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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:37 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Solid starter means what exactly?

Top 15?

I think Mitch is certainly that.

Generous assumption. Trubinsky's poor play has wasted a lot of potential created by Nagy's superior scheming and play calling.


Nagy says it takes every QB a year to learn the system.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:38 pm 
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You guys arent factoring in his amazing ability to run for 1st downs.


I think we all agree the only stat needed for judging QB's is QBR


Mitch is 6th


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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:39 pm 
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Tall Midget wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Solid starter means what exactly?

Top 15?

I think Mitch is certainly that.

Certainly seems a little generous.

He’s right around the middle of the pack spot.


He might be right at 15, which would make him slightly above average. But the problem with that ranking is that none of the QBs ranked below him seem to have solid futures ahead of them as starting QBs. Mitch occupies the borderline between starter and backup right now, and it's not immediately clear which way the pendulum will ultimately swing. If he doesn't learn to read defenses more effectively reasonably soon, though, he will either be benched or suffer serious injury from running too frequently.


I don't disagree with you about reading defenses but this is literally where many of us hoped he would be at by the end of the year. He could still take a step or 2 before the season ends.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:40 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
You guys arent factoring in his amazing ability to run for 1st downs.


I think we all agree the only stat needed for judging QB's is QBR


Mitch is 6th

:lol: TIED for 6th with the amazing Jameis Winston! Great stat

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:43 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Solid starter means what exactly?

Top 15?

I think Mitch is certainly that.

Generous assumption. Trubinsky's poor play has wasted a lot of potential created by Nagy's superior scheming and play calling.


Nagy says it takes every QB a year to learn the system.

Trubinsky's issues appear to be physical. He's not accurate.


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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:44 pm 
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Nas wrote:

The Rams game was the worst game of his career and he still outperformed his counterpart. The Vikings game wasn't bad. He once again outperformed his counterpart and made winning plays to ensure a Bears victory. That being said I never said that you should take away any of his games. I don't think 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions is awful. If you did take away his best game and worst game he would still 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. That's solid.


He has 21 touchdown passes (not 24) and 12 interceptions for the year. Take away the outliers and he's at 14 and 9. That's mediocre. His greatest strengths are his first read accuracy and his elite running (not scrambling) ability. The problem is that running quarterbacks don't often last very long in the NFL without getting injured. He either needs to improve his reading ability or he will wind up either as a career backup or hurt.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:45 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Nas wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Solid starter means what exactly?

Top 15?

I think Mitch is certainly that.

Generous assumption. Trubinsky's poor play has wasted a lot of potential created by Nagy's superior scheming and play calling.


Nagy says it takes every QB a year to learn the system.

Trubinsky's issues appear to be physical. He's not accurate.


They're physical and mental. He struggles with accuracy as well as vision/anticipation.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:45 pm 
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Kirkwood wrote:
Nas wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Solid starter means what exactly?

Top 15?

I think Mitch is certainly that.

Generous assumption. Trubinsky's poor play has wasted a lot of potential created by Nagy's superior scheming and play calling.


Nagy says it takes every QB a year to learn the system.

Trubinsky's issues appear to be physical. He's not accurate.


I think that he's still thinking too much and that's part of his problem. I'm not saying that his mechanics can't get better.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:46 pm 
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Tall Midget wrote:
Nas wrote:

The Rams game was the worst game of his career and he still outperformed his counterpart. The Vikings game wasn't bad. He once again outperformed his counterpart and made winning plays to ensure a Bears victory. That being said I never said that you should take away any of his games. I don't think 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions is awful. If you did take away his best game and worst game he would still 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. That's solid.


He has 21 touchdown passes (not 24) and 12 interceptions for the year. Take away the outliers and he's at 14 and 9. That's mediocre. His greatest strengths are his first read accuracy and his elite running (not scrambling) ability. The problem is that running quarterbacks don't often last very long in the NFL without getting injured. He either needs to improve his reading ability or he will wind up either as a career backup or hurt.


