Clawmaster wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
billypootons wrote:
https://www.yahoo.com/sports/bears-trade-down-twice-latest-194850809.htmlthis mock has the bear trading down twice. the net is bears give up pick #1 get #8, #68, #74, #139, #145, two 2025 1sts, 2025 2nd, 2025 3rd
the return from each trade looked reasonable based on last year's trades. thats a lot of draft capital.
Yeah. Then you get 7-10 and an offense that scores 19 per game.
If they do not go QB it makes perfect sense to turn the #1 pick into resources, you turned the #1 pick last year into several starting players, but you run the risk of being the team that passed up on the #1 QB two years in a row.
The first trade is reasonable but want a 2nd this year instead of 3rd/5th, that way you still draft MHJ and likely a starting lineman in at the top of the 2nd.
The second trade does not make as much sense, would again want a second this year and not mid round picks in return.
Poles should be able to get New England and Washington into a bidding war if they both love Caleb Williams, you take the best package and move down no further than #3, you even could move down to #2, pick up a few picks from Washington, and then get New England to cough up something to make sure they can still get the second best QB, you could pick up 3-4 early round picks by moving down to take the guy you really wanted in MHJ.
Someone is going to fall in love with a QB at #9, and would not be against moving down a bit, but you need to get MHJ if you are not going QB, he instantly adds a much-needed playmaker to an offense that is devoid of talent.
It would be kicking the can on QB to next year, you would have 3 first round picks next year, but Poles needs the team to win early next year, a slow start after sticking with Eberflus and Fields might just get him fired.
The driver of any good/potent offense is the QB. Cincy has several high level playmakers and they missed the playoffs when Burrow went down. You need to get QB right to win.
Top teams and their QB's QBR ranking
1 Ravens (4)
2 49ers (1)
3 Cowboys (2)
4 Lions (11)
5 Bills (3)
6 Browns (N/A)
7 Chiefs (8)
8 Eagles (12)
9 Dolphins (10)
10 Houston (15)
60% of the top ten teams has QBs with QBRs in the top ten league wide. Of the QBs ranked 1-5 in QBR, 4/5 went to the playoffs.
Here's the bottom ten teams and their QB's QBR ranking.
1 Carolina (29)
2 Washington (24)
3 NE (28)
4 Arizona (multiple QBs, 22 and 20)
5 Chargers (5)
6 NYG (N/A)
7 Tennessee (30)
8 Atlanta (26)
9 Chicago (23)
10 NYJ (31)
Notice a trend? 9/10 of these teams were led by QBs with poor QBRs. If you add MJH or whomever to the mix, Fields and his bottom tier QB performance will again land the team where they're at currently. You cannot avoid these data points - bad QB play will wipe out any talent upgrades you make on the line and at skill positions.