It is currently Thu Nov 21, 2024 10:29 am

View unanswered posts | View active topics


Board index » CHICAGO AND NATIONAL TEAMS » MLB

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]



Post new topic Reply to topic  Page 1 of 1
  [ 18 posts ] 
  Print view Previous topic | Next topic 
Author Message
KDdidit
 Post subject: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2020 1:57 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 11:28 am
Posts: 23800
Location: Boofoo Zoo
pizza_Place: Chuck E Cheese
Baseball Reference is running a 2020 simulation while the league is off using Out of the Park Baseball (A pretty great game if you all you care about is numbers and not gameplay). Based on this it's a good thing for the Cubs they're not playing.





Image
Top
 Profile  
 
Jaw Breaker
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2020 2:21 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 30, 2010 3:40 pm
Posts: 16471
pizza_Place: Boni Vino
Looks about right.

_________________
To IkeSouth, bigfan wrote:
Are you stoned or pissed off, or both, when you create these postings?
Top
 Profile  
 
Frank Coztansa
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2020 2:22 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
I'd say Cleveland has about 5, maybe 6 too many wins, but other than that its pretty good. I expected the Cubs to be bad, but not .380 bad

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.
Top
 Profile  
 
Nardi
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2020 2:28 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sat Mar 24, 2018 9:19 pm
Posts: 31601
pizza_Place: What??
Frank Coztansa wrote:
I'd say Cleveland has about 5, maybe 6 too many wins, but other than that its pretty good. I expected the Cubs to be bad, but not .380 bad

Fucking Indians. They just keep plugging in pitchers. I JUST CAN'T TAKE IT ANYMORE!

_________________
Wattabout Kodak Black?
Top
 Profile  
 
tommy
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2020 2:30 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 1:33 pm
Posts: 12078
pizza_Place: Vito and Nick's
Look at the White Sox, about to make their move. Seems very '83-esque.
Top
 Profile  
 
312player
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2020 3:17 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:15 am
Posts: 27591
pizza_Place: nick n vito's
I think this shortened season is great for the Cubs, we only need 90 innings from Lester, Darvish, Hendricks and Quintana. Those guys can all get hot.

_________________
The Original Kid Cairo wrote:
Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.
Top
 Profile  
 
Phil Leotardo
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed May 20, 2020 3:37 pm 
Offline

Joined: Wed Feb 19, 2020 1:02 pm
Posts: 786
pizza_Place: Marie's
Garbage. Seattle and Colorado aren't very good. SD, Philly, Cubs, and Texas way too low. Brewers aren't good either.
Top
 Profile  
 
good dolphin
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 10:39 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2005 2:35 pm
Posts: 82200
tommy wrote:
Look at the White Sox, about to make their move. Seems very '83-esque.


Who would be the aging veteran he has always coveted that KW would be pushing to acquire if this season was a reality?

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.
Top
 Profile  
 
Pal
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 12:36 pm 
Offline

Joined: Wed Jun 21, 2017 10:36 am
Posts: 275
pizza_Place: Tata's
good dolphin wrote:
tommy wrote:
Look at the White Sox, about to make their move. Seems very '83-esque.


Who would be the aging veteran he has always coveted that KW would be pushing to acquire if this season was a reality?

Charlie Blackmon
Top
 Profile  
 
Juiced
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 1:37 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 28, 2006 6:06 am
Posts: 6844
Frank Coztansa wrote:
I'd say Cleveland has about 5, maybe 6 too many wins, but other than that its pretty good. I expected the Cubs to be bad, but not .380 bad


I'd like to see the injury reports for the teams. That .380 might reflect their lack of depth. If a couple pitchers went down, then I could see it being pretty accurate.
Top
 Profile  
 
Frank Coztansa
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 1:39 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
Juiced wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
I'd say Cleveland has about 5, maybe 6 too many wins, but other than that its pretty good. I expected the Cubs to be bad, but not .380 bad


I'd like to see the injury reports for the teams. That .380 might reflect their lack of depth. If a couple pitchers went down, then I could see it being pretty accurate.
Maybe they had to play 40 games in 41 days to start the season.

