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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:27 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Nas wrote:
The eye test tells you he's better than guys like Ponder but then you look at the stats and they're identical. At some point you have to ignore the talent.


What stat are you looking at? Weight?


This is the last time each player played a full season. The talent doesn't match the production. Even this season the talent didn't match the production from Cutler. Reality is he has never played up to his potential. At this point in his career it isn't unreasonable for a lot of fans to believe he may never consistently play at a high level.

Cutler in 2012:
3033 yards
19 touchdowns
18 turnovers (14 interceptions)
58.8 completion percentage
81.3 rating

Ponder in 2012:
2935 yards
18 touchdowns
17 turnovers (12 interceptions)
62.1 completion percentage
81.2 rating

Sam Bradford in 2012:
3702 yards
21 touchdowns
14 turnovers (13 interceptions)
59.5 completion percentage
82.6 rating

Carson Palmer in 2012 (on talentless Raiders team):
4018 yards
22 touchdowns
19 turnovers (14 interceptions)
61.1 completion percentage
85.3 rating

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Last edited by Nas on Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:29 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Nas wrote:
The eye test tells you he's better than guys like Ponder but then you look at the stats and they're identical. At some point you have to ignore the talent.


What stat are you looking at? Weight?


This is the last time each player played a full season. The talent doesn't match the production. Even this season the talent didn't match the production from Cutler. Reality is he has never played up to his potential. At this point in his career it isn't unreasonable for a lot of fans to believe he may never consistently play at a high level.

Cutler in 2012:
3033 yards
19 touchdowns
18 turnovers (14 interceptions)
58.8 completion percentage
81.3 rating

Ponder in 2012:
2935 yards
18 touchdowns
17 turnovers (12 interceptions)
62.1 completion percentage
81.2 rating

Sam Bradford in 2012:
3702 yards
21 touchdowns
14 turnovers (13 interceptions)
59.5 completion percentage
82.6 rating
If you really want to stick it to the Cutler lovers, add in Carson Palmer into that and realize that the Raiders gave up on him. The Raiders! :lol:

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:30 pm 
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Big Chicagoan wrote:
QBR was invented by Trent Dilfer.

I will say that again... QBR was invented by Trent Dilfer.


You can say it now until the end of time but it's not accurate at all.

Total QBR was developed by a team at ESPN Stats & Information Group including Jeff Bennett, Dean Oliver, Alok Pattani, Albert Larcada, and Menlo College professor Ben Alamar. The group also received input from ESPN analysts Trent Dilfer, Jon Gruden, and Ron Jaworski. Total QBR was developed based on analysis of 60,000 NFL plays between 2008-2010, and was unveiled on August 5, 2011. The formula was modified in 2012 and again in 2013.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:30 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Nas wrote:
The eye test tells you he's better than guys like Ponder but then you look at the stats and they're identical. At some point you have to ignore the talent.


What stat are you looking at? Weight?


This is the last time each player played a full season. The talent doesn't match the production. Even this season the talent didn't match the production from Cutler. Reality is he has never played up to his potential. At this point in his career it isn't unreasonable for a lot of fans to believe he may never consistently play at a high level.

Cutler in 2012:
3033 yards
19 touchdowns
18 turnovers (14 interceptions)
58.8 completion percentage
81.3 rating

Ponder in 2012:
2935 yards
18 touchdowns
17 turnovers (12 interceptions)
62.1 completion percentage
81.2 rating

Sam Bradford in 2012:
3702 yards
21 touchdowns
14 turnovers (13 interceptions)
59.5 completion percentage
82.6 rating

Holy shit, that is awful


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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:34 pm 
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That is awful, and its part of the reason why there is a new head coach, yet another OC, new TE, new offensive line. What does 2012's stats have to do with 2013's stats and what happens in 2014?

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:34 pm 
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Don Tiny wrote:
Big Chicagoan wrote:
QBR was invented by Trent Dilfer.

I will say that again... QBR was invented by Trent Dilfer.


You can say it now until the end of time but it's not accurate at all.

