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 Post subject: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2022 6:02 am 
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I am 100% against Echo Zulu although it looks like she could shake loose on the lead and in today's racing the lead is just a HUGE advantage. I didn't like that they waited until the FG Oaks to start her this year. That suggests that something wasn't right. And I didn't like that race. Hidden Connection was going to catch her in one more jump. I question her ability to get the 9 panels and she resents the whip. But maybe that race was all she needed and she'll be better this time.

I'm also against Secret Oath, but I do think the morning line is kind of high. 6/1 or above is more than fair.

Kathleen O. is absolutely legit but as OTE points out in the Derby prep thread, sometimes those Gulfstream races don't translate. She can certainly win, but she's a play against for me.

I think Nest is the most likely winner, but there are some others that have chances nearly as good that will be much larger prices.

My tickets are going to be centered around Nostalgic, Venti Valentine, and Hidden Connection. And maybe a the Pletcher horse from Dubai.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2022 6:49 am 
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i'm in a pool again with a bunch of guys that are in line with your thinking although i think they like kathleen o. i'm going to make sure some of the tickets we have do include some of those "against" horses just in case though. i like nest and venti valentine.


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Wed May 04, 2022 6:44 pm 
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Agree with Joe......in the Oaks why not Shahama? Undefeated and has the hottest Jock aboard....Oaks / Derby Double
Shahams with Zandon/Smile Happy

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 8:25 am 
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Rise and shine, boys...1st post about an hour away...some early scratches, fog and mist but haven't seen track conditions yet

Let's make some money


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 8:29 am 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Rise and shine, boys...1st post about an hour away...some early scratches, fog and mist but haven't seen track conditions yet

Let's make some money

They said the track will start firm and fast pending any more rain.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 9:48 am 
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Hit that 1st exacta to start the day :cheers:


Race 4 I think 7-JuJu's Map is going to get hammered at the window, but she's a 3 year old facing older competition and it's her 1st race of the year...look to the 5-Semble Juste, faced tougher last out at Keeneland and has raced here at Churchill 4 times, 2 wins, a second and 3rd...big value 10-1 m/l


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 9:51 am 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Hit that 1st exacta to start the day :cheers:


Race 4 I think 7-JuJu's Map is going to get hammered at the window, but she's a 3 year old facing older competition and it's her 1st race of the year...look to the 5-Semble Juste, faced tougher last out at Keeneland and has raced here at Churchill 4 times, 2 wins, a second and 3rd...big value 10-1 m/l

I had a $1 Ex myself, congrats!!!

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 11:11 am 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Hit that 1st exacta to start the day :cheers:


Race 4 I think 7-JuJu's Map is going to get hammered at the window, but she's a 3 year old facing older competition and it's her 1st race of the year...look to the 5-Semble Juste, faced tougher last out at Keeneland and has raced here at Churchill 4 times, 2 wins, a second and 3rd...big value 10-1 m/l


Well she looked damn good...ran like a 1/2 horse...moving on

Looking ahead to race 10 I like the 13Whatmakessammyrun and the 9-Pyron...Prat jumps off the 13 to ride the 9, big field big prices


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 12:47 pm 
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Starting a spread Pick 5 ticket, keying on the 5-Olympiad here (5 tickets with the 5 horse singled, one ticket with 1.2.6 and 7), no intra race wagers


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 12:52 pm 
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7th like Max Player and I had Olympiad last at FG not expecting her to finish today 1-2 exacta box...good look

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 1:24 pm 
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Race 8...three Chad Brown horses in this one...the 3, the 5 and the 8...the 3 and 5 are lockstep in the will-pays...not sure I see much separating them...I've keyed on the 5 and the 8 in this leg of my P5 (with one ticket 2.3.4.6.7,9)


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 2:10 pm 
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so my remaining P5 ticket is 6,8/9,13/7,9...

Race 9 6,8/All


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 2:37 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
so my remaining P5 ticket is 6,8/9,13/7,4... corrected

Race 9 6,8/All


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:09 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
so my remaining P5 ticket is 6,8/9,13/7,4... corrected

Race 9 6,8/All

Nice call and still alive too!!!!

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:20 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:

Looking ahead to race 10 I like the 13-Whatmakessammyrun and the 9-Pyron...Prat jumps off the 13 to ride the 9, big field big prices


still like very much

will pays show the 3 10 then 11 in order of preference...think it's wide open

throw the 6 in there as well...whoo, good luck...somebody's gonna get paid


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:25 pm 
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trifecta $48
8, 9, 10, 13 / 3, 8, 9, 10, 13 / 3, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 13


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:28 pm 
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Huge field, huge prices in the next at Churchill...whatever your opinion, if you are right, you'll get paid


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:42 pm 
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13-Whatmakessammyrun Don't sleep on this guy out of the west...struggled in a route at Del Mar last out, but two previous turf sprints were eye opening and has been working out just fine in the am...that being said, Prat jumps off him to a very logical choice, the 9
13-9 Exacta Box


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:44 pm 
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My Guy Camps likes the 11.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:45 pm 
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Not a fan of the two favorites...jump into the pool if you like someone...waters just fine!!!!


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:46 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Not a fan of the two favorites...jump into the pool if you like someone...waters just fine!!!!

I did with Camps, and in the Exactas with the 1,3,7,10.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:48 pm 
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I like the 11 as well, but have him shuffled back to Show...gonna be a great race


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 3:50 pm 
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Hawg Ass wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Not a fan of the two favorites...jump into the pool if you like someone...waters just fine!!!!

I did with Camps, and in the Exactas with the 1,3,7,10.


See this is what's great, completely different approaches, both could pay...good luck!! (kinda half hearted, honestly)


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 4:06 pm 
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I'm still going on the girl that I brought to the dance..7-Echo Zulu keyed in the trifecta with 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 10, 13


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 4:35 pm 
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Good luck all, I am on the 1 with 2/4/7/10

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 4:38 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
I'm still going on the girl that I brought to the dance..7-Echo Zulu keyed in the trifecta with 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 8, 10, 13


*for $84

good luck Hawg!


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 4:40 pm 
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tremendous value on the 6,8 9 and 13


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 4:59 pm 
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Hawg Ass wrote:
Good luck all, I am on the 1 with 2/4/7/10


:salut:


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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 5:01 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Hawg Ass wrote:
Good luck all, I am on the 1 with 2/4/7/10


:salut:

Alive to the 1,8,15 in the Oaks/Derby also.

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 Post subject: Re: Kentucky Oaks
PostPosted: Fri May 06, 2022 5:04 pm 
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Outstanding. Well done!

Hopefully we'll get some more traffic here tomorrow


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