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 Post subject: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2014 5:06 pm 
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http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/14Derby.pdf



Post Position.....................Odds

1. Vicar's in Trouble, 30-1;

2. Harry's Holiday, 50-1;

3. Uncle Sigh, 50-1;

4. Danza, 10-1;

5. California Chrome, 5-2 (Favorite)

6. Samraat, 15-1;

7. We Miss Artie, 50-1;

8. General a Rod, 15-1;

9. Vinceremos, 30-1;

10. Wildcat Red, 15-1;

11. Hoppertunity, 6-1

12. Dance With Fate, 20-1;

13. Chitu, 20-1;

14. Medal Count, 20-1;

15. Tapiture, 15-1;

16. Intense Holiday, 12-1;

17. Commanding Curve, 50-1

18. Candy Boy, 20-1;

19. Ride On Curlin, 15-1;

20. Wicked Strong, 8-1

AE Pablo Del Monte 50-1 (will only race if any of the other scratch by 9am Friday)

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Last edited by spmack on Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2014 5:20 pm 
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I won 1,400 on Preakness last year on a recommendation from you spmack. Looking for some great advice again.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2014 5:25 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
I won 1,400 on Preakness last year on a recommendation from you spmack. Looking for some great advice again.

And I didn't take my own damn advice :lol: :lol: :lol:

I'm sitting here at work, waiting for the Brisnet Ultimate PP's to come out so I can print it out and study tonight. But right now I can tell you that I'm still pretty high on Cali Chrome, as is everyone which is why he's at 5/2. Hoping he can get up to 3/1 or 4/1 by the time of the race.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2014 5:28 pm 
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leashyourkids wrote:
I won 1,400 on Preakness last year on a recommendation from you spmack. Looking for some great advice again.


He gave me a horse at 10/1 last week, and I threw $5 on it. $50 for doing nothing but making a few keyboard strokes.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2014 5:35 pm 
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Was thinking of spending saturday at the OTB joint. It is nice. Probably some sort of party there. Would appreciate tips, winners long shots with a chance and basically anything. :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:06 pm 
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Original post updated with Ultimate PP's. Print and use to your advantage! I'll try to get the links for all of the main races later.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Wed Apr 30, 2014 6:37 pm 
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pittmike wrote:
Was thinking of spending saturday at the OTB joint. It is nice. Probably some sort of party there. Would appreciate tips, winners long shots with a chance and basically anything. :lol:


WARNING TO THOSE IN CHICAGO:

Joes on Weed street , where the OTB is these days, has a massive party for Derby day, so dont think you are just stopping in for a quick wager.

However, early wagering is available Friday morning when they open.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 6:45 am 
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Looks like it could be a nice pay day 2nd favorite wins it's $14

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 7:06 am 
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spmack wrote:
I'm still pretty high on Cali Chrome

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 8:28 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
spmack wrote:
I'm still pretty high on Cali Chrome

Image

I agree Danza and Ride On Curlin...just like the Arkansas Derby....Jersey Joe boots him home in a stunner

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 8:31 am 
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:lol: Yes, I like California Chrome, but I like Danza for the upset. Especially if he stays around 10-1.

I made a mistake in the other thread though, RPB...I thought Calvin Borel was on Danza, and he'll actually be on Ride on Curlin. Joe Bravo will be the jockey for Danza.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 8:34 am 
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spmack wrote:
:lol: Yes, I like California Chrome, but I like Danza for the upset. Especially if he stays around 10-1.

I made a mistake in the other thread though, RPB...I thought Calvin Borel was on Danza, and he'll actually be on Ride on Curlin. Joe Bravo will be the jockey for Danza.

Obviously Tony insisted on a fellow Paisan


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 8:36 am 
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:lol: I'm sure Tony Danza never heard about the horse until a few weeks ago.




I just heard that Hoppertunity scratched!!!!!! Foot issue.


Pablo Del Monte is now in.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 8:40 am 
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spmack wrote:
:lol: I'm sure Tony Danza never heard about the horse until a few weeks ago.




I just heard that Hoppertunity scratched!!!!!! Foot issue.


Pablo Del Monte is now in.


Whoa! That's big news.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 9:07 am 
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Updated odds with scratch of Hoppertunity in blue.



spmack wrote:
http://www.brisnet.com/brisnet_promos/14Derby.pdf



Post Position.....................Odds

1. Vicar's in Trouble, 20-1;

2. Harry's Holiday, 50-1;

3. Uncle Sigh, 50-1;

4. Danza, 8-1;

5. California Chrome, 5-2 (Favorite)

6. Samraat, 15-1;

7. We Miss Artie, 50-1;

8. General a Rod, 15-1;

9. Vinceremos, 30-1;

10. Wildcat Red, 15-1;

. Hoppertunity, OUT

12. Dance With Fate, 20-1;

13. Chitu, 20-1;

14. Medal Count, 20-1;

15. Tapiture, 12-1;

16. Intense Holiday, 8-1;

17. Commanding Curve, 50-1

18. Candy Boy, 15-1;

19. Ride On Curlin, 15-1;

20. Wicked Strong, 6-1

21 Pablo Del Monte 50-1

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 9:51 am 
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19, 4, 5 EX BOX $60

I AM IN

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 10:00 am 
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spmack wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
I won 1,400 on Preakness last year on a recommendation from you spmack. Looking for some great advice again.

