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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:04 pm 
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Both. Please.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:04 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
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ZephMarshack wrote:
I came to the depressing realization today that even in the event that both of Garpax go at the end of the year, the Bulls will still most likely handicap any search for a replacement because Jerry will make prospective candidates commit to keeping Fred and his contract just because he won't want to pay 3 coaches at once. This feels like the Bears with Lovie and Emery all over again, only somehow more dire.

Paxson is not going anywhere. It will never happen until he wants to retire.

Jerry will probably make Gar fall on his sword, and a new toadie will take his place.


If we had the following, admittedly simplistic, grading criteria with which to judge the Bulls under Pax's tenure, I'd say they fall in the "good" range.

Elite
Good
Mediocre
Bad

After years of middle-level good in the mid-2000s, Pax correctly tried to take a leap into "elite" by signing James. Didn't work out, but Rose and Thibs got them as close as possible to "elite" until Rose's injuries made any jump into elite basically impossible with him as the centerpiece.

Given that you struck out on James twice, I'm not sure how else the Bulls could have taken the next step into elite status. They look like they swung and missed on the Hoiberg hire, and for that Forman probably has to go. Though I don't like not making a finals in nearly 20 years, I'm just not sure we have anyone to blame here - they've been good to very good under Pax, and it's not like the moves they could have made but didn't would have definitely elevated them into elite status. He's also avoided hemorrhaging assets like the Nets and mid-2000s Knicks do/did, so there's always upside when the off-season rolls around. I think that's good management.



Paxson pulled them out of the debacle that was the Krause years. He has to get credit for that. He has missed on some picks and free agents but he also his share of success stories. He has drafted well for the most part and the only free agent signing that he bombed on was Ben Wallace.

He was the most significant part of bringing the Bulls back to respectability. He may not be the guy to eventually bring back championships though. He has flaws as a GM that will prevent him from being to take the next step imo.


Other than "not being able to sign LBJ," what flaws do you see in Paxson that would prevent him from turning the Bulls into a championship team.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 4:28 pm 
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IMU wrote:
Both. Please.

All 3 should be gone, it's just not going to happen.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:34 pm 
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Paxson holds onto his talent for far too long. Particularly guys that he has drafted. He falls in love with them and it prevents him from being objective at trade time. Paxson has not made a "blockbuster" trade in 13 years as GM. Not one. His trades are either salary dumps or involve meaningless draft picks. He has had tradeable assets and refuses to trade them. Mike Dunleavy should not been resigned. They could have gotten younger and more athletic at the wing position. Instead he chose to sign a guy that is on the back nine of his career and scheduled to have major surgery.

He also plays it safe at draft time. He was burned by Thomas and thus he refuses to draft "upside" guys. He doesn't draft guys with high ceilings. He tends to draft guys that will be solid pros as opposed to guys with so called enormous potential.

Its hard to acquire top talent via free agency. Top guys don't tend to move because the system is not designed for them to move. I don't fault him for failing to sign top tier free agents because most top tier guys resign with their own team.

Now he doesn't have anything that will bring back something other than Butler. The Bulls don't have tradeable assets.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:41 pm 
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Well said.

I can't think of another major market team that would have not fired Paxson and or Beaker by now.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:42 pm 
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Peoria Matt wrote:
Well said.

I can't think of another major market team that would have not fired Paxson and or Beaker by now.


Houston seems determined to hang on to Daryl Morey no matter how many times the Rockets spit the bit.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:49 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
Peoria Matt wrote:
Well said.

I can't think of another major market team that would have not fired Paxson and or Beaker by now.


Houston seems determined to hang on to Daryl Morey no matter how many times the Rockets spit the bit.

:lol: They were in the conference Finals last year.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 5:57 pm 
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Would you disagree that he's probably going to overstay his welcome if he hasn't already? Because that's the vibe I get. He seems like a bit of a charlatan to me.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:04 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
Would you disagree that he's probably going to overstay his welcome if he hasn't already? Because that's the vibe I get. He seems like a bit of a charlatan to me.

This probably won't make a lot of sense, but I both agree with your last sentence, and disagree that he should be fired. I think he definitely oversells the importance of only evaluating players based on analytics, and would hope he doesn't completely buy into his own bullshit. That said, I think he's done an above average job and deserves to see this thing through that he built. IIRC, they weren't doing so hot when he got there while transitioning from the Yao/Tmac era to the current one. I would be happy if the Bulls replaced GarPax with Morey this offseason if that was a possibility.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:07 pm 
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Morey seems like the opposite of Garpax in that he makes moves just for the sake of making moves rather than standing pat until such moves become impossible. I'm not necessarily sure I'd want him or even regard him as above average, but I think he deserves at least a bit of credit for the limited success he's had in a far tougher conference.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:10 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
Would you disagree that he's probably going to overstay his welcome if he hasn't already? Because that's the vibe I get. He seems like a bit of a charlatan to me.

