It is currently Sun Nov 24, 2024 6:20 am

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]




Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 117 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next
Author Message
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 7:56 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jun 14, 2011 2:28 pm
Posts: 3899
Location: Tinley Park
pizza_Place: zzzzzz
tommy wrote:
DAC wrote:
tommy wrote:
DAC wrote:
Not sure what the consensus is on this but I would much rather go with someone like Scherzer for the HOF than Sabathia. While Sabathia will have many more wins, Scherzer already has seasons of WAR of 6.4, 6.9, 7.1, and a currently a 7.1 for this season. Sabathia's highest was 6.4. If he wins the CY Young this year it will give him 3 to Sabathia's 1. Give me a 5 year span of being one of the top 3 pitchers in the game over a lengthy career with a couple great seasons sprinkled in.



Sabathia (and Mussina) had more than a few great seasons, though.

There's also something to be said consistency as a pitcher over 15 or so years. Being able to guarantee 15-19 wins is worth as much as anything else in baseball today.

Scherzer has been pretty dominant, though. If he stays healthy, he'll get there.


When I say great I mean top 5 in the entire league. Sabathia only had 3 seasons with a WAR above 6 and everything else was under 5 with only 2 seasons in the 4-range.


Fuck WAR. I seen 'em pitch.


I like a comparison to the rest of the league. I don't see them all pitch.

_________________
Lay off that whiskey and let that cocaine be.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 8:34 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:15 am
Posts: 27591
pizza_Place: nick n vito's
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
tommy wrote:
Scherzer has been pretty dominant, though. If he stays healthy, he'll get there.


But there's a realistic chance he will end up with lower career WAR than Tommy John or Mark Buehrle.


Huh?

I've long said WAR is absolutely a useless stat but I don't see how that's possible ..unless Scherzer pitches til he's 49

_________________
The Original Kid Cairo wrote:
Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 8:35 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:15 am
Posts: 27591
pizza_Place: nick n vito's
DAC wrote:
Not sure what the consensus is on this but I would much rather go with someone like Scherzer for the HOF than Sabathia. While Sabathia will have many more wins, Scherzer already has seasons of WAR of 6.4, 6.9, 7.1, and a currently a 7.1 for this season. Sabathia's highest was 6.4. If he wins the CY Young this year it will give him 3 to Sabathia's 1. Give me a 5 year span of being one of the top 3 pitchers in the game over a lengthy career with a couple great seasons sprinkled in.



Both HOF ... But Scherzer is better than C.C.

_________________
The Original Kid Cairo wrote:
Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 8:53 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 1:33 pm
Posts: 12078
pizza_Place: Vito and Nick's
DAC wrote:
tommy wrote:
DAC wrote:
tommy wrote:
DAC wrote:
Not sure what the consensus is on this but I would much rather go with someone like Scherzer for the HOF than Sabathia. While Sabathia will have many more wins, Scherzer already has seasons of WAR of 6.4, 6.9, 7.1, and a currently a 7.1 for this season. Sabathia's highest was 6.4. If he wins the CY Young this year it will give him 3 to Sabathia's 1. Give me a 5 year span of being one of the top 3 pitchers in the game over a lengthy career with a couple great seasons sprinkled in.



Sabathia (and Mussina) had more than a few great seasons, though.

There's also something to be said consistency as a pitcher over 15 or so years. Being able to guarantee 15-19 wins is worth as much as anything else in baseball today.

Scherzer has been pretty dominant, though. If he stays healthy, he'll get there.


When I say great I mean top 5 in the entire league. Sabathia only had 3 seasons with a WAR above 6 and everything else was under 5 with only 2 seasons in the 4-range.


Fuck WAR. I seen 'em pitch.


I like a comparison to the rest of the league. I don't see them all pitch.

Just came back to respond to my clipped and bitchy post--was gonna say something like this.

One reason I point to longevity, though, is Dave Stewart. (Hell, even Jack McDowell or Oswalt or Jake Arrieta.) Great end to his career, outstanding in the playoffs, a workhorse, but didn't even get 10%.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 8:57 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
312player wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
tommy wrote:
Scherzer has been pretty dominant, though. If he stays healthy, he'll get there.