And I didn't take my own damn advice :lol: :lol: :lol:

I'm sitting here at work, waiting for the Brisnet Ultimate PP's to come out so I can print it out and study tonight. But right now I can tell you that I'm still pretty high on Cali Chrome, as is everyone which is why he's at 5/2. Hoping he can get up to 3/1 or 4/1 by the time of the race.


I know! What I really need from you is what you're thinking about betting but probably won't.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 10:17 am 
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Quote:
Tony Danza ‏@TonyDanza 25m
Very excited. Going to @KentuckyDerby to root for "Danza"! That's right!! Tune in to watch Saturday! See you soon @EclipseTBP !



Like I said, he probably never heard of the horse before a few weeks ago.





If you're in the city or near, I say the better option is going to Hawthorne. Sure it was packed, but the wait was not long at all, plus general admission is now free. At Joe's, the wait is crazy plus you barely have enough room to breathe.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 10:27 am 
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leashyourkids wrote:
spmack wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
I won 1,400 on Preakness last year on a recommendation from you spmack. Looking for some great advice again.

And I didn't take my own damn advice :lol: :lol: :lol:

I'm sitting here at work, waiting for the Brisnet Ultimate PP's to come out so I can print it out and study tonight. But right now I can tell you that I'm still pretty high on Cali Chrome, as is everyone which is why he's at 5/2. Hoping he can get up to 3/1 or 4/1 by the time of the race.


I know! What I really need from you is what you're thinking about betting but probably won't.

Well I'm going to actually probably do a Pick 3 and a Pick 4.

As far as the Derby, I'll probably do an exacta box of Cali Chrome, Danza, Wicked Strong, and Dance With Fate. If it were based on looks, Dance With Fate wins easily. Damn horse looks like a muscular Black Beauty.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Thu May 01, 2014 12:11 pm 
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spmack wrote:
If it were based on looks, Dance With Fate wins easily. Damn horse looks like a muscular Black Beauty.


Bernstein would love to see him dong whip the field.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 8:39 am 
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PABLO DEL MONTE is now out. Will only be 19 going into the Derby.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 8:43 am 
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spmack wrote:
PABLO DEL MONTE is now out. Will only be 19 going into the Derby.

Who is a good long shot to throw a few bucks on?


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 9:04 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
spmack wrote:
PABLO DEL MONTE is now out. Will only be 19 going into the Derby.

Who is a good long shot to throw a few bucks on?

Just about every horse other than Cali Chrome will be good money if they win. Dance with Fate is the horse I am liking more and more each day. Currently 20-1 so if you put $5 on him to win and he stays at that price, that's somewhere between $105-114 you'd win.

I still like Cali Chrome to win, or Danza to pull the upset.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 9:10 am 
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spmack wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
spmack wrote:
PABLO DEL MONTE is now out. Will only be 19 going into the Derby.

Who is a good long shot to throw a few bucks on?

Just about every horse other than Cali Chrome will be good money if they win. Dance with Fate is the horse I am liking more and more each day. Currently 20-1 so if you put $5 on him to win and he stays at that price, that's somewhere between $105-114 you'd win.

I still like Cali Chrome to win, or Danza to pull the upset.

“I’m Tony Danza ALL DAY. Nobody can’t say nothing bad about Tony Danza, Taxi, or Who’s the Boss?, nothing he did … I’ll start swingin’.”

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 10:08 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
“I’m Tony Danza ALL DAY. Nobody can’t say nothing bad about Tony Danza, Taxi, or Who’s the Boss?, nothing he did … I’ll start swingin’.”

-Tupac Shakur


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B8LwEncFTkc

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 10:46 am 
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Olczyk said this morning he likes the 1 horse. And a 1-2 horse combo.


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 10:58 am 
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Peoria Matt wrote:
Olczyk said this morning he likes the 1 horse. And a 1-2 horse combo.

I liked Vicar's in Trouble originally too, but that 1 post means that more than likely he is going to get pinched. The only way Vicar would win is if he runs out to the lead right away and avoids the rush....even then Rosie Napravnik would probably have burned all of his energy getting him to the front.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Fri May 02, 2014 1:43 pm 
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So what you're saying is that Vicar is in trouble.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Sat May 03, 2014 7:21 am 
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Prior to the scratch, I was leaning toward Hoppertunity depending on the odds. With him out I'm going this way:

$200 Win 4

$1 Super Partial 4/1, 5, 10, 12, 19, 20

$2 Tri Partial 4/1, 5, 10, 12, 19, 20

$20 Ex Partial 4/5, 12, 20

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Derby 2014
PostPosted: Sat May 03, 2014 9:10 am 
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Trying to finsh my day by 12 and then get in on a Pick 4, key WISE DAN in the 9th race I think it is. Gotta check the notes

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