Total QBR was developed by a team at ESPN Stats & Information Group including Jeff Bennett, Dean Oliver, Alok Pattani, Albert Larcada, and Menlo College professor Ben Alamar. The group also received input from ESPN analysts Trent Dilfer, Jon Gruden, and Ron Jaworski. Total QBR was developed based on analysis of 60,000 NFL plays between 2008-2010, and was unveiled on August 5, 2011. The formula was modified in 2012 and again in 2013.


Regardless of how wikipedia trumps it up, it was the brain child of Trent Dilfer. He was just too stupid to put the math together.


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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:36 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
That is awful, and its part of the reason why there is a new head coach, yet another OC, new TE, new offensive line. What does 2012's stats have to do with 2013's stats and what happens in 2014?

Im running out of any sort of desire to keep aruging this, but obviously Cutler's whole history is in play. Not just the 9 games he played last year


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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:36 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
That is awful, and its part of the reason why there is a new head coach, yet another OC, new TE, new offensive line. What does 2012's stats have to do with 2013's stats and what happens in 2014?
Well, Bradford did have a better but shorter season this year. Ponder is a mess right now and needs to leave the Vikings.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:39 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Nas wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Nas wrote:
The eye test tells you he's better than guys like Ponder but then you look at the stats and they're identical. At some point you have to ignore the talent.


What stat are you looking at? Weight?


This is the last time each player played a full season. The talent doesn't match the production. Even this season the talent didn't match the production from Cutler. Reality is he has never played up to his potential. At this point in his career it isn't unreasonable for a lot of fans to believe he may never consistently play at a high level.

Cutler in 2012:
3033 yards
19 touchdowns
18 turnovers (14 interceptions)
58.8 completion percentage
81.3 rating

Ponder in 2012:
2935 yards
18 touchdowns
17 turnovers (12 interceptions)
62.1 completion percentage
81.2 rating

Sam Bradford in 2012:
3702 yards
21 touchdowns
14 turnovers (13 interceptions)
59.5 completion percentage
82.6 rating
If you really want to stick it to the Cutler lovers, add in Carson Palmer into that and realize that the Raiders gave up on him. The Raiders! :lol:


I updated it. The fascination in his physical tools IMO is what blinds a lot of people. It probably blinded the Bears too.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:42 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
That is awful, and its part of the reason why there is a new head coach, yet another OC, new TE, new offensive line. What does 2012's stats have to do with 2013's stats and what happens in 2014?
Well, Bradford did have a better but shorter season this year. Ponder is a mess right now and needs to leave the Vikings.


:lol: I noticed that too. He had a 90+ rating. It's one of the reasons why the rating is meaningless. It can tell you a QB is better or worse than they actually played in a game.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:44 pm 
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So you want to go back 2 years and compare Ponder's best year ever with Cutler's worst year ever and call them the same QB?

Then, I'll show you how Cutler is better than Peyton Manning.

That's a reach even by your trolling standards.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:52 pm 
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Big Chicagoan wrote:
Don Tiny wrote:
Big Chicagoan wrote:
QBR was invented by Trent Dilfer.

I will say that again... QBR was invented by Trent Dilfer.


You can say it now until the end of time but it's not accurate at all.

Total QBR was developed by a team at ESPN Stats & Information Group including Jeff Bennett, Dean Oliver, Alok Pattani, Albert Larcada, and Menlo College professor Ben Alamar. The group also received input from ESPN analysts Trent Dilfer, Jon Gruden, and Ron Jaworski. Total QBR was developed based on analysis of 60,000 NFL plays between 2008-2010, and was unveiled on August 5, 2011. The formula was modified in 2012 and again in 2013.


Regardless of how wikipedia trumps it up, it was the brain child of Trent Dilfer. He was just too stupid to put the math together.


It very clearly wasn't, so unless you were sitting there giving Dilfer a handjob when he had his eureka moment, again you can blather whatever bullshit you want but it doesn't make it any more true than if you typed out "The sky is purple" every day the rest of your life.