But there's a realistic chance he will end up with lower career WAR than Tommy John or Mark Buehrle.


Huh?

I've long said WAR is absolutely a useless stat but I don't see how that's possible ..unless Scherzer pitches til he's 49


Huh? You don't seem to grasp how WAR works. How about this- we can bet right now that Scherzer won't pass Rick Reuschel in career WAR.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:04 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 1:33 pm
Posts: 12078
pizza_Place: Vito and Nick's
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
tommy wrote:
Scherzer has been pretty dominant, though. If he stays healthy, he'll get there.


But there's a realistic chance he will end up with lower career WAR than Tommy John or Mark Buehrle.

Should Tommy John be in?


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:05 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
tommy wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
tommy wrote:
Scherzer has been pretty dominant, though. If he stays healthy, he'll get there.


But there's a realistic chance he will end up with lower career WAR than Tommy John or Mark Buehrle.

Should Tommy John be in?


He's borderline at best. I'd probably have him in ahead of Jack Morris though.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:13 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:15 am
Posts: 27591
pizza_Place: nick n vito's
RR was before my time, He appears to have 2 seasons at a quick glance that can compete with Max.. I'm the one who just stated War = worthless.

Do you believe RR is equal to or better - worse than Max?

RR was also a career NL guy

_________________
The Original Kid Cairo wrote:
Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:17 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
312player wrote:
RR was before my time, He appears to have 2 seasons at a quick glance that can compete with Max.. I'm the one who just stated War = worthless.

Do you believe RR is equal to or better - worse than Max?

RR was also a career NL guy


No, the point is that using WAR as a baseline for the Hall is silly.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:19 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:15 am
Posts: 27591
pizza_Place: nick n vito's
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
312player wrote:
RR was before my time, He appears to have 2 seasons at a quick glance that can compete with Max.. I'm the one who just stated War = worthless.

Do you believe RR is equal to or better - worse than Max?

RR was also a career NL guy


No, the point is that using WAR as a baseline for the Hall is silly.



Agree.. I've never put jack shit into WAR as a stat, You just confirmed that you agree WAR is dogshit.

_________________
The Original Kid Cairo wrote:
Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:20 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
Also, if Scherzer's career ended tomorrow, is he more deserving of enshrinement than Gooden or Stieb?

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:21 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
312player wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
312player wrote:
RR was before my time, He appears to have 2 seasons at a quick glance that can compete with Max.. I'm the one who just stated War = worthless.

Do you believe RR is equal to or better - worse than Max?

RR was also a career NL guy


No, the point is that using WAR as a baseline for the Hall is silly.



Agree.. I've never put jack shit into WAR as a stat, You just confirmed that you agree WAR is dogshit.


I wouldn't say it's dogshit, but it is a counting stat, just an aggregate counting stat.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:23 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2011 10:15 am
Posts: 27591
pizza_Place: nick n vito's
It's dogshit..look no further than the Guppy..I've tried to find that thread and couldn't..please bump

_________________
The Original Kid Cairo wrote:
Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Mon Aug 13, 2018 9:29 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
312player wrote:
It's dogshit..look no further than the Guppy..I've tried to find that thread and couldn't..please bump



Samardzija has never had a 3 WAR season. He's at about 12 for his career. WAR doesn't tell you anything about a pitcher you didn't already know.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 7:07 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Mon May 02, 2011 4:29 pm
Posts: 40649
Location: Everywhere
pizza_Place: giordanos
War for pitchers is better as a season to season comparison against other pitchers. Counting up for an entire career skews the usefulness.

_________________
Elections have consequences.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 7:27 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 12:16 pm
Posts: 81625
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Also, if Scherzer's career ended tomorrow, is he more deserving of enshrinement than Gooden or Stieb?

Stieb seems like a weird name to throw out. Especially for a W-L guy like yourself.