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.
Top
 Profile  
 
Hatchetman
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 1:44 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:19 am
Posts: 23915
pizza_Place: Jimmy's Place
these statistical things always have problems. Kopech pitched in two games in 2018, at least one with a torn ACL. so that obviously killed his numbers. but the computer doesn't get that, in just puts those numbers into the model. so in this simulation, Kopech is getting blitzed.

stuff like that bugs me.

_________________
Reality is your friend, not your enemy. -- Seacrest
Top
 Profile  
 
KDdidit
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 1:55 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 11:28 am
Posts: 23800
Location: Boofoo Zoo
pizza_Place: Chuck E Cheese
I think it models the Cubs really suck, other than Riz, KB, Baez, and maybe Yu and Hendricks, pretty well.

Lol, losing pitcher Jose Quintana
Code:
Jose Quintana   31   1   6   .143   6.89   


Hatchetman wrote:
these statistical things always have problems. Kopech pitched in two games in 2018, at least one with a torn ACL. so that obviously killed his numbers. but the computer doesn't get that, in just puts those numbers into the model. so in this simulation, Kopech is getting blitzed.

stuff like that bugs me.


He's only pitched 9 innings in the model he'll be fine, unless he won't be.
Top
 Profile  
 
Frank Coztansa
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 1:56 pm 
Offline
100000 CLUB
User avatar

Joined: Wed Feb 08, 2006 6:17 pm
Posts: 102657
pizza_Place: Vito & Nick's
Poor, unlucky Quintana can't even get run support in a simulated season!

_________________
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It's more fun to be a victim
Caller Bob wrote:
There will never be an effective vaccine. I'll never get one anyway.
Top
 Profile  
 
Hatchetman
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 2:07 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Jan 19, 2009 11:19 am
Posts: 23915
pizza_Place: Jimmy's Place
KDdidit wrote:

He's only pitched 9 innings in the model he'll be fine, unless he won't be.


I'm not worried about him in real life but in order for a statistical forecasting model to generate those results, something has to be jacked up with the underlying data.

_________________
Reality is your friend, not your enemy. -- Seacrest
Top
 Profile  
 
Juiced
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Fri May 22, 2020 2:48 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Sep 28, 2006 6:06 am
Posts: 6844
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Juiced wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
I'd say Cleveland has about 5, maybe 6 too many wins, but other than that its pretty good. I expected the Cubs to be bad, but not .380 bad


I'd like to see the injury reports for the teams. That .380 might reflect their lack of depth. If a couple pitchers went down, then I could see it being pretty accurate.
Maybe they had to play 40 games in 41 days to start the season.


:lol:
Top
 Profile  
 
KDdidit
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Tue Jun 02, 2020 5:29 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jun 27, 2006 11:28 am
Posts: 23800
Location: Boofoo Zoo
pizza_Place: Chuck E Cheese
Image

Not getting much better for the Cubs. Q, Chatwood, and Yu going a combined 6-22.

After 20 innings, Hatch's guy Kopech still getting shelled.
Top
 Profile  
 
BigW72
 Post subject: Re: Who needs PECOTA?
PostPosted: Wed Jun 03, 2020 8:24 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon Aug 07, 2006 8:35 pm
Posts: 10785
Location: Parrish, FL
pizza_Place: 1. Peaquods 2. Aurelios
There's no way I'd have the Indians leading the Twins in the division, yet alone have a .629 winning %. That's....delusional. The Twins would likely have the division wire to wire.

I also think their being a bit hard on the Cubs and Padres.

_________________
This Ends in Antioch wrote:
brick (/brik/) verb
1. block or enclose with a wall of bricks
2. Proper response would be to ask an endless series of follow ups until the person regrets having spoken to you in the first place.
Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  Page 1 of 1
  [ 18 posts ] 

Board index » CHICAGO AND NATIONAL TEAMS » MLB

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 17 guests

You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group