He has 3 rushing touchdowns.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:47 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Tall Midget wrote:
Nas wrote:

The Rams game was the worst game of his career and he still outperformed his counterpart. The Vikings game wasn't bad. He once again outperformed his counterpart and made winning plays to ensure a Bears victory. That being said I never said that you should take away any of his games. I don't think 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions is awful. If you did take away his best game and worst game he would still 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. That's solid.


He has 21 touchdown passes (not 24) and 12 interceptions for the year. Take away the outliers and he's at 14 and 9. That's mediocre. His greatest strengths are his first read accuracy and his elite running (not scrambling) ability. The problem is that running quarterbacks don't often last very long in the NFL without getting injured. He either needs to improve his reading ability or he will wind up either as a career backup or hurt.


He has 3 rushing touchdowns.

Rushing TD's don't count when analyzing a QB's TD/INT ratio. We aren't including his lost fumbles either.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:49 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Tall Midget wrote:
Nas wrote:

The Rams game was the worst game of his career and he still outperformed his counterpart. The Vikings game wasn't bad. He once again outperformed his counterpart and made winning plays to ensure a Bears victory. That being said I never said that you should take away any of his games. I don't think 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions is awful. If you did take away his best game and worst game he would still 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. That's solid.


He has 21 touchdown passes (not 24) and 12 interceptions for the year. Take away the outliers and he's at 14 and 9. That's mediocre. His greatest strengths are his first read accuracy and his elite running (not scrambling) ability. The problem is that running quarterbacks don't often last very long in the NFL without getting injured. He either needs to improve his reading ability or he will wind up either as a career backup or hurt.


He has 3 rushing touchdowns.

Rushing TD's don't count when analyzing a QB's TD/INT ratio. We aren't including his lost fumbles either.


Do we also exclude his rushing yards when looking at his production for the year?

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:50 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Tall Midget wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Solid starter means what exactly?

Top 15?

I think Mitch is certainly that.

Certainly seems a little generous.

He’s right around the middle of the pack spot.


He might be right at 15, which would make him slightly above average. But the problem with that ranking is that none of the QBs ranked below him seem to have solid futures ahead of them as starting QBs. Mitch occupies the borderline between starter and backup right now, and it's not immediately clear which way the pendulum will ultimately swing. If he doesn't learn to read defenses more effectively reasonably soon, though, he will either be benched or suffer serious injury from running too frequently.


I don't disagree with you about reading defenses but this is literally where many of us hoped he would be at by the end of the year. He could still take a step or 2 before the season ends.


I agree and hope he improves rapidly. I just don't think it's clear right now where he's headed. I also don't think we've seen his best running games yet. He could go off in the playoffs like Kaepernick did a few years back and take the Bears all the way to the Superbowl mostly with his legs. Even if that fantastic scenario becomes a reality, though, I could still see him getting benched the following season for failing to read defenses properly.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:50 pm 
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Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Tall Midget wrote:
Nas wrote:

The Rams game was the worst game of his career and he still outperformed his counterpart. The Vikings game wasn't bad. He once again outperformed his counterpart and made winning plays to ensure a Bears victory. That being said I never said that you should take away any of his games. I don't think 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions is awful. If you did take away his best game and worst game he would still 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. That's solid.


He has 21 touchdown passes (not 24) and 12 interceptions for the year. Take away the outliers and he's at 14 and 9. That's mediocre. His greatest strengths are his first read accuracy and his elite running (not scrambling) ability. The problem is that running quarterbacks don't often last very long in the NFL without getting injured. He either needs to improve his reading ability or he will wind up either as a career backup or hurt.


He has 3 rushing touchdowns.

Rushing TD's don't count when analyzing a QB's TD/INT ratio. We aren't including his lost fumbles either.


Do we also exclude his rushing yards when looking at his production for the year?

