100
New Orleans -525 W +100
New England -270 W +100
Cincinnati -240 W +100
Pittsburgh -143 L -143
Denver -540 W +100
Arizona -150 W +100
Green Bay -325 W +100
Seattle


Bad day for the books, as the chalk rolled.

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Nov 01, 2013 8:21 am 
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2013: 71-35 +329

week 8
Carolina -260 W +100
San Francisco -1300 W +100
Detroit -154 W +100
Philadelphia -225 L -225
Kansas City -305 W +100
New Orleans -525 W +100
New England -270 W +100
Cincinnati -240 W +100
Pittsburgh -143 L -143
Denver -540 W +100
Arizona -150 W +100
Green Bay -325 W +100
Seattle -700 W +100

week 8: 11-2 +732
2013: 82-37 +1061

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Fri Nov 01, 2013 8:22 am 
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2013: 82-37 +1061

Week 9

Cincinnati -148 L (-148)

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Nov 03, 2013 5:38 pm 
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Week 9

Cincinnati -148 L (-148)
Carolina -420 W (+100)
Dallas -420 W (+100)
New Orleans -240 L (-240)
Tennessee -150 W (+100)
Kansas City -225 W (+100)
Washington -122 W (+100)
Oakland -105 L (-105)
Seattle -1350 W (+100)
Baltimore -120 L (-120)
New England -245 W (+100)
Indianapolis -112
Green Bay

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Last edited by Chus on Sun Nov 03, 2013 9:26 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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newper
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Nov 03, 2013 8:16 pm 
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Dodged a bullet in Seattle.

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 3:28 pm 
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2013: 82-37 +1061

Week 9

Cincinnati -148 L (-148)
Carolina -420 W (+100)
Dallas -420 W (+100)
New Orleans -240 L (-240)
Tennessee -150 W (+100)
Kansas City -225 W (+100)
Washington -122 W (+100)
Oakland -105 L (-105)
Seattle -1350 W (+100)
Baltimore -120 L (-120)
New England -245 W (+100)
Indianapolis -112 W (+100)
Green Bay -480 L (-480)

week 9: 8-5 -293
2013: 90-42 +768

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Hank Scorpio
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:34 pm 
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My god, look at all the money you would have had to front thru 9 weeks to win just under $800.

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redskingreg
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Wed Nov 06, 2013 4:42 pm 
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San Jose was -440 last night. What's the biggest NHL ML you've seen, Chus?

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Hawkeye Vince
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Nov 07, 2013 9:38 am 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
My god, look at all the money you would have had to front thru 9 weeks to win just under $800.


And there are likely bettors out there that would take the small profit because it's more than the bank. That's why you see horses that look like locks pay 2.10 to show when some guy dumps 100K on the horse to show to win 5K. (5% ROI)
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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Nov 07, 2013 3:10 pm 
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redskingreg wrote:
San Jose was -440 last night. What's the biggest NHL ML you've seen, Chus?


That is right up there. The Sharks lost.

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Nov 07, 2013 3:11 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:
My god, look at all the money you would have had to front thru 9 weeks to win just under $800.


I'm still confident that this will end up as a losing proposition.

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TurdFerguson
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Nov 07, 2013 3:15 pm 
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It almost happened last week with seattle. If they don't come back you'd be down 800.
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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Sun Nov 10, 2013 1:37 pm 
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2013: 90-42 +768

week 10

Washington -115 L (-115)
Tennessee -525 L (-525)
Philadelphia -115 W (+100)
Pittsburgh -140 W (+100)
NY Giants -295 W (+100)
Indianapolis -345 L (-345)
Seattle -175 W (+100)
Baltimore -118 W (+100)
Detroit -115 W (+100)
San Francisco -235 L (-235)
Arizona -200 W (+100)
Denver -280 W (+100)
New Orleans -260 W (+100)
Miami -127 L (-127)

week 10: 9-5 -447
2013: 99-47 +321

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Nov 18, 2013 12:22 pm 
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2013: 99-47 +321

week 11
Indianapolis -150 W
Tampa Bay -127 W
NY Jets -127 L -127
Detroit -155 L -155
Philadelphia -200 W
San Diego -135 L -135
Chicago -190 W
Cincinnati -215 W
Houston -475 L -475
Arizona -380 W
Seattle -675 W
New Orleans -165 W
NY Giants -170 W
Denver -320 W
Carolina -160 W