I have Gooden is way above Stieb. Gooden should be in. (But I have a soft spot for guys who were unbelievable dominant for a stretch)


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 8:42 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Also, if Scherzer's career ended tomorrow, is he more deserving of enshrinement than Gooden or Stieb?

Stieb seems like a weird name to throw out. Especially for a W-L guy like yourself.

I have Gooden is way above Stieb. Gooden should be in. (But I have a soft spot for guys who were unbelievable dominant for a stretch)



I think Stieb is about .560 and played for some shitty teams. I think if we look at the entire body of work, it's hard to say Gooden was better than Stieb. Of course, Gooden may have had the best single season any pitcher ever had.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 8:52 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 12:16 pm
Posts: 81625
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Also, if Scherzer's career ended tomorrow, is he more deserving of enshrinement than Gooden or Stieb?

Stieb seems like a weird name to throw out. Especially for a W-L guy like yourself.

I have Gooden is way above Stieb. Gooden should be in. (But I have a soft spot for guys who were unbelievable dominant for a stretch)



I think Stieb is about .560 and played for some shitty teams. I think if we look at the entire body of work, it's hard to say Gooden was better than Stieb. Of course, Gooden may have had the best single season any pitcher ever had.

Also, Gooden scores very high on the WOW factor. I mean that has to be part of it, imo. Watching him in his prime and then even later when he regained some of that form was awesome.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 10:13 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jun 14, 2011 2:28 pm
Posts: 3899
Location: Tinley Park
pizza_Place: zzzzzz
pittmike wrote:
War for pitchers is better as a season to season comparison against other pitchers. Counting up for an entire career skews the usefulness.


Agreed. Way too much emphasis is put on W/L. deGrom is having one of the best seasons in the league and his record is 7-7.

_________________
Lay off that whiskey and let that cocaine be.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 10:15 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
DAC wrote:
pittmike wrote:
War for pitchers is better as a season to season comparison against other pitchers. Counting up for an entire career skews the usefulness.


Agreed. Way too much emphasis is put on W/L. deGrom is having one of the best seasons in the league and his record is 7-7.



Who is the great starter with a .500 career record? Can you name just one please?

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 10:19 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 1:33 pm
Posts: 12078
pizza_Place: Vito and Nick's
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
DAC wrote:
pittmike wrote:
War for pitchers is better as a season to season comparison against other pitchers. Counting up for an entire career skews the usefulness.


Agreed. Way too much emphasis is put on W/L. deGrom is having one of the best seasons in the league and his record is 7-7.



Who is the great starter with a .500 career record? Can you name just one please?

Be hard to for a career, but for individual seasons, sure.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 10:29 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
tommy wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
DAC wrote:
pittmike wrote:
War for pitchers is better as a season to season comparison against other pitchers. Counting up for an entire career skews the usefulness.


Agreed. Way too much emphasis is put on W/L. deGrom is having one of the best seasons in the league and his record is 7-7.



Who is the great starter with a .500 career record? Can you name just one please?

Be hard to for a career, but for individual seasons, sure.


Right, but nobody goes into the Hall off one season.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 11:45 am 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Tue Jun 14, 2011 2:28 pm
Posts: 3899
Location: Tinley Park
pizza_Place: zzzzzz
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
DAC wrote:
pittmike wrote:
War for pitchers is better as a season to season comparison against other pitchers. Counting up for an entire career skews the usefulness.


Agreed. Way too much emphasis is put on W/L. deGrom is having one of the best seasons in the league and his record is 7-7.



Who is the great starter with a .500 career record? Can you name just one please?


That's a terrible point. Over the course of a career a HOF pitcher will consistently give his team a much higher chance of winning which will result in that pitcher having a winning record. But there are many examples of a pitcher having an excellent season with a near .500 record due to low run support. deGrom is your example this year.

And to answer your question- Nolan Ryan had a career record of 324-292 which works out to an average record of 12-11 over his 27-year career.