This probably won't make a lot of sense, but I both agree with your last sentence, and disagree that he should be fired. I think he definitely oversells the importance of only evaluating players based on analytics, and would hope he doesn't completely buy into his own bullshit. That said, I think he's done an above average job and deserves to see this thing through that he built. IIRC, they weren't doing so hot when he got there while transitioning from the Yao/Tmac era to the current one. I would be happy if the Bulls replaced GarPax with Morey this offseason if that was a possibility.


Yeah I think Morey did what everyone else tries to do - create a nucleus of stars. Houston was a wasteland following Tmac aging out of super stardom and Yao retiring. Acquiring a 23 year old or whatever star was a MAJOR coup for Houston. Pairing him with Howard hasn't gone as well as expected, but it was the right idea/vision. His selection of coaches has been odd.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:15 pm 
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veganfan21 wrote:
His selection of coaches has been odd.


I'm not saying Kevin McHale is the best coach ever, but chucking him like 14 games into the year seemed foolish to me, and a little disrespectful.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:21 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
His selection of coaches has been odd.


I'm not saying Kevin McHale is the best coach ever, but chucking him like 14 games into the year seemed foolish to me, and a little disrespectful.


Fair to say but I was never a fan anyway of his coaching, so I may be less understanding I guess.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:33 pm 
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quote="leashyourkids"]
cpguy wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
cpguy wrote:
leashyourkids wrote:
Kendall and Will are giving it to Derrick right now.


Missed it. What were they saying?


As nicely as they could, they were just saying that everyone has general soreness and that him not playing will not go over well in the locker room. I guess Pau made some comments this morning, too, about people giving it their all, and Perdue brought them up. You could just tell they both think he's a huge pussy.


A well deserved trashing. Good for them.

Can you imagine Jordan missing a game for "general soreness"?


Ha. No. Have you ever seen that Dream Team documentary? They talk about how Jordan was so obsessed with competition that he only slept a couple hours a night when they were in Barcelona. He would play cards till 3 or 4, sleep until 7 or 8, wake up, play 18 or 36 holes of golf, and then go to practice or the game. Repeat every day. He wouldn't even understand Rose.[/quote]




Yep guys like Jordan seem to be fewer and fewer. Jordan even took practice very seriously. Him and Rose are polar opposites. Jordan the king of understanding the media, Rose the clueless one, Rose the wimp, Jordan the assassin.

It was a privilege watching Jordan and Rose is nothing more than a disgrace to the uniform.


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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:36 pm 
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Morey should be IMU's favorite GM. Real heavy into the analytics game. Has that crazy philosophy regarding 3 point shots. Doesn't want a shot unless it's a 3 pointer or a layup. Mid range and long twos are a no go.

He tends to think big but the Howard signing has been largely a flop. Dwight Howard has not delivered.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:40 pm 
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cpguy wrote:
Yep guys like Jordan seem to be fewer and fewer.

Agreed. It might even be down to one.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:41 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
Morey should be IMU's favorite GM. Real heavy into the analytics game. Has that crazy philosophy regarding 3 point shots. Doesn't want a shot unless it's a 3 pointer or a layup. Mid range and long twos are a no go.

He tends to think big but the Howard signing has been largely a flop. Dwight Howard has not delivered.

:lol:

A lot of times I can't tell if you are serious or not. His "crazy theory" regarding 3 pointers is not an original theory, and it's not crazy at all.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:01 pm 
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It's crazy because the theory historically has been to take the best available shot. It doesn't matter if it's a three or a two. One of the things ruining today's basketball is the over emphasis on the 3 point shots. They take far too many 3's.

Morey is a big proponent of this philosophy and it's one of the reasons that Dwight Howard has under achieved. I never said he created the theory. Those are your words. It is crazy unless you have shooters like Curry and Thompson. Jump shooting dominated teams never won until last season so yes it really is crazy. You probably count Dallas as a jump shooting team. if so that'd be two.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:06 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
It's crazy because the theory historically has been to take the best available shot. It doesn't matter if it's a three or a two. One of the things ruining today's basketball is the over emphasis on the 3 point shots. They take far too many 3's.

Morey is a big proponent of this philosophy and it's one of the reasons that Dwight Howard has under achieved. I never said he created the theory. Those are your words. It is crazy unless you have shooters like Curry and Thompson. Jump shooting dominated teams never won until last season so yes it really is crazy. You probably count Dallas as a jump shooting team. if so that'd be two.

2014 Spurs count as jump shooting, so that's 3. And the Spurs teams even starting as far back as 7-8 years ago were the leading pioneers of recognizing the value of 3 point shooting and defending the 3 point shot. And they had shooters like Bruce Bowen, not Steph Curry.

Just looking for the most open shot is a bad philosophy. It's purposely ignoring other available data that can lead to a more informed decision/shot. This isn't complicated.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:19 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
long time guy wrote:
It's crazy because the theory historically has been to take the best available shot. It doesn't matter if it's a three or a two. One of the things ruining today's basketball is the over emphasis on the 3 point shots. They take far too many 3's.