week 11: 11-4 +208
2013: 110-51 +529

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Thu Nov 21, 2013 8:44 pm 
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2013: 110-51 +529

week 12
New Orleans -360 W
Detroit -310 L -310
Houston -445 L -445
Green Bay -250 PUSH
Kansas City -175 L -175
Carolina -200 W
Cleveland -140 L -140
St. Louis -128 W
Baltimore -200 W
Tennessee -155 W
Arizona -175 W
NY Giants -130 L -130
Denver -115
San Francisco

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Nov 25, 2013 8:51 am 
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2013: 110-51 +529

week 12
New Orleans -360 W
Detroit -310 L -310
Houston -445 L -445
Green Bay -250 PUSH
Kansas City -175 L -175
Carolina -200 W
Cleveland -140 L -140
St. Louis -128 W
Baltimore -200 W
Tennessee -155 W
Arizona -175 W
NY Giants -130 L -130
Denver -115 L -115
San Francisco -240

6-6-1 -715

DaMaNa's fool proof system has gotten fooled.

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Last edited by Chus on Mon Nov 25, 2013 8:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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good dolphin
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Nov 25, 2013 10:25 am 
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but not that bad considering the volume and the absolute lack of preparation that goes into the system

I wouldn't be surprised to see that number get worse as the season enters its final quarter as teams with no shot suddenly pull out stuff like on side kicks and fake punts

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 8:33 am 
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2013: 110-51 +529

week 12
New Orleans -360 W
Detroit -310 L -310
Houston -445 L -445
Green Bay -250 PUSH
Kansas City -175 L -175
Carolina -200 W
Cleveland -140 L -140
St. Louis -128 W
Baltimore -200 W
Tennessee -155 W
Arizona -175 W
NY Giants -130 L -130
Denver -115 L -115
San Francisco -240 W

week 12: 7-6-1 -615
2013: 117-57-1 -86

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Tue Nov 26, 2013 8:40 am 
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good dolphin wrote:
but not that bad considering the volume and the absolute lack of preparation that goes into the system


Losing money is losing money. It just proves again, that there are no systems for easy money, and you need to do your work, if you want to win. When I first heard about Mac's idea to play the biggest favorite on the board each week, I immediately thought of Philip Seymour Hoffman's character in Owning Mahowny.

good dolphin wrote:
I wouldn't be surprised to see that number get worse as the season enters its final quarter as teams with no shot suddenly pull out stuff like on side kicks and fake punts


I would bet that at least three of the remaining five weeks are losing propositions.

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 11:47 am 
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2013: 117-57-1 -86

Detroit W +100
Dallas W +100
Baltimore W +100
Indianapolis W +100
Denver W +100
Cleveland -310 L -310
Carolina W +100
Minnesota W +100
Philadelphia W +100
Miami W +100
Buffalo -210 L -210
San Francisco W +100
New England W +100
Cincinnati W +100
NY Giants W +100
Seattle -265 W +100

14-2 +880
2013: 131-59-1 +794

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 16, 2013 8:47 am 
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2013: 131-59-1 +794

week 14

Houston -175 L
Kansas City W
Baltimore W
New England W
NY Jets W
Cincinnati W
New Orleans W
Philadelphia W
Pittsburgh -175 L
Tampa W
Denver W
Arizona W
San Diego W
San Francisco W
Green Bay W
Bears W

14-2 +1050
2013: 145-61-1 +1844

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Chus
 Post subject: Re: The money line
PostPosted: Mon Dec 16, 2013 9:54 am 
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2013: 145-61-1 +1844

Week 15

Denver -487 L
Atlanta W
San Francisco W
Arizona W
New Orleans -270 L
Seattle W
Cleveland -115 L
Indianapolis W
Buffalo W
Miami W
Philadelphia -265 L
Carolina W
Kansas City W
Dallas -205 L
Cincinnati -128 L
Detroit -210 L

week 15: 9-7 -780
2013: 154-68-1 +1064

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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Last edited by Chus on Tue Dec 17, 2013 12:10 am, edited 1 time in total.

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