Christ .... you say he invented QBR except for the math part ... :lol: :lol: ... math is all that it is, you 'tard.

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Last edited by Don Tiny on Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:52 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
So you want to go back 2 years and compare Ponder's best year ever with Cutler's worst year ever and call them the same QB?

Then, I'll show you how Cutler is better than Peyton Manning.

That's a reach even by your trolling standards.


What would you like me to show you? I went back 1 season (the last time they played a full season and the season the Bears finished 10-6) and posted the stats of players that most would agree that Cutler is better than. It wasn't Cutler's worst season either. Matt Schaub would really make Cutler look bad if I posted his. I'm really starting to believe you have no clue what his numbers are and you are just looking at his talent in comparison to other players. I see it too. It's one of the reasons I was a Cutler fan for 3 1/2 years. The reality of his production can't be ignored.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 12:57 pm 
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You don't have to show me anything. Sorry, it was his 2nd worst season, arguably.

I just don't see the point of singling out a guy's best versus another guy's worst and saying "See!". Plus, it's not even the most recent data. Wouldn't subsequent evidence that the bad guy regressed while the good one not only bounced back but exceeded his historical averages be relevant?

If you think Ponder is as good as Cutler, I'm comfortable agreeing to disagree.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:03 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
You don't have to show me anything. Sorry, it was his 2nd worst season, arguably.

I just don't see the point of singling out a guy's best versus another guy's worst and saying "See!". Plus, it's not even the most recent data. Wouldn't subsequent evidence that the bad guy regressed while the good one not only bounced back but exceeded his historical averages be relevant?

If you think Ponder is as good as Cutler, I'm comfortable agreeing to disagree.


Are you reading what I'm posting or are you debating another Hypothetical Nas? I've been clear about that for some time. Even when I was pointing this out prior to the season I was clear that Ponder wasn't anywhere near the player Cutler was.

BTW Ponder wasn't the ONLY player on that list. There are guys that will NOT get anywhere near the money Cutler has been given even though their production has been better. That cannot be overlooked. His talent says we should be comparing his to the Elite 4 but when you look at his actual production EVERY YEAR it is similar or worse than guys who aren't as good or who are awful.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:06 pm 
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Alright, never mind then. I guess I don't what your point was.

But, I'm going to go have lunch and try not to think about it.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:08 pm 
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Nas wrote:
There are guys that will NOT get anywhere near the money Cutler has been given even though their production has been better. That cannot be overlooked.
Sam Bradford got $50million guaranteed deal 3.5 years ago, a whopping $4million less than Cutler.

I'd say that actually is quite near.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:10 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nas wrote:
There are guys that will NOT get anywhere near the money Cutler has been given even though their production has been better. That cannot be overlooked.
Sam Bradford got $50million guaranteed, a whopping $4million less than Cutler.

I'd say that actually is quite near.


Wasn't that his rookie deal? Wasn't that back when #1 picks got stupid money?

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:12 pm 
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If you can go back to 2012 to cherry pick stats, why can't I go back to 2010 to when contracts were signed?

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:18 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Alright, never mind then. I guess I don't what your point was.

But, I'm going to go have lunch and try not to think about it.


I don't think you've ever tried to see my point or anyone else that isn't a C.A.L.L.™ member. I doubt you will, but that won't stop me from trying. In my opinion, Cutler has top 5 talent, but Cutler's production is typically equal to or worse than QB's with inferior talent. I don't think that is hard to grasp and it isn't disputable.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:21 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
If you can go back to 2012 to cherry pick stats, why can't I go back to 2010 to when contracts were signed?


It's not cherry picking stats. Bradford and Palmer's numbers were still better if you just wanted to focus on this season. If you want to add in Cutler's guarantees from the Bears and Broncos we can do that too. Fact is Cutler's production has been average or worse.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:25 pm 
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Jay Cutler has NEVER been better than the 12th best QB in the NFL


That's a fact, friends


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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:27 pm 
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The Texans will release Matt Schaub this offseason so they can save $4M in cap space. He's coming off his worse season as a pro and most would probably say Cutler is better. The actual production shows that Schaub is WAY better than Cutler. Before this season his average rating with Houston was 93. Even after this season it is still 90.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:34 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Alright, never mind then. I guess I don't what your point was.