Morey is a big proponent of this philosophy and it's one of the reasons that Dwight Howard has under achieved. I never said he created the theory. Those are your words. It is crazy unless you have shooters like Curry and Thompson. Jump shooting dominated teams never won until last season so yes it really is crazy. You probably count Dallas as a jump shooting team. if so that'd be two.

2014 Spurs count as jump shooting, so that's 3. And the Spurs teams even starting as far back as 7-8 years ago were the leading pioneers of recognizing the value of 3 point shooting and defending the 3 point shot. And they had shooters like Bruce Bowen, not Steph Curry.

Just looking for the most open shot is a bad philosophy. It's purposely ignoring other available data that can lead to a more informed decision/shot. This isn't complicated.


So the Spurs won the NBA championship based upon the three point shooting of Bruce Bowen? Tony Parker wasn't much of a three point shooter. Actually he was one of the best mid range shooters in the league. That is a huge stretch and it is just plain wrong.

Shot selection is the most important component of shooting and jacking up 3's merely for the sake up jacking up 3's is foolish. That's why Mirotic, Jamal Crawford and guys like that always shoot low percentages.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:23 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
So the Spurs won the NBA championship based upon the three point shooting of Bruce Bowen?

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:24 pm 
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http://espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/teamst ... ctiveFGPct

The three point shot and a team's success at using it wisely without letting it kill your offense is a huge factor on success in the modern NBA.

You know what the Bulls' offense consists of in 2015-16? Chucking up as many shots as possible while relying on good rebounders in Gasol, Taj, Butler, Mirotic and previously Noah.

Look at any numbers that judge the efficiency or skill of an offense and Chicago plummets.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:28 pm 
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I kept hitting submit.

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Last edited by long time guy on Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:28 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
long time guy wrote:
So the Spurs won the NBA championship based upon the three point shooting of Bruce Bowen?

Image



That is what you implied. If you are going to say "they had jump shooters then that's foolish because every team has jump shooters. Teams that don't win championships have jump shooters.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:28 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
long time guy wrote:
So the Spurs won the NBA championship based upon the three point shooting of Bruce Bowen?

Image



That is what you implied. If you are going to say "they had jump shooters then that's foolish because every team has jump shooters. Teams that don't win championships have jump shooters.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:29 pm 
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Say it, don't spray it!

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:30 pm 
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I didn't imply that the Spurs won a title because of the shooting of Bruce Bowen. The fact that you inferred that leads me to reach the same conclusion many others have: that you're not worth discussing the NBA with.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:37 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
Morey should be IMU's favorite GM. Real heavy into the analytics game. Has that crazy philosophy regarding 3 point shots. Doesn't want a shot unless it's a 3 pointer or a layup. Mid range and long twos are a no go.


Eliminating the long two probably isn't a bad idea. I remember reading something on Grantland about how the Pelicans had a pretty good thing going with Anthony Davis and a very heavy reliance on two-point shots. Dunno if that's still the case with Gentry there now.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:39 pm 
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IMU wrote:
http://espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/teamstats/_/sort/effectiveFGPct

The three point shot and a team's success at using it wisely without letting it kill your offense is a huge factor on success in the modern NBA.

You know what the Bulls' offense consists of in 2015-16? Chucking up as many shots as possible while relying on good rebounders in Gasol, Taj, Butler, Mirotic and previously Noah.

Look at any numbers that judge the efficiency or skill of an offense and Chicago plummets.



I'm not just referencing the Bulls. I'm speaking in general. Teams are taking 25-30 3's per game on avg. It seems. The NBA used to avg. About 5 threes per game during the 80's. Scoring was up then because guys took the best available shot. They got layups on fast breaks, not spot 3's from the corner. That was considered a bad shot then.

It was unheard of to shoot a 3 pointer on a fast break. You'd be subbed out of the game for doing that dumb shit. Good shots are good shots. The NBA has definitely fallen in love with the 3 but I don't know of its necessarily a good thing.

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PostPosted: Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:55 pm 
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long time guy wrote:
I'm not just referencing the Bulls. I'm speaking in general. Teams are taking 25-30 3's per game on avg. It seems. The NBA used to avg. About 5 threes per game during the 80's. Scoring was up then because guys took the best available shot. They got layups on fast breaks, not spot 3's from the corner. That was considered a bad shot then.

It was unheard of to shoot a 3 pointer on a fast break. You'd be subbed out of the game for doing that dumb shit. Good shots are good shots. The NBA has definitely fallen in love with the 3 but I don't know of its necessarily a good thing.


In the 1980s, teams were much worse at shooting the 3 point shot. Team averages were hovering around 30%. eFG%'s were lower, and teams attempted more shots overall in the 1980's. 1980's players missed MORE than current NBA players do. So much for taking the best shots. :lol:

Source: logic.

And http://www.basketball-reference.com/lea ... stats.html

Look at those Pace ratings... teams didn't run set offenses at all. Shoot, shoot, and shoot some more. They weren't looking for good shots. They were looking for any shot. Also look at the Turnover Ratio.

Holy shit the 1980's had some ugly basketball.

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