No, I'm just telling you what is included in the TD/INT ratio. It's a distinct statistical category, and it doesn't include rushing TDs. And just to beat you to the next response, it does not include rushing TDs for *any* QB, not just poor, picked-on Mitch.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:55 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
Tall Midget wrote:
Nas wrote:

The Rams game was the worst game of his career and he still outperformed his counterpart. The Vikings game wasn't bad. He once again outperformed his counterpart and made winning plays to ensure a Bears victory. That being said I never said that you should take away any of his games. I don't think 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions is awful. If you did take away his best game and worst game he would still 17 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. That's solid.


He has 21 touchdown passes (not 24) and 12 interceptions for the year. Take away the outliers and he's at 14 and 9. That's mediocre. His greatest strengths are his first read accuracy and his elite running (not scrambling) ability. The problem is that running quarterbacks don't often last very long in the NFL without getting injured. He either needs to improve his reading ability or he will wind up either as a career backup or hurt.


He has 3 rushing touchdowns.

Rushing TD's don't count when analyzing a QB's TD/INT ratio. We aren't including his lost fumbles either.


Do we also exclude his rushing yards when looking at his production for the year?

No, I'm just telling you what is included in the TD/INT ratio. It's a distinct statistical category, and it doesn't include rushing TDs. And just to beat you to the next response, it does not include rushing TDs for *any* QB, not just poor, picked-on Mitch.


I wasn't using that as part of his TD/INT ratio. I've been using the same number for weeks to point out his overall production because he is a mobile quarterback.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 3:57 pm 
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I saw that Collinsworth showed how productive (Pro Bowl QB) Trubisky is on his first read (I believe it may have just been for that game) and how that production dropped off after then. Does anyone have those stats for all quarterbacks. I would love to see how he compares to his peers.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:15 pm 
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Interesting

https://www.windycitygridiron.com/2018/ ... -ryan-pace

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:15 pm 
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I thought the stat they showed was for first drives, implying Nagy could coach those up more.

http://www.nfl.com/player/mitchelltrubi ... ionalstats


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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:21 pm 
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Nas wrote:

It’s interesting that a fanboy Bears blog is slurping Mitch and downplaying Mahomes success?

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:23 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
I thought the stat they showed was for first drives, implying Nagy could coach those up more.

http://www.nfl.com/player/mitchelltrubi ... ionalstats


I'm kinda surprised that he appears to be at his best when the game is tied.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:28 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:

It’s interesting that a fanboy Bears blog is slurping Mitch and downplaying Mahomes success?


We talked about Mahomes last night. Greatest combination of tools that I've ever seen a QB have. I believe that he'll be better than Rodgers and if he can win a few championships we may be talking about him the way we talk about Brady.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:35 pm 
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Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:

It’s interesting that a fanboy Bears blog is slurping Mitch and downplaying Mahomes success?


We talked about Mahomes last night. Greatest combination of tools that I've ever seen a QB have. I believe that he'll be better than Rodgers and if he can win a few championships we may be talking about him the way we talk about Brady.

He has a long way to go. I think you have forgotten how good 2011-2014 Rodgers was.

Nobody is ever going to surpass Brady as GOAT.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:42 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:

It’s interesting that a fanboy Bears blog is slurping Mitch and downplaying Mahomes success?


We talked about Mahomes last night. Greatest combination of tools that I've ever seen a QB have. I believe that he'll be better than Rodgers and if he can win a few championships we may be talking about him the way we talk about Brady.

He has a long way to go. I think you have forgotten how good 2011-2014 Rodgers was.

Nobody is ever going to surpass Brady as GOAT.


Rogers never had that child like joy in him like Favre. Mahomes has that and literally every tool Rodgers has. Mahomes tools are more developed than what Rodgers had in Year 1. The kid is going to continue getting better.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:45 pm 
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Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:

It’s interesting that a fanboy Bears blog is slurping Mitch and downplaying Mahomes success?


We talked about Mahomes last night. Greatest combination of tools that I've ever seen a QB have. I believe that he'll be better than Rodgers and if he can win a few championships we may be talking about him the way we talk about Brady.

He has a long way to go. I think you have forgotten how good 2011-2014 Rodgers was.

Nobody is ever going to surpass Brady as GOAT.