_________________
Lay off that whiskey and let that cocaine be.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 11:51 am 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
DAC wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
DAC wrote:
pittmike wrote:
War for pitchers is better as a season to season comparison against other pitchers. Counting up for an entire career skews the usefulness.


Agreed. Way too much emphasis is put on W/L. deGrom is having one of the best seasons in the league and his record is 7-7.



Who is the great starter with a .500 career record? Can you name just one please?


That's a terrible point. Over the course of a career a HOF pitcher will consistently give his team a much higher chance of winning which will result in that pitcher having a winning record. But there are many examples of a pitcher having an excellent season with a near .500 record due to low run support. deGrom is your example this year.

And to answer your question- Nolan Ryan had a career record of 324-292 which works out to an average record of 12-11 over his 27-year career.



It's not a terrible point. And do we have to go over again how "run support" doesn't exist? It's just a pitcher that you're supposed to be better than pitching better than you did.

Anyway, Nolan Ryan is far from a great pitcher. He was a spectacular pitcher. He is a special guy in that he is the hardest pitcher to hit. But that's where the confusion is in the way the game is looked at in the computer analytics era- the idea that a "pitcher's job is to miss bats." That isn't a pitcher's job at all.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 12:08 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2009 6:05 pm
Posts: 68612
pizza_Place: Lina's Pizza
Yes there are anomalies from season to season but over a career you see who is a winner and who is a loser.

_________________
The Hawk wrote:
There is not a damned thing wrong with people who are bull shitters.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 12:33 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 12:16 pm
Posts: 81625
Terry's Peeps wrote:
Yes there are anomalies from season to season but over a career you see who is a winner and who is a loser.

But run support DOES exist. JORR incorrectly believes all offenses are essentially the same.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 12:35 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Wed Jul 29, 2009 6:05 pm
Posts: 68612
pizza_Place: Lina's Pizza
rogers park bryan wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
Yes there are anomalies from season to season but over a career you see who is a winner and who is a loser.

But run support DOES exist. JORR incorrectly believes all offenses are essentially the same.


Yes. Over the course of a career it all basically balances out.

_________________
The Hawk wrote:
There is not a damned thing wrong with people who are bull shitters.


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 12:38 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
rogers park bryan wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
Yes there are anomalies from season to season but over a career you see who is a winner and who is a loser.

But run support DOES exist. JORR incorrectly believes all offenses are essentially the same.



"Run support" is nothing more than the (usually smaller) amount of runs allowed by a guy you are insisting isn't as good as the guy you are defending.

Within the space of a single game most offenses are indistinguishable. When you factor in the pitcher you are insisting is "great", all the advantage should be in favor of your guy in the vast majority of his starts.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 12:39 pm 
Offline
User avatar

Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2017 1:33 pm
Posts: 12078
pizza_Place: Vito and Nick's
Terry's Peeps wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
Yes there are anomalies from season to season but over a career you see who is a winner and who is a loser.

But run support DOES exist. JORR incorrectly believes all offenses are essentially the same.


Yes. Over the course of a career it all basically balances out.

Unless you pitch for the White Sox in the 1960s


Top
 Profile  
 
PostPosted: Tue Aug 14, 2018 12:41 pm 
Offline
Site Admin
User avatar

Joined: Sun Apr 04, 2010 10:00 am
Posts: 79550
Location: Ravenswood Manor
pizza_Place: Pete's
tommy wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
Yes there are anomalies from season to season but over a career you see who is a winner and who is a loser.

But run support DOES exist. JORR incorrectly believes all offenses are essentially the same.


Yes. Over the course of a career it all basically balances out.

Unless you pitch for the White Sox in the 1960s



But that's a good example. There is a connection between the fact that those Sox pitchers all had low ERAs and the fact that their offense was low scoring. That's why the W/L records are important. A park can hold the offensive numbers down, but one starter will pitch better than the other.

_________________
Anybody here seen my old friend Bobby?
Can you tell me where he's gone?
I thought I saw him walkin' up to The Hill
With Elon, Tulsi, and Don


Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 117 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1, 2, 3, 4  Next

All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group