But, I'm going to go have lunch and try not to think about it.


I don't think you've ever tried to see my point or anyone else that isn't a C.A.L.L.™ member. I doubt you will, but that won't stop me from trying. In my opinion, Cutler has top 5 talent, but Cutler's production is typically equal to or worse than QB's with inferior talent. I don't think that is hard to grasp and it isn't disputable.


So, why bring up Ponder since Cutler's production is consistently much better than Ponder's except if you choose one specific year of their overall careers and compare them?

I think that position is pretty disputable.

If you want to compare his production to Bradford, I don't think it's very close based on their overall career production but it's certainly much closer than Ponder. I think you are just bringing up Ponder to be sensational even though it's a huge stretch to make it fit your argument.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 1:35 pm 
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Nas wrote:
The Texans will release Matt Schaub this offseason so they can save $4M in cap space. He's coming off his worse season as a pro and most would probably say Cutler is better. The actual production shows that Schaub is WAY better than Cutler. Before this season his average rating with Houston was 93. Even after this season it is still 90.


I don't think most people would jump to say Cutler is better than Schaub.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 2:00 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Nas wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Alright, never mind then. I guess I don't what your point was.

But, I'm going to go have lunch and try not to think about it.


I don't think you've ever tried to see my point or anyone else that isn't a C.A.L.L.™ member. I doubt you will, but that won't stop me from trying. In my opinion, Cutler has top 5 talent, but Cutler's production is typically equal to or worse than QB's with inferior talent. I don't think that is hard to grasp and it isn't disputable.


So, why bring up Ponder since Cutler's production is consistently much better than Ponder's except if you choose one specific year of their overall careers and compare them?

I think that position is pretty disputable.

If you want to compare his production to Bradford, I don't think it's very close based on their overall career production but it's certainly much closer than Ponder. I think you are just bringing up Ponder to be sensational even though it's a huge stretch to make it fit your argument.


I was using Ponder as an example before the season started and before he regressed. I brought up Ponder and others to illustrate how Cutler's production is equal to or worse than players he's clearly more talented than every year. It also shows how his talent and production doesn't match. If we looked at his annual statistics they would be similar or worse than a lot of Ponder's of the world. That shouldn't be the case. The larger point I was making is that fans fall in love with his talent and overlook his production. I was guilty of it the majority of the time he has been a Bear.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 2:01 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Nas wrote:
The Texans will release Matt Schaub this offseason so they can save $4M in cap space. He's coming off his worse season as a pro and most would probably say Cutler is better. The actual production shows that Schaub is WAY better than Cutler. Before this season his average rating with Houston was 93. Even after this season it is still 90.


I don't think most people would jump to say Cutler is better than Schaub.


I would. I also doubt anyone would suggest he should get a big contract.

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 2:03 pm 
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No great QB ever had a year simliar to Christian Ponder


I really dont get the Cutler love. Its ridiculous at this point. The guy is and has been average and he just got paid like he's great.


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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 2:07 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Nas wrote:
The Texans will release Matt Schaub this offseason so they can save $4M in cap space. He's coming off his worse season as a pro and most would probably say Cutler is better. The actual production shows that Schaub is WAY better than Cutler. Before this season his average rating with Houston was 93. Even after this season it is still 90.


I don't think most people would jump to say Cutler is better than Schaub.
Aren't a lot of you saying that Cutler is better than Stafford? So Schaub is better than Stafford and Cutler and yet he's being cut for $4M?

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 Post subject: Re: 7 yr deal for Cutler
PostPosted: Mon Jan 06, 2014 2:08 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
No great QB ever had a year simliar to Christian Ponder


I really dont get the Cutler love. Its ridiculous at this point. The guy is and has been average and he just got paid like he's great.


Production wise I completely agree. When it comes to talent there are only a few guys in the league that have more.

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