Rogers never had that child like joy in him like Favre. Mahomes has that and literally every tool Rodgers has. Mahomes tools are more developed than what Rodgers had in Year 1. The kid is going to continue getting better.

Mahomes is phenomenal but he doesn't have every tool Rodgers has, or at least hasn't shown it yet. You just confirmed my theory that you have forgotten just how good Peak Rodgers was. The league still hasn't seen anything like it ever.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 4:49 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:

It’s interesting that a fanboy Bears blog is slurping Mitch and downplaying Mahomes success?


We talked about Mahomes last night. Greatest combination of tools that I've ever seen a QB have. I believe that he'll be better than Rodgers and if he can win a few championships we may be talking about him the way we talk about Brady.

He has a long way to go. I think you have forgotten how good 2011-2014 Rodgers was.

Nobody is ever going to surpass Brady as GOAT.


Rogers never had that child like joy in him like Favre. Mahomes has that and literally every tool Rodgers has. Mahomes tools are more developed than what Rodgers had in Year 1. The kid is going to continue getting better.

Mahomes is phenomenal but he doesn't have every tool Rodgers has, or at least hasn't shown it yet. You just confirmed my theory that you have forgotten just how good Peak Rodgers was. The league still hasn't seen anything like it ever.


Maybe I did. I just don't recall saying "WOW" as much as I do for him. I tried my best to be a Mahomes hater too. He broke me. He may end up having the best statistical season ever in Year 1.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:11 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:28 pm 
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Nas wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
I thought the stat they showed was for first drives, implying Nagy could coach those up more.

http://www.nfl.com/player/mitchelltrubi ... ionalstats


I'm kinda surprised that he appears to be at his best when the game is tied.


Other than the first drive in games, I don't remember them being tied much.


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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:32 pm 
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KDdidit wrote:
Nas wrote:
KDdidit wrote:
I thought the stat they showed was for first drives, implying Nagy could coach those up more.

http://www.nfl.com/player/mitchelltrubi ... ionalstats


I'm kinda surprised that he appears to be at his best when the game is tied.


Other than the first drive in games, I don't remember them being tied much.


Other than the Dolphins game I don't remember them being tied much either.

He should be benched in the 2nd quarter. Every other quarter is fine.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:52 pm 
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Chase's passer rating is 25 points higher than Mitch's in the 2nd, it could work. It's also 20 points higher in the 4th.

http://www.nfl.com/player/chasedaniel/8 ... ionalstats


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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:17 pm 
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Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
Nas wrote:

We talked about Mahomes last night. Greatest combination of tools that I've ever seen a QB have. I believe that he'll be better than Rodgers and if he can win a few championships we may be talking about him the way we talk about Brady.

He has a long way to go. I think you have forgotten how good 2011-2014 Rodgers was.

Nobody is ever going to surpass Brady as GOAT.


Rogers never had that child like joy in him like Favre. Mahomes has that and literally every tool Rodgers has. Mahomes tools are more developed than what Rodgers had in Year 1. The kid is going to continue getting better.

Mahomes is phenomenal but he doesn't have every tool Rodgers has, or at least hasn't shown it yet. You just confirmed my theory that you have forgotten just how good Peak Rodgers was. The league still hasn't seen anything like it ever.


Maybe I did. I just don't recall saying "WOW" as much as I do for him. I tried my best to be a Mahomes hater too. He broke me. He may end up having the best statistical season ever in Year 1.


Tried to be a hater?!? :lol: It should flow naturally, lest you find yourself consigned to a lifetime stuck rooting for bums like Rex Grossman.

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 Post subject: Re: 2018 Awards
PostPosted: Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:26 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
You guys arent factoring in his amazing ability to run for 1st downs.


I think we all agree the only stat needed for judging QB's is QBR


Mitch is 6th


This is why these "stats" are all crap. Without (Pro Bowl QB) Trubisky, the Bears are not winning their division. PERIOD. All of these so-called quarterback experts do not count scrambling ability and planned running plays into the worth of the quarterback